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We provide a general mechanism to design online learning algorithms based on a minimax analysis within a drifting-games framework. Different online learning settings (Hedge, multi-armed bandit problems and online convex optimization) are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-10-31 Haipeng Luo , Robert E. Schapire

We consider stochastic differential games with a large number of players, with the aim of quantifying the gap between closed-loop, open-loop and distributed equilibria. We show that, under two different semi-monotonicity conditions, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Marco Cirant , Joe Jackson , Davide Francesco Redaelli

This paper studies a class of approach-evasion differential games, in which one player aims to steer the state of a dynamic system to the given target set in minimum time, while avoiding some set of disallowed states, and the other player…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-10-01 Erich Mueller , Minghui Zhu , Sertac Karaman , Emilio Frazzoli

Drift analysis aims at translating the expected progress of an evolutionary algorithm (or more generally, a random process) into a probabilistic guarantee on its run time (hitting time). So far, drift arguments have been successfully…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Benjamin Doerr , Timo Kötzing

Recent work on Path-Dependent Partial Differential Equations (PPDEs) has shown that PPDE solutions can be approximated by a probabilistic representation, implemented in the literature by the estimation of conditional expectations using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Jiang Yu Nguwi , Nicolas Privault

Drift theory is an intuitive tool for reasoning about random processes: It allows turning expected stepwise changes into expected first-hitting times. While drift theory is used extensively by the community studying randomized search…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-07 Andreas Göbel , Timo Kötzing , Martin S. Krejca

For the last ten years, almost every theoretical result concerning the expected run time of a randomized search heuristic used drift theory, making it the arguably most important tool in this domain. Its success is due to its ease of use…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-25 Timo Kötzing , Martin S. Krejca

Two-player graph games have found numerous applications, most notably in the synthesis of reactive systems from temporal specifications, but also in verification. The relevance of infinite-state systems in these areas has lead to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Philippe Heim , Rayna Dimitrova

This work addresses the classic machine learning problem of online prediction with expert advice. We consider the finite-horizon version of this zero-sum, two-person game. Using verification arguments from optimal control theory, we view…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Vladimir A. Kobzar , Robert V. Kohn , Zhilei Wang

Pursuit-Evasion Games (in discrete time) are stochastic games with nonnegative daily payoffs, with the final payoff being the cumulative sum of payoffs during the game. We show that such games admit a value even in the presence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-21 Ori Gurel-Gurevich

We consider the development of adaptive, instance-dependent algorithms for interactive decision making (bandits, reinforcement learning, and beyond) that, rather than only performing well in the worst case, adapt to favorable properties of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-26 Andrew Wagenmaker , Dylan J. Foster

This paper handles a kind of strategic game called potential games and develops a novel learning algorithm Payoff-based Inhomogeneous Partially Irrational Play (PIPIP). The present algorithm is based on Distributed Inhomogeneous Synchronous…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2011-07-26 Tatsuhiko Goto , Takeshi Hatanaka , Masayuki Fujita

In this paper we introduce polytopal stochastic games, an extension of two-player, zero-sum, turn-based stochastic games, in which we may have uncertainty over the transition probabilities. In these games the uncertainty over the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Pablo F. Castro , Pedro D'Argenio

We study two-player zero-sum stochastic games, and propose a form of independent learning dynamics called Doubly Smoothed Best-Response dynamics, which integrates a discrete and doubly smoothed variant of the best-response dynamics into…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Zaiwei Chen , Kaiqing Zhang , Eric Mazumdar , Asuman Ozdaglar , Adam Wierman

Pure exploration (aka active testing) is the fundamental task of sequentially gathering information to answer a query about a stochastic environment. Good algorithms make few mistakes and take few samples. Lower bounds (for multi-armed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-26 Rémy Degenne , Wouter M. Koolen , Pierre Ménard

We give an asymptotic development of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), or any other estimator defined implicitly, in a way which involves the limiting behavior of the score and its higher-order derivatives. This development, which is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Antoine Lejay , Sara Mazzonetto

This paper considers a class of reinforcement-based learning (namely, perturbed learning automata) and provides a stochastic-stability analysis in repeatedly-played, positive-utility, finite strategic-form games. Prior work in this class of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-01-29 Georgios C. Chasparis

We present a robust framework with computational algorithms to support decision makers in sequential games. Our framework includes methods to solve games with complete information, assess the robustness of such solutions and, finally,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-22 Tahir Ekin , Roi Naveiro , Alberto Torres-Barrán , David Ríos-Insua

We study the Active Simple Hypothesis Testing (ASHT) problem, a simpler variant of the Fixed Budget Best Arm Identification problem. In this work, we provide novel game theoretic formulation of the upper bounds of the ASHT problem. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Sushant Vijayan

We consider a randomized algorithm for the unique games problem, using independent multinomial probabilities to assign labels to the vertices of a graph. The expected value of the solution obtained by the algorithm is expressed as a…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2015-08-10 Rajeev Kohli , Ramesh Krishnamurti
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