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In this paper we consider portmanteau tests for testing the adequacy of multiplicative seasonal autoregressive moving-average (SARMA) models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent.We relax the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Abdoulkarim Ilmi Amir

In this paper, we propose a novel and efficient two-stage variable selection approach for sparse GLARMA models, which are pervasive for modeling discrete-valued time series. Our approach consists in iteratively combining the estimation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-20 M. Gomtsyan , C. Lévy-Leduc , S. Ouadah , L. Sansonnet

Linear time series modelling is dominated by the use of purely autoregressive models even though incorporating moving average components can greatly improve parsimony. We present a convex formulation for vector-ARMA system identification…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-01 Alex Nguyen-Le , Victor M. Preciado

In this paper, we introduce the concept of fractional integration for spatial autoregressive models. We show that the range of the dependence can be spatially extended or diminished by introducing a further fractional integration parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-14 Philipp Otto , Philipp Sibbertsen

This paper considers both the least squares and quasi-maximum likelihood estimation for the recently proposed scalable ARMA model, a parametric infinite-order vector AR model, and their asymptotic normality is also established. It makes…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Yuchang Lin , Wenyu Li , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li

Generally, anomaly detection has a great importance particularly in applied statistical signal processing. Here we provide a general framework in order to detect anomaly through the statistical modeling. In this paper, it is assumed that a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-28 Salman Mohamadi , Farhang Yeganegi , Nasser M Nasrabadi

The object of this paper is to study the asymptotic dependence structure of the linear time series models with infinitely divisible innovations by the use of their characteristic functions. Autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) models and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-23 Muneya Matsui

Regularization method and Bayesian inverse method are two dominating ways for solving inverse problems generated from various fields, e.g., seismic exploration and medical imaging. The two methods are related with each other by the MAP…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Junxiong Jia , Qihang Sun , Bangyu Wu , Jigen Peng

We introduce a recursive algorithm of conveniently general form for estimating the coefficient of a moving average model of order one and obtain convergence results for both correct and misspecified MA(1) models. The algorithm encompasses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 James L. Cantor , David F. Findley

Autoregressive models (ARMs) currently hold state-of-the-art performance in likelihood-based modeling of image and audio data. Generally, neural network based ARMs are designed to allow fast inference, but sampling from these models is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Auke Wiggers , Emiel Hoogeboom

Autoregressive (AR) models have become a popular tool for unsupervised learning, achieving state-of-the-art log likelihood estimates. We investigate the use of AR models as density estimators in two settings -- as a learning signal for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-18 Murtaza Dalal , Alexander C. Li , Rohan Taori

Autoregressive models are ubiquitous tools for the analysis of time series in many domains such as computational neuroscience and biomedical engineering. In these domains, data is, for example, collected from measurements of brain activity.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-02 Jonas F. Haderlein , Andre D. H. Peterson , Anthony N. Burkitt , Iven M. Y. Mareels , David B. Grayden

In this paper we derive the asymptotic distribution of normalized residual empirical autocovariances and autocorrelations under weak assumptions on the noise. We propose new portmanteau statistics for vector autoregressive moving-average…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Bruno Saussereau

Vector AutoRegressive Moving Average (VARMA) models form a powerful and general model class for analyzing dynamics among multiple time series. While VARMA models encompass the Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) models, their popularity in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Marie-Christine Düker , David S. Matteson , Ruey S. Tsay , Ines Wilms

In this work we introduce the class of beta autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average models for continuous random variables taking values in the continuous unit interval $(0,1)$. The proposed model accommodates a set of…

Autoregressive and moving-average (ARMA) models with stable Paretian errors is one of the most studied models for time series with infinite variance. Estimation methods for these models have been studied by many researchers but the problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-07 Jen-Wen Lin , A. Ian McLeod

A class of continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) process driven by simple semi-Levy measure is defined and its properties are studied. We discuss some new insights on the structure of the semi-Levy measure which is described…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-09 N. Modarresi , S. Rezakhah , S. Shoaee

The presence of outliers (anomalous values) in synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data and the misspecification in statistical image models may result in inaccurate inferences. To avoid such issues, the Rayleigh regression model based on a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-02 B. G. Palm , F. M. Bayer , R. Machado , M. I. Pettersson , V. T. Vu , R. J. Cintra

Max-autogressive moving average (Max-ARMA) processes are powerful tools for modelling time series data with heavy-tailed behaviour; these are a non-linear version of the popular autoregressive moving average models. River flow data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Eleanor D'Arcy , Jonathan A Tawn

Standard autoregressive seq2seq models are easily trained by max-likelihood, but tend to show poor results under small-data conditions. We introduce a class of seq2seq models, GAMs (Global Autoregressive Models), which combine an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-23 Tetiana Parshakova , Jean-Marc Andreoli , Marc Dymetman