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Conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is a prominent risk measure in financial engineering, energy systems, and supply chain management. In these domains, Markov decision processes (MDPs) with a long-run CVaR criterion effectively mitigate cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Qixin Wang , Hao Cao , Jian-Qiang Hu , Mingjie Hu , Li Xia

This paper contributes an in-depth study of properties of continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs) on non-negative integer lattices $\N_0^d$, with particular interest in one-dimensional CTMCs with polynomial transitions rates. Such stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-22 Chuang Xu , Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

This paper gives an overview of the theory of dynamic convex risk measures for random variables in discrete time setting. We summarize robust representation results of conditional convex risk measures, and we characterize various time…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-22 Beatrice Acciaio , Irina Penner

A class of multivariate periodic autoregressive models is proposed where coupling between time series is achieved through linear mean functions. Various response distributions with quadratic mean-variance relationships fit into the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-18 Johannes Bracher , Leonhard Held

We propose a simple stochastic process for modeling improper or noncircular complex-valued signals. The process is a natural extension of a complex-valued autoregressive process, extended to include a widely linear autoregressive term. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-16 Adam M. Sykulski , Sofia C. Olhede , Jonathan M. Lilly

Stationarity is a very common assumption in time series analysis. A vector autoregressive process is stationary if and only if the roots of its characteristic equation lie outside the unit circle, constraining the autoregressive coefficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Sarah E. Heaps

We study time-consistency questions for processes of monetary risk measures that depend on bounded discrete-time processes describing the evolution of financial values. The time horizon can be finite or infinite. We call a process of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Patrick Cheridito , Freddy Delbaen , Michael Kupper

In this paper, we consider an inference problem for the first order autoregressive process with non-zero mean driven by a long memory stationary Gaussian process. Suppose that the covariance function of the noise can be expressed as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Yanping Lu

In quantitative finance, we often model asset prices as a noisy Ito semimartingale. As this model is not identifiable, approximating by a time-changed Levy process can be useful for generative modelling. We give a new estimate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-17 Adam D. Bull

Markov matrices have an important role in the filed of stochastic processes. In this paper, we will show and prove a series of conclusions on Markov matrices and transformations rather than pay attention to stochastic processes although…

Rings and Algebras · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Chengshen Xu

We propose a voxel-wise general linear model with autoregressive noise and heteroscedastic noise innovations (GLMH) for analyzing functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data. The model is analyzed from a Bayesian perspective and has…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-31 Anders Eklund , Martin A. Lindquist , Mattias Villani

There has been a recent surge of interest in the study of asymptotic reconstruction performance in various cases of generalized linear estimation problems in the teacher-student setting, especially for the case of i.i.d standard normal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-20 Cedric Gerbelot , Alia Abbara , Florent Krzakala

We introduce a framework that allows to employ (non-negative) measure-valued processes for energy market modeling, in particular for electricity and gas futures. Interpreting the process' spatial structure as time to maturity, we show how…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-19 Christa Cuchiero , Luca Di Persio , Francesco Guida , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

In this paper continuous time random walk models approximating fractional space-time diffusion processes are studied. Stochastic processes associated with the considered equations represent time-changed processes, where the time-change…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Sabir Umarov

We consider the nonconvex regularized method for low-rank matrix recovery. Under the assumption on the singular values of the parameter matrix, we provide the recovery bound for any stationary point of the nonconvex method by virtue of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Xin Li , Dongya Wu

In many applications, the common assumption that a driving noise process affecting a system is independent or Markovian may not be realistic, but the noise process may be assumed to be stationary. To study such problems, this paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-08 Serdar Yüksel

A new shrinkage-based construction is developed for a compressible vector $\boldsymbol{x}\in\mathbb{R}^n$, for cases in which the components of $\xv$ are naturally associated with a tree structure. Important examples are when $\xv$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-14 Xin Yuan , Vinayak Rao , Shaobo Han , Lawrence Carin

By using the existing sharp estimates of density function for rotationally invariant symmetric $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy processes and rotationally invariant symmetric truncated $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy processes, we obtain that Harnack…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-17 Jian Wang

Rotation averaging (RA) is a fundamental problem in robotics and computer vision. In RA, the goal is to estimate a set of $N$ unknown orientations $R_{1}, ..., R_{N} \in SO(3)$, given noisy measurements $R_{ij} \sim R^{-1}_{i} R_{j}$ of a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-29 Owen Howell , Haoen Huang , David Rosen

There are some positively divisible non-Markovian processes whose transition matrices satisfy the Chapman-Kolmogorov equation. These processes should also satisfy the Kolmogorov consistency conditions, an essential requirement for a process…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-24 Bilal Canturk , Heinz-Peter Breuer