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Related papers: Tail Quantile Estimation for Non-preemptive Priori…

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Driven by applications in telecommunication networks, we explore the simulation task of estimating rare event probabilities for tandem queues in their steady state. Existing literature has recognized that importance sampling methods can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Ruoning Zhao , Xinyun Chen

We provide the first algorithm that under minimal assumptions allows to simulate the stationary waiting-time sequence of a single-server queue backwards in time, jointly with the input processes of the queue (inter-arrival and service…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-22 Jose Blanchet , Aya Wallwater

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of the tail probability of the number of customers in the steady-state $M/G/1$ retrial queue with Bernoulli schedule, under the assumption that the service time distribution has a regularly…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Bin Liu , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

We consider the task of heavy-tailed statistical estimation given streaming $p$-dimensional samples. This could also be viewed as stochastic optimization under heavy-tailed distributions, with an additional $O(p)$ space complexity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Che-Ping Tsai , Adarsh Prasad , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Pradeep Ravikumar

We propose a class of strongly efficient rare event simulation estimators for random walks and compound Poisson processes with a regularly varying increment/jump-size distribution in a general large deviations regime. Our estimator is based…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-14 Bohan Chen , Jose Blanchet , Chang-Han Rhee , Bert Zwart

A computer code can simulate a system's propagation of variation from random inputs to output measures of quality. Our aim here is to estimate a critical output tail probability or quantile without a large Monte Carlo experiment. Instead,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-16 Hao Chen , William J. Welch

Queueing networks are systems of theoretical interest that find widespread use in the performance evaluation of interconnected resources. In comparison to counterpart models in genetics or mathematical biology, the stochastic (jump)…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-28 Iker Perez , Giuliano Casale

The theory community has proposed several new heap variants in the recent past which have remained largely untested experimentally. We take the field back to the drawing board, with straightforward implementations of both classic and novel…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-03-04 Daniel H. Larkin , Siddhartha Sen , Robert E. Tarjan

We consider calculation of capital requirements when the underlying economic scenarios are determined by simulatable risk factors. In the respective nested simulation framework, the goal is to estimate portfolio tail risk, quantified via…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-18 Michael Ludkovski , James Risk

Computation of extreme quantiles and tail-based risk measures using standard Monte Carlo simulation can be inefficient. A method to speed up computations is provided by importance sampling. We show that importance sampling algorithms,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-21 Henrik Hult , Jens Svensson

We consider a single-server GI/GI/1 queueing system with feedback. We assume the service times distribution to be (intermediate) regularly varying. We find the tail asymptotics for a customer's sojourn time in two regimes: the customer…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Sergey Foss , Masakiyo Miyazawa

The performance of non-preemptive M/M/1 queueing system with two priority is analyzed. By using complementary variable method to make vector Markov process and analyzing the state-change equations of the queueing system, the generating…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-02-13 Zhao Guo-xi , Hu Qi-Zhou

When an explicit expression for a probability distribution function $F(x)$ can not be found, asymptotic properties of the tail probability function $\bar{F}(x)=1-F(x)$ are very valuable, since they provide approximations or bounds for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Bin Liu , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

Probabilistic model checking mainly concentrates on techniques for reasoning about the probabilities of certain path properties or expected values of certain random variables. For the quantitative system analysis, however, there is also…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-01-11 Michael Ummels , Christel Baier

We develop an efficient simulation algorithm for computing the tail probabilities of the infinite series $S = \sum_{n \geq 1} a_n X_n$ when random variables $X_n$ are heavy-tailed. As $S$ is the sum of infinitely many random variables, any…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-08 Henrik Hult , Sandeep Juneja , Karthyek Murthy

A FORTRAN program to simulate the operation of infinite servers queues is presented in this work. Poisson arrivals processes are considered but not only. For many parameters of interest in queuing systems study or application, either there…

Performance · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Manuel Alberto M. Ferreira

The efficient management of large-scale queueing networks is critical for a variety of sectors, including healthcare, logistics, and customer service, where system performance has profound implications for operational effectiveness and cost…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-22 L. Jeff Hong , Yingda Song , Tan Wang

Given a finite collection of stochastic alternatives, we study the problem of sequentially allocating a fixed sampling budget to identify the optimal alternative with a high probability, where the optimal alternative is defined as the one…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Dohyun Ahn , Taeho Kim

A network belongs to the monotone separable class if its state variables are homogeneous and monotone functions of the epochs of the arrival process. This framework contains several classical queueing network models, including generalized…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marc Lelarge

We consider a Markovian single server queue in which customers are preemptively scheduled by exogenously assigned priority levels. The novelty in our model is that the priority levels are randomly assigned from a continuous probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-09 Neal Master , Zhengyuan Zhou , Nicholas Bambos