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The comovement phenomenon in financial markets creates decision scenarios with positively correlated asset returns. This paper addresses covariance matrix estimation under such conditions, motivated by observations of significant positive…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-03 Weilong Liu , Yanchu Liu

In this study, we propose a new definition of multivariate conditional value-at-risk (MCVaR) as a set of vectors for discrete probability spaces. We explore the properties of the vector-valued MCVaR (VMCVaR) and show the advantages of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Merve Merakli , Simge Kucukyavuz

Equivalent characterizations of multiportfolio time consistency are deduced for closed convex and coherent set-valued risk measures on $L^p(\Omega,\mathcal F, P; R^d)$ with image space in the power set of $L^p(\Omega,\mathcal F_t,P;R^d)$.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-27 Zachary Feinstein , Birgit Rudloff

In this article we consider L\'evy driven continuous time moving average processes observed on a lattice, which are stationary time series. We show asymptotic normality of the sample mean, the sample autocovariances and the sample…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-15 Serge Cohen , Alexander Lindner

We propose a novel and efficient iterative two-stage variable selection approach for multivariate sparse GLARMA models, which can be used for modelling multivariate discrete-valued time series. Our approach consists in iteratively combining…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-01 M. Gomtsyan , C. Lévy-Leduc , S. Ouadah , L. Sansonnet , C. Bailly , L. Rajjou

This article introduces the class of continuous time locally stationary wavelet processes. Continuous time models enable us to properly provide scale-based time series models for irregularly-spaced observations for the first time, while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Henry Antonio Palasciano , Marina I. Knight , Guy P. Nason

We present a re-parameterization of vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) models that allows estimation of parameters under the constraints of causality and invertibility. The parameter constraints associated with a causal invertible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-19 Anindya Roy , Tucker S. McElroy , Peter Linton

Switching ARMA models greatly enhance the standard linear models to the extent that different ARMA model is allowed in a different regime, and the regime switching is typically assumed a Markov chain on the finite states of potential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Gopal K. Basak , Zhan-Qian Lu

We study stationarity and moments properties of some count time series models from contraction and stability properties of iterated random maps. Both univariate and multivariate processes are considered, including the recent multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Zinsou Max Debaly , Lionel Truquet

We consider a stable but nearly unstable autoregressive process of any order. The bridge between stability and instability is expressed by a time-varying companion matrix $A_{n}$ with spectral radius $\rho(A_{n}) < 1$ satisfying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Frédéric Proïa

We present a general class of spatio-temporal stochastic processes describing the causal evolution of a positive-valued field in space and time. The field construction is based on independently scattered random measures of Levy type whose…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. Schmiegel , O. E. Barndorff-Nielsen , H. C. Eggers

Multistable L\'evy motions are extensions of L\'evy motions where the stability index is allowed to vary in time. Several constructions of these processes have been introduced recently, based on Poisson and Ferguson-Klass-LePage series…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-24 Xiequan Fan , Jacques Lévy Véhel

In this paper, we propose new sequential randomized algorithms for convex optimization problems in the presence of uncertainty. A rigorous analysis of the theoretical properties of the solutions obtained by these algorithms, for full…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Mohammadreza Chamanbaz , Fabrizio Dabbene , Roberto Tempo , Venkatakrishnan Venkataramanan , Qing-Guo Wang

The purpose of this article is to introduce a new L\'evy process, termed Variance Gamma++ process, to model the dynamic of assets in illiquid markets. Such a process has the mathematical tractability of the Variance Gamma process and is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-03 M. Gardini , P. Sabino , E. Sasso

This paper provides some extended results on estimating parameter matrix of several regression models when the covariate or response possesses weaker moment condition. We study the $M$-estimator of Fan et al. (Ann Stat 49(3):1239--1266,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-08 Kangqiang Li , Songqiao Tang , Lixin Zhang

We investigate a mixed 0-1 conic quadratic optimization problem with indicator variables arising in mean-risk optimization. The indicator variables are often used to model non-convexities such as fixed charges or cardinality constraints.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Alper Atamturk , Hyemin Jeon

In this article, the complete moment convergence for the partial sum of moving average processes $\{X_n=\sum_{i=-\infty}^{\infty}a_iY_{i+n},n\ge 1\}$ is estabished under some proper conditions, where $\{Y_i,-\infty<i<\infty\}$ is a sequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-28 Mingzhou Xu , Xuhang Kong

We study the problem of stationarity and ergodicity for autoregressive multinomial logistic time series models which possibly include a latent process and are defined by a GARCH-type recursive equation. We improve considerably upon the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Konstantinos Fokianos , Lionel Truquet

The estimation of the diffusion matrix $\Sigma$ of a high-dimensional, possibly time-changed L\'evy process is studied, based on discrete observations of the process with a fixed distance. A low-rank condition is imposed on $\Sigma$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-05 Denis Belomestny , Mathias Trabs

In this study we show how to represent a continuous time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) as a higher order stochastic delay differential equation, which may be thought of as a continuous-time equivalent of the AR($\infty$)…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-12 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Mikkel Slot Nielsen , Jan Pedersen , Victor Rohde