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Early prediction of the prevalence of influenza reduces its impact. Various studies have been conducted to predict the number of influenza-infected people. However, these studies are not highly accurate especially in the distant future such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-08 Kenjiro Kondo , Akihiko Ishikawa , Masashi Kimura

The Influenza A virus belongs to the Orthomyxoviridae family. Influenza virus infection occurs yearly in all countries of the world. It usually kills between 250,000 and 500,000 people and causes severe illness in millions more. Over the…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2014-11-25 Juliana Silva Capitanio , Richard W. Wozniak

Rapid identification of newly emerging or circulating viruses is an important first step toward managing the public health response to potential outbreaks. A portable virus capture device coupled with label-free Raman Spectroscopy holds the…

Human seasonal influenza viruses evolve rapidly, enabling the virus population to evade immunity and re-infect previously infected individuals. Antigenic properties are largely determined by the surface glycoprotein hemagglutinin (HA) and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-27 Richard A. Neher , Trevor Bedford , Rodney S. Daniels , Colin A. Russell , Boris I. Shraiman

We introduce the use of a Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) for influenza prediction at the state- and city-level in the US, and experiment with the inclusion of real-time flu-related Internet search data. We find that a GRU has lower prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-14 Emily L. Aiken , Andre T. Nguyen , Mauricio Santillana

Influenza viruses undergo continual antigenic evolution allowing mutant viruses to evade host immunity acquired to previous virus strains. Antigenic phenotype is often assessed through pairwise measurement of cross-reactivity between…

Monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) represent one of the most prevalent FDA-approved modalities for treating autoimmune diseases, infectious diseases, and cancers. However, discovery and development of therapeutic antibodies remains a…

We present a machine learning-based methodology capable of providing real-time ("nowcast") and forecast estimates of influenza activity in the US by leveraging data from multiple data sources including: Google searches, Twitter microblogs,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-17 Mauricio Santillana , Andre T. Nguyen , Mark Dredze , Michael J. Paul , John S. Brownstein

Phylogenetic analyses based on small to moderately sized sets of sequential data lead to overestimating mutation rates in influenza hemagglutinin (HA) by at least an order of magnitude. Two major underlying reasons are: the incomplete…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-11 Jan P. Radomski , Piotr Płoński , Włodzimierz Zagórski-Ostoja

The ability to predict the evolution of a pathogen would significantly improve the ability to control, prevent, and treat disease. Despite significant progress in other problem spaces, deep learning has yet to contribute to the issue of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-28 Daniel S. Berman , Craig Howser , Thomas Mehoke , Jared D. Evans

The seasonal human influenza virus undergoes rapid evolution, leading to significant changes in circulating viral strains from year to year. These changes are typically driven by adaptive mutations, particularly in the antigenic epitopes,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-28 Matthijs Meijers , Denis Ruchnewitz , Jan Eberhardt , Malancha Karmakar , Marta Łuksza , Michael Lässig

Epidemics of influenza are major public health concerns. Since influenza prediction always relies on the weekly clinical or laboratory surveillance data, typically the weekly Influenza-like illness (ILI) rate series, accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Siyue Yang , Yukun Bao

Influenza virus contains two highly variable envelope glycoproteins, hemagglutinin (HA) and neuraminidase (NA). The structure and properties of HA, which is responsible for binding the virus to the cell that is being infected, change…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2012-09-14 J. C. Phillips

Influenza virus contains two highly variable envelope glycoproteins, hemagglutinin (HA) and neuraminidase (NA). The structure and properties of HA, which is responsible for binding the virus to the cell that is being infected, change…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2012-09-20 J. C. Phillips

Despite having triggered devastating pandemics in the past, our ability to quantitatively assess the emergence potential of individual strains of animal influenza viruses remains limited. This study introduces Emergenet, a tool to infer a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-27 Kevin Yuanbo Wu , Jin Li , Aaron Esser-Kahn , Ishanu Chattopadhyay

The accurate forecasting of infectious epidemic diseases such as influenza is a crucial task undertaken by medical institutions. Although numerous flu forecasting methods and models based mainly on historical flu activity data and online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Taichi Murayama , Shoko Wakamiya , Eiji Aramaki

Viral zoonoses have emerged as the key drivers of recent pandemics. Human infection by zoonotic viruses are either spillover events -- isolated infections that fail to cause a widespread contagion -- or species jumps, where successful…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-01-25 Jaideep Dhanoa , Balaji Manicassamy , Ishanu Chattopadhyay

Seasonal influenza kills hundreds of thousands every year, with multiple constantly-changing strains in circulation at any given time. A high mutation rate enables the influenza virus to evade recognition by the human immune system,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-28 Blake J. M. Williams , C. Brandon Ogbunugafor , Benjamin M. Althouse , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

In this paper, we present a new approach to time series forecasting. Time series data are prevalent in many scientific and engineering disciplines. Time series forecasting is a crucial task in modeling time series data, and is an important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-24 Neo Wu , Bradley Green , Xue Ben , Shawn O'Banion

Inclusion of high throughput technologies in the field of biology has generated massive amounts of biological data in the recent years. Now, transforming these huge volumes of data into knowledge is the primary challenge in computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-06 Dibyendu Ghosh , Srija Chakraborty , Hariprasad Kodamana , Supriya Chakraborty