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The potential for complex systems to exhibit tipping points in which an equilibrium state undergoes a sudden and often irreversible shift is well established, but prediction of these events using standard forecast modeling techniques is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-07 Daniel Dylewsky , Timothy M. Lenton , Marten Scheffer , Thomas M. Bury , Christopher G. Fletcher , Madhur Anand , Chris T. Bauch

Mesoscale forecasts are now routinely performed as elements of operational forecasts and their outputs do appear convincing. However, despite their realistic appearance at times the comparison to observations is less favorable. At the grid…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-10-26 Markus Gross

Visualizing the uncertainty of ensemble simulations is challenging due to the large size and multivariate and temporal features of ensemble data sets. One popular approach to studying the uncertainty of ensembles is analyzing the positional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Mengjiao Han , Tushar M. Athawale , David Pugmire , Chris R. Johnson

Multi-model ensembles provide a pragmatic approach to the representation of model uncertainty in climate prediction. However, such representations are inherently ad hoc, and, as shown, probability distributions of climate variables based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-26 T. N. Palmer , F. J. Doblas-Reyes , A. Weisheimer , G. J. Shutts , J. Berner , J. M. Murphy

Understanding and evaluating uncertainty play a key role in decision-making. When a viewer studies a visualization that demands inference, it is necessary that uncertainty is portrayed in it. This paper showcases the importance of…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-01-19 Krisha Mehta

Stopword removal is a critical stage in many Machine Learning methods but often receives little consideration, it interferes with the model visualizations and disrupts user confidence. Inappropriately chosen or hastily omitted stopwords not…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Shuangjiang Xue , Pierre Le Bras , David A. Robb , Mike J. Chantler , Stefano Padilla

A very common task in data visualization is to plot many data points with some measured y-value as a function of fixed x-values. Uncertainties on the y-values are typically presented as vertical error bars that represent either a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Lukas Koch

A reliable representation of uncertainty is essential for the application of modern machine learning methods in safety-critical settings. In this regard, the use of credal sets (i.e., convex sets of probability distributions) has recently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Paul Hofman , Timo Löhr , Maximilian Muschalik , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

Revealing the structural features of a complex system from the observed collective dynamics is a fundamental problem in network science. In order to compute the various topological descriptors commonly used to characterize the structure of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-02-16 Sebastian Raimondo , Manlio De Domenico

Probabilistic models inform an increasingly broad range of business and policy decisions ultimately made by people. Recent algorithmic, computational, and software framework development progress facilitate the proliferation of Bayesian…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Sebastian Stein , John H. Williamson

The increasing adoption of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) has led to their application in many challenging scientific visualization tasks. While advanced DNNs offer impressive generalization capabilities, understanding factors such as model…

Large-scale numerical simulations often produce high-dimensional gridded data that is challenging to process for downstream applications. A prime example is numerical weather prediction, where atmospheric processes are modeled using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Jieyu Chen , Kevin Höhlein , Sebastian Lerch

Symbolic data analysis has been proposed as a technique for summarising large and complex datasets into a much smaller and tractable number of distributions -- such as random rectangles or histograms -- each describing a portion of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-23 Thomas Whitaker , Boris Beranger , Scott A. Sisson

Recently, deep learning has emerged as a promising tool for statistical downscaling, the set of methods for generating high-resolution climate fields from coarse low-resolution variables. Nevertheless, their ability to generalize to climate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Jose González-Abad , Jorge Baño-Medina

Ensemble datasets are ever more prevalent in various scientific domains. In climate science, ensemble datasets are used to capture variability in projections under plausible future conditions including greenhouse and aerosol emissions. Each…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Yuya Kawakami , Daniel Cayan , Dongyu Liu , Kwan-Liu Ma

In topological data analysis and visualization, topological descriptors such as persistence diagrams, merge trees, contour trees, Reeb graphs, and Morse-Smale complexes play an essential role in capturing the shape of scalar field data. We…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Lin Yan , Talha Bin Masood , Raghavendra Sridharamurthy , Farhan Rasheed , Vijay Natarajan , Ingrid Hotz , Bei Wang

Numerous studies have focused on learning and understanding the dynamics of physical systems from video data, such as spatial intelligence. Artificial intelligence requires quantitative assessments of the uncertainty of the model to ensure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Aoming Liang , Qi Liu , Lei Xu , Fahad Sohrab , Weicheng Cui , Changhui Song , Moncef Gabbouj

Dealing with visualizations containing large data set is a challenging issue and, in the field of Information Visualization, almost every visual technique reveals its drawback when visualizing large number of items. To deal with this…

Graphics · Computer Science 2017-01-26 Enrico Bertini , Giuseppe Santucci

Visual models play a crucial role in both science and science communication. However, the distinction between mere analogies and mathematically sound graphical representations is not easy and can be misunderstood not only by laypeople but…

Physics Education · Physics 2025-09-12 Jonathan Dechert , Svetlana Gurevich , Stefan Heusler

Scatterplots are used for a variety of visual analytics tasks, including cluster identification, and the visual encodings used on a scatterplot play a deciding role on the level of visual separation of clusters. For visualization designers,…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Ghulam Jilani Quadri , Paul Rosen