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Consider a sequence of Poisson point processes of non-trivial loops with certain intensity measures $(\mu^{(n)})_n$, where each $\mu^{(n)}$ is explicitly determined by transition probabilities $p^{(n)}$ of a random walk on a finite state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Yinshan Chang

This paper deals with studying vague convergence of random measures of the form $\mu_{n}=\sum_{i=1}^{n} p_{i,n} \delta_{\theta_i}$, where $(\theta_i)_{1\le i \le n}$ is a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Luai Al-Labadi

Let $\mathbf{X} = (X_i)_{1\leq i \leq n}$ be an i.i.d. sample of square-integrable variables in $\mathbb{R}^d$, \GB{with common expectation $\mu$ and covariance matrix $\Sigma$, both unknown.} We consider the problem of testing if $\mu$ is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Gilles Blanchard , Jean-Baptiste Fermanian

In this paper, we use the framework of mod-$\phi$ convergence to prove precise large or moderate deviations for quite general sequences of real valued random variables $(X_{n})_{n \in \mathbb{N}}$, which can be lattice or non-lattice…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Valentin Féray , Pierre-Loïc Méliot , Ashkan Nikeghbali

This paper considers extreme values attained by a centered, multidimensional Gaussian process $X(t)= (X_1(t),\ldots,X_n(t))$ minus drift $d(t)=(d_1(t),\ldots,d_n(t))$, on an arbitrary set $T$. Under mild regularity conditions, we establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-22 Krzysztof Dębicki , Kamil Marcin Kosiński , Michel Mandjes , Tomasz Rolski

In the common time series model $X_{i,n} = \mu (i/n) + \varepsilon_{i,n}$ with non-stationary errors we consider the problem of detecting a significant deviation of the mean function $\mu$ from a benchmark $g (\mu )$ (such as the initial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

The main contribution of this article is an asymptotic expression for the rate associated with moderate deviations of subgraph counts in the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph $G(n,m)$. Our approach is based on applying Freedman's inequalities…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Christina Goldschmidt , Simon Griffiths , Alex Scott

Let S_1(n),...,S_p(n) be independent symmetric random walks in Z^d. We establish moderate deviations and law of the iterated logarithm for the intersection of the ranges #{S_1[0,n]\cap... \cap S_p[0,n]} in the case d=2, p\ge 2 and the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Xia Chen

Let g(x)=x/2 + 17/30 (mod 1), let \xi_i, i= 1,2,... be a sequence of independent, identically distributed random variables with uniform distribution on the interval [0,1/15], define g_i(x)=g(x)+ \xi_i (mod 1) and, for n=1,2,..., define…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-03 Thomas Kaijser

We obtain sharp upper and lower bounds for the moderate deviations of the volume of the range of a random walk in dimension five and larger. Our results encompass two regimes: a Gaussian regime for small deviations, and a stretched…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-18 Amine Asselah , Bruno Schapira

In this article we refine well-known results concerning the fluctuations of one-dimensional random walks. More precisely, if $(S_n)_{n \geq 0}$ is a random walk starting from 0 and $r\geq 0$, we obtain the precise asymptotic behavior as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Rim Essifi , Marc Peigné , Kilian Raschel

We consider a stable but nearly unstable autoregressive process of any order. The bridge between stability and instability is expressed by a time-varying companion matrix $A_{n}$ with spectral radius $\rho(A_{n}) < 1$ satisfying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Frédéric Proïa

A moderate deviation principle for nonlinear functions of Gaussian processes is established. The nonlinear functions need not be locally bounded. Especially, the logarithm is allowed. (Thus, small deviations of the process are relevant.)…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Boris Tsirelson

We consider $n\times n$ Hermitian matrices with i.i.d. entries $X_{ij}$ whose tail probabilities $\mathbb {P}(|X_{ij}|\geq t)$ behave like $e^{-at^{\alpha}}$ for some $a>0$ and $\alpha \in(0,2)$. We establish a large deviation principle for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-29 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo

We consider a conservative ergodic measure-preserving transformation $T$ of the measure space $(X,\mathcal{B},\mu)$ with $\mu$ a $\sigma$-finite measure and $\mu(X)=\infty$. Given an observable $g:X\to \mathbb{R}$, it is well known from…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-27 Claudio Bonanno , Tanja I. Schindler

Let $(X_n)_{n\in \mathbb{N}}$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables with distribution $\mathbb P(X_1=1)=\mathbb P(X_1=-1)=1/2$. Let $F(\sigma)=\sum_{n=1}^\infty X_nn^{-\sigma}$. We prove that the following holds almost surely…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-14 Marco Aymone , Susana Frómeta , Ricardo Misturini

We evaluate the asymptotic size of various sums of G\'al type, in particular $$S( \mathcal{M}):=\sum_{m,n\in\mathcal{M}} \sqrt{(m,n) \over [m,n]},$$ where $\mathcal{M}$ is a finite set of integers. Elaborating on methods recently developed…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Régis de la Bretèche , Gérald Tenenbaum

Let $(\xi_i,\mathcal{F}_i)_{i\geq1}$ be a sequence of martingale differences. Set $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^n\xi_i $ and $[ S]_n=\sum_{i=1}^n \xi_i^2.$ We prove a Cram\'er type moderate deviation expansion for $\mathbf{P}(S_n/\sqrt{[ S]_n} \geq x)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-11 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu , Qi-Man Shao

The purpose of the present paper is to establish moderate deviation principles for a rather general class of random variables fulfilling certain bounds of the cumulants. We apply a celebrated lemma of the theory of large deviations…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-28 Hanna Doering , Peter Eichelsbacher

Consider the random walk $S_n=\xi_1+...+\xi_n$ with independent and identically distributed increments and negative mean $\mathbf E\xi=-m<0$. Let $M=\sup_{0\le i} S_i$ be the supremum of the random walk. In this note we present derivation…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-30 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel