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Recently Hui et al. (2018) use F tests for testing a subset of random effect, demonstrating its computational simplicity and exactness when the first two moment of the random effects are specified. We extended the investigation of the F…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-11 P. Y. O'Shaughnessy , Francis Hui , Samuel Muller , A. H. Welsh

In particle physics and cosmology, distinguishing subtle new physics signals from established backgrounds is a fundamental and persistent challenge for phenomenologists. This paper discuss a simple and robust statistical framework to…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-05-08 S. Ansarifard

The problem of characterizing a multivariate distribution of a random vector using examination of univariate combinations of vector components is an essential issue of multivariate analysis. The likelihood principle plays a prominent role…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Albert Vexler

In hypothesis testing, the phenomenon of label noise, in which hypothesis labels are switched at random, contaminates the likelihood functions. In this paper, we develop a new method to determine the decision rule when we do not have…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-10-28 Dennis Wei , Kush R. Varshney

Frailty and resilience models provide a way to introduce random effects in hazard and reversed hazard rate modeling by random variables, called frailty and resilience random variables, respectively, to account for unobserved or unexplained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Arindam Panja , Pradip Kundu , Biswabrata Pradhan

We study the error rate of LLMs on tasks like arithmetic that require a deterministic output, and repetitive processing of tokens drawn from a small set of alternatives. We argue that incorrect predictions arise when small errors in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Suvrat Raju , Praneeth Netrapalli

We propose a novel frailty model with change points applying random effects to a Cox proportional hazard model to adjust the heterogeneity between clusters. Because the frailty model includes random effects, the parameters are estimated…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Masahiro Kojima , Shunichiro Orihara

Instrumental variable methods allow for inference about the treatment effect by controlling for unmeasured confounding in randomized experiments with noncompliance. However, many studies do not consider the observed compliance behavior in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-15 Kwonsang Lee , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Jing Qin , Dylan S. Small

The testing-based approach is a fundamental tool for establishing posterior contraction rates. Although the Hellinger metric is attractive owing to the existence of a desirable test function, it is not directly applicable in Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-26 Seonghyun Jeong

Throughout the last decade, random forests have established themselves as among the most accurate and popular supervised learning methods. While their black-box nature has made their mathematical analysis difficult, recent work has…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Tim Coleman , Wei Peng , Lucas Mentch

Composite likelihood inference has gained much popularity thanks to its computational manageability and its theoretical properties. Unfortunately, performing composite likelihood ratio tests is inconvenient because of their awkward…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-01 Manuela Cattelan , Nicola Sartori

We consider a robust version of the classical Wald test statistics for testing simple and composite null hypotheses for general parametric models. These test statistics are based on the minimum density power divergence estimators instead of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-04 Abhik Ghosh , Abhijit Mandal , Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo

Single-arm studies in the early development phases of new treatments are not uncommon in the context of rare diseases or in paediatrics. If an assessment of efficacy is to be made at the end of such a study, the observed endpoints can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Moritz Fabian Danzer , Rene Schmidt

Covariance Structure Analysis (CSA) or Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) is critical for political scientists measuring latent structural relationships, allowing for the simultaneous assessment of both latent and observed variables,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-20 Bang Quan Zheng , Peter M. Bentler

Standard supervised learning procedures are validated against a test set that is assumed to have come from the same distribution as the training data. However, in many problems, the test data may have come from a different distribution. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-28 Tim Coleman , Kimberly Kaufeld , Mary Frances Dorn , Lucas Mentch

Model checking plays an important role in linear regression as model misspecification seriously affects the validity and efficiency of regression analysis. In practice, model checking is often performed by subjectively evaluating the plot…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Rok Blagus , Jakob Peterlin , Janez Stare

There exist a number of tests for assessing the nonparametric heteroscedastic location-scale assumption. Here we consider a goodness-of-fit test for the more general hypothesis of the validity of this model under a parametric functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Marie Hušková , Simos G. Meintanis , Charl Pretorius

In this article, a novel identification test is proposed, which can be applied to parameteric models such as Mixture of Normal (MN) distributions, Markow Switching(MS), or Structural Autoregressive (SVAR) models. In the approach, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-09 Katarzyna Maciejowska

Accurate power and sample size (PSS) calculations are essential for designing studies that use quasi-likelihood (QL) models, which extend generalized linear models (GLMs) to settings where the full distribution of the outcome is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Shijie Yuan , Amy Cochran , Paul Rathouz

The interactive nature of Large Language Models (LLMs) theoretically allows models to refine and improve their answers, yet systematic analysis of the multi-turn behavior of LLMs remains limited. In this paper, we propose the FlipFlop…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Philippe Laban , Lidiya Murakhovs'ka , Caiming Xiong , Chien-Sheng Wu