Group Permutation Testing in Linear Model: Sharp Validity, Power Improvement, and Extension Beyond Exchangeability
Abstract
We consider finite-sample inference for a single regression coefficient in the fixed-design linear model , where may exhibit complex dependence or heterogeneity. We develop a group permutation framework, yielding a unified and analyzable randomization structure for linear-model testing. Under exchangeable errors, we place permutation-augmented regression tests within this group-theoretic setting and show that a grouped version of PALMRT controls Type I error at level at most for any permutation group; moreover, we provide an worst-case construction demonstrating that the factor is sharp and cannot be improved without additional assumptions. Second, we relate the Type II error to a design-dependent geometric separation. We formulate it as a combinatorial optimization problem over permutation groups and bound it under additional mild sub-Gaussian assumptions. For the Type II error upper bound control, we propose a constructive algorithm for the permutation strategy that is better (at least no worse) than the i.i.d. permutation, with simulations empirically indicating substantial power gains, especially under heavy-tailed designs. Finally, we extend group-based CPT and PALMRT beyond exchangeability by connecting rank-based randomization arguments to conformal inference. The resulting weighted group tests satisfy finite-sample Type I error bounds that degrade gracefully with a weighted average of total variation distances between and its group-permuted versions, recovering exact validity when these discrepancies vanish and yielding quantitative robustness otherwise. Taken together, the group-permutation viewpoint provides a principled bridge from exact randomization validity to design-adaptive power and quantitative robustness under approximate symmetries.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2601.17734,
title = {Group Permutation Testing in Linear Model: Sharp Validity, Power Improvement, and Extension Beyond Exchangeability},
author = {Zonghan Li and Hongyi Zhou and Zhiheng Zhang},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2601.17734},
year = {2026}
}
Comments
74 pages, 3 figures. Includes supplementary material