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Related papers: Some results on probabilities of moderate deviatio…

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It is well understood that if one is given a set $X \subset [0,1]$ of $n$ independent uniformly distributed random variables, then $$ \sup_{0 \leq x \leq 1} \left| \frac{\# X \cap [0,x]}{\# X} - x \right| \lesssim \frac{\sqrt{\log{n}}}{…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-24 Dmitriy Bilyk , Stefan Steinerberger

We prove a moderate deviation principle for the capacity of the range of random walk in $\mathbb{Z}^5$. Depending on the scale of deviation, we get two different regimes. We observe Gaussian tails when the deviation scale is smaller than…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Arka Adhikari , Jiyun Park

We study the problem of estimating the common mean $\mu$ of $n$ independent symmetric random variables with different and unknown standard deviations $\sigma_1 \le \sigma_2 \le \cdots \le\sigma_n$. We show that, under some mild regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-23 Luc Devroye , Silvio Lattanzi , Gabor Lugosi , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

Given a symmetric random walk in $Z^2$ with finite second moments, let $R_n$ be the range of the random walk up to time $n$. We study moderate deviations for $R_n -E R_n$ and $E R_n -R_n$. We also derive the corresponding laws of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Richard F. Bass , Xia Chen , Jay Rosen

The purpose of the present paper is to establish explicit bounds on moderate deviation probabilities for a rather general class of geometric functionals enjoying the stabilization property, under Poisson input and the assumption of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Peter Eichelsbacher , Martin Raic , Tomasz Schreiber

Let $0 < p < 2$. Let $\{X, X_{n}; n \geq 1\}$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed $\mathbf{B}$-valued random variables and set $S_{n} = \sum_{i=1}^{n}X_{i},~n \geq 1$. In this paper, a supplement to the classical laws…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-13 Deli Li , Yu Miao

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtaining robust parameter estimates. We modify the standard likelihood equations by incorporating a weight that reflects the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Claudio Agostinelli , Ayanendranath Basu , Giulia Bertagnolli , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

In this paper we consider the (weighted) spectral measure $\mu_n$ of a $n\times n$ random matrix, distributed according to a classical Gaussian, Laguerre or Jacobi ensemble, and show a moderate deviation principle for the standardised…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-27 Jan Nagel

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be mutually independent centered Gaussian processes with almost surely continuous sample paths. We derive the exact asymptotics of $$ P\left(\exists_{t \in [0,T]} \forall_{i=1 ... n} X_i(t)> u \right) $$…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Kamil Tabiś

The Moderate Deviations Principle (MDP) is well-understood for sums of independent random variables, worse understood for stationary random sequences, and scantily understood for random fields. Here it is established for some planary random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Boris Tsirelson

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behaviour of the product tail probability $ \mathbb{P}(\xi_1\cdots\xi_N \geqslant n), $ where $\{\xi_1,\ldots,\xi_N\}$ is a finite collection of independent Poisson random variables with positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Džiugas Chvoinikov , Jonas Šiaulys

Let $\alpha_n(\cdot)=P\bigl(X_{n+1}\in\cdot\mid X_1,\ldots,X_n\bigr)$ be the predictive distributions of a sequence $(X_1,X_2,\ldots)$ of $p$-dimensional random vectors. Suppose $$\alpha_n= \mathcal{N} _p (M_n,Q_n)$$ where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Samuele Garelli , Fabrizio Leisen , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

Let $\xi_0,\xi_1,\ldots$ be independent identically distributed complex- valued random variables such that $\mathbb{E}\log(1+|\xi _0|)<\infty$. We consider random analytic functions of the form…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-25 Zakhar Kabluchko , Dmitry Zaporozhets

By extending the methods in Peligrad et al. (2014a, b), we establish exact moderate and large deviation asymptotics for linear random fields with independent innovations. These results are useful for studying nonparametric regression with…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Hailin Sang , Yimin Xiao

We consider the point process of zeroes of certain Gaussian analytic functions and find the asymptotics for the probability that there are more than m points of the process in a fixed disk of radius r, as m-->infinity. For the Planar…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Manjunath Krishnapur

A decoupled standard random walk is a sequence of independent random variables $(\hat{S}_n)_{n \geq 1}$ such that, for each $n \geq 1$, the distribution of $\hat{S}_n$ is the same as that of $S_n = \xi_1 + \ldots + \xi_n$, where $(\xi_k)_{k…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-08 Dariusz Buraczewski , Alexander Iksanov , Alexander Marynych

For each $n$, let $A_n=(\sigma_{ij})$ be an $n\times n$ deterministic matrix and let $X_n=(X_{ij})$ be an $n\times n$ random matrix with i.i.d. centered entries of unit variance. In the companion article Cook et al., we considered the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-31 Nicholas A. Cook , Walid Hachem , Jamal Najim , David Renfrew

Let $X_k$ denote the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions in a random subset of $\mathbb{Z}/N\mathbb{Z}$ or $\{1, \dots, N\}$ where every element is included independently with probability $p$. We determine the asymptotics of $\log…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly , Xuancheng Shao , Yufei Zhao

A determinantal approximation is obtained for the permanent of a doubly stochastic matrix. For moderate-deviation matrix sequences, the asymptotic relative error is of order $O(n^{-1})$.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-05-28 Peter McCullagh

In this paper, we investigate a stochastic approximation procedure $\left(X_n\right)_{n\ge 0}$ taking values in $R$. The process is adapted to a filtration $(F_n)_{n\ge 0}$ and satisfies the recursion…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Jianan Shi , Qing Yin , Yu Miao