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The modeling of time-varying graph signals as stationary time-vertex stochastic processes permits the inference of missing signal values by efficiently employing the correlation patterns of the process across different graph nodes and time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-16 Eylem Tugce Guneyi , Berkay Yaldiz , Abdullah Canbolat , Elif Vural

Auto-regressive moving-average (ARMA) models are ubiquitous forecasting tools. Parsimony in such models is highly valued for their interpretability and computational tractability, and as such the identification of model orders remains a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-27 Yann McLatchie , Asael Alonzo Matamoros , David Kohns , Aki Vehtari

Due to uncertainty on target's motion, the range cell migration (RCM) and azimuth phase error (APE) of moving targets can't be completely compensated in synthetic aperture radar (SAR) processing. Therefore, moving targets often appear…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-07-09 Xinhua Mao

In this article, we first propose the modified Hannan-Rissanen Method for estimating the parameters of the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) process with symmetric stable noise and symmetric stable generalized autoregressive conditional…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-25 Aastha M. Sathe , N. S. Upadhye

The paper considers the problem to estimate a graphical model corresponding to an autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) Gaussian stochastic process. We propose a new maximum entropy covariance and cepstral extension problem and we show that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Mattia Zorzi

The autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model is one of the most important models in time series analysis.We consider the Bayesian estimation of an unknown spectral density in the ARMA model.In the i.i.d. cases, Komaki showed that Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-27 Fuyuhiko Tanaka , Fumiyasu Komaki

The Rayleigh regression model was recently proposed for modeling amplitude values of synthetic aperture radar (SAR) image pixels. However, inferences from such model are based on the maximum likelihood estimators, which can be biased for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 B. G. Palm , F. M. Bayer , R. J. Cintra

Graph State Space Models (SSMs) have recently been introduced to enhance Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) in modeling long-range interactions. Despite their success, existing methods either compromise on permutation equivariance or limit their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Moshe Eliasof , Alessio Gravina , Andrea Ceni , Claudio Gallicchio , Davide Bacciu , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb

This letter proposes a regression model for nonnegative signals. The proposed regression estimates the mean of Rayleigh distributed signals by a structure which includes a set of regressors and a link function. For the proposed model, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 B. G. Palm , F. M. Bayer , R. J. Cintra , M. I. Pettersson , R. Machado

Parametric autoregressive moving average models with exogenous terms (ARMAX) have been widely used in the literature. Usually, these models consider a conditional mean or median dynamics, which limits the analysis. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-02 Alan Dasilva , Helton Saulo , Roberto Vila , Jose A. Fiorucci , Suvra Pal

Continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) processes have recently been used widely in the modeling of non-uniformly spaced data and as a tool for dealing with high-frequency data of the form $Y_{n\Delta}, n=0,1,2,...$, where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-22 Peter J. Brockwell , Vincenzo Ferrazzano , Claudia Klüppelberg

This paper proposes the quantile unit-log-symmetric autoregressive moving average (QULS--ARMA) model for bounded time series on the open unit interval $(0,1)$. The model extends the unit-log-symmetric family by introducing a quantile-based…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-26 Helton Saulo , Roberto Vila , Filidor Vilca

Estimation of autocorrelations and spectral densities is of fundamental importance in many fields of science, from identifying pulsar signals in astronomy to measuring heart beats in medicine. In circumstances where one is interested in…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-22 C. H. Fleming , J. M. Calabrese

Transformed Generalized Autoregressive Moving Average (TGARMA) models were recently proposed to deal with non-additivity, non-normality and heteroscedasticity in real time series data. In this paper, a Bayesian approach is proposed for…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-02 Breno S. Andrade , Marinho G. Andrade , Ricardo S. Ehlers

The estimation of normalizing constants is a fundamental step in probabilistic model comparison. Sequential Monte Carlo methods may be used for this task and have the advantage of being inherently parallelizable. However, the standard…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-16 Marco Fraccaro , Ulrich Paquet , Ole Winther

We express the classic ARMA time-series model as a directed graphical model. In doing so, we find that the deterministic relationships in the model make it effectively impossible to use the EM algorithm for learning model parameters. To…

Applications · Statistics 2012-08-10 Bo Thiesson , David Maxwell Chickering , David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

Robust methods have been a successful approach to deal with contaminations and noises in image processing. In this paper, we introduce a new robust method for two-dimensional autoregressive models. Our method, called BMM-2D, relies on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-10 Grisel Maribel Britos , Silvia María Ojeda

In this paper, we propose a novel and efficient two-stage variable selection approach for sparse GLARMA models, which are pervasive for modeling discrete-valued time series. Our approach consists in iteratively combining the estimation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-31 Marina Gomtsyan , Céline Lévy-Leduc , Sarah Ouadah , Laure Sansonnet , Thomas Blein

Efficient estimation methods for simultaneous autoregressive (SAR) models with missing data in the response variable have been well-explored in the literature. A common practice is to introduce measurement error into SAR models to separate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Anjana Wijayawardhana , Thomas Suesse , David Gunawan

The thinning-based integer-valued autoregressive moving-average (INARMA) models are popular for count time series. Recently, types of INARMA models have also been developed for count random fields, i.e., for spatial count data located on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Angelika Silbernagel , Christian H. Weiß