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Some large scale inference problems are considered based on using the relative belief ratio as a measure of statistical evidence. This approach is applied to the multiple testing problem. A particular application of this is concerned with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-22 Michael Evans , Jabed Tomal

The paper concerns inference in the ill-conditioned functional response model, which is a part of functional data analysis. In this regression model, the functional response is modeled using several independent scalar variables. To verify…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-07 Łukasz Smaga , Natalia Stefańska

This paper proposes maximum (quasi)likelihood estimation for high dimensional factor models with regime switching in the loadings. The model parameters are estimated jointly by the EM (expectation maximization) algorithm, which in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-11 Giovanni Urga , Fa Wang

The design of optimal test statistics is a key task in frequentist statistics and for a number of scenarios optimal test statistics such as the profile-likelihood ratio are known. By turning this argument around we can find the profile…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-25 Lukas Heinrich

Permutation testing in linear models, where the number of nuisance coefficients is smaller than the sample size, is a well-studied topic. The common approach of such tests is to permute residuals after regressing on the nuisance covariates.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-09 Jesse Hemerik , Magne Thoresen , Livio Finos

This paper deals with the dimension reduction for high-dimensional time series based on common factors. In particular we allow the dimension of time series $p$ to be as large as, or even larger than, the sample size $n$. The estimation for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-15 Clifford Lam , Qiwei Yao , Neil Bathia

Latent variable models are popularly used to measure latent factors (e.g., abilities and personalities) from large-scale assessment data. Beyond understanding these latent factors, the covariate effect on responses controlling for latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Jing Ouyang , Chengyu Cui , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

We study a class of backtests for forecast distributions in which the test statistic depends on a spectral transformation that weights exceedance events by a function of the modeled probability level. The weighting scheme is specified by a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-30 Michael B. Gordy , Alexander J. McNeil

We introduce a new procedure for testing the significance of a set of regression coefficients in a Gaussian linear model with $n \geq d$. Our method, the $L$-test, provides the same statistical validity guarantee as the classical $F$-test,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Danielle Paulson , Souhardya Sengupta , Lucas Janson

This paper proposes a new approach to estimating the distribution of a response variable conditioned on observing some factors. The proposed approach possesses desirable properties of flexibility, interpretability, tractability and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-16 Cheng Peng , Stanislav Uryasev

Reparameterization (RP) and likelihood ratio (LR) gradient estimators are used to estimate gradients of expectations throughout machine learning and reinforcement learning; however, they are usually explained as simple mathematical tricks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Paavo Parmas , Masashi Sugiyama

Testing for a mediation effect is important in many disciplines, but is made difficult - even asymptotically - by the influence of nuisance parameters. Classical tests such as likelihood ratio (LR) and Wald (Sobel) tests have very poor…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-05 Grant Hillier , Kees Jan van Garderen , Noud van Giersbergen

Bayes factor, defined as the ratio of the marginal likelihood functions of two competing models, is the natural Bayesian procedure for model selection. Marginal likelihoods are usually computationally demanding and complex. This scenario is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-09 Gabriel Calvo , Carmen Armero , Luigi Spezia , Maria Grazia Pennino

We consider finite-sample inference for a single regression coefficient in the fixed-design linear model $Y = Z\beta + bX + \varepsilon$, where $\varepsilon\in\mathbb{R}^n$ may exhibit complex dependence or heterogeneity. We develop a group…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-20 Zonghan Li , Hongyi Zhou , Zhiheng Zhang

Recently Liu and Wang derived the likelihood ratio test (LRT) statistic and its asymptotic distribution for testing equality of two multinomial distributions vs. the alternative that the second distribution is larger in terms of increasing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Arthur Cohen , John Kolassa , Harold Sackrowitz

In this article we use rate-distortion theory, a branch of information theory devoted to the problem of lossy compression, to shed light on an important problem in latent variable modeling of data: is there room to improve the model? One…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-17 Luis A. Lastras

Positive and negative likelihood ratios are parameters which are used to assess and compare the effectiveness of binary diagnostic tests. Both parameters only depend on the sensitivity and specificity of the diagnostic test and are…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2024-09-02 Jose Antonio Roldan-Nofuentes , Saad Bouh Sidaty-Regad

In this paper, we apply Vuong's (1989) likelihood ratio tests of non-nested models to the comparison of non-nested structural equation models. Similar tests have been previously applied in SEM contexts (especially to mixture models), though…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-18 Edgar C. Merkle , Dongjun You , Kristopher J. Preacher

In this work, the distributional properties of the goodness-of-fit term in likelihood-based information criteria are explored. These properties are then leveraged to construct a novel goodness-of-fit test for normal linear regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-20 Scott H. Koeneman , Joseph E. Cavanaugh

This paper focuses on the prominent sphericity test when the dimension $p$ is much lager than sample size $n$. The classical likelihood ratio test(LRT) is no longer applicable when $p\gg n$. Therefore a Quasi-LRT is proposed and asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-04 Zeng Li , Jianfeng Yao
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