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Experimental research on behavior and cognition frequently rests on stimulus or subject selection where not all characteristics can be fully controlled, even when attempting strict matching. For example, when contrasting patients to…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-29 Jona Sassenhagen , Phillip M. Alday

Frequently, empirical studies are plagued with missing data. When the data are missing not at random, the parameter of interest is not identifiable in general. Without additional assumptions, we can derive bounds of the parameters of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-12 Zhichao Jiang , Peng Ding

We consider real-time timely tracking of infection status (e.g., covid-19) of individuals in a population. In this work, a health care provider wants to detect infected people as well as people who have recovered from the disease as quickly…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-15 Melih Bastopcu , Sennur Ulukus

Although the interest in the the use of social and information networks has grown, most inferences on networks assume the data collected represents the complete. However, when ignoring missing data, even when missing completely at random,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-25 Tyler Vu , Tuo Lin , Jingjing Zou , Vladimir Novitsky , Xin Tu , Victor De Gruttola

Many operational AI systems depend on large-scale human annotation to detect rare but consequential events (e.g., fraud, defects, and medical abnormalities). When positives are rare, the prevalence effect induces systematic cognitive biases…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Gunnar P. Epping , Andrew Caplin , Erik Duhaime , William R. Holmes , Daniel Martin , Jennifer S. Trueblood

The ever-increasing amount of information flowing through Social Media forces the members of these networks to compete for attention and influence by relying on other people to spread their message. A large study of information propagation…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2010-08-09 Daniel M. Romero , Wojciech Galuba , Sitaram Asur , Bernardo A. Huberman

Active inference, a corollary of the free energy principle, is a formal way of describing the behavior of certain kinds of random dynamical systems that have the appearance of sentience. In this chapter, we describe how active inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-11 Noor Sajid , Lancelot Da Costa , Thomas Parr , Karl Friston

Regression is a fundamental prediction task common in data-centric engineering applications that involves learning mappings between continuous variables. In many engineering applications (e.g.\ structural health monitoring), feature-label…

Cross-sectional HIV incidence estimation leverages recency test results to determine the HIV incidence of a population of interest, where recency test uses biomarker profiles to infer whether an HIV-positive individual was "recently"…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Qi Wang , Ann Duerr , Fei Gao

We live in unprecedented times in terms of our ability to use evidence to inform medical care. For example, we can perform data-driven post-test probability calculations. However, there is work to do. As has been previously noted,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-07-29 Samuel J. Weisenthal , Amit K. Chowdhry

Cognitive biases are widespread in humans and animals alike, and can sometimes be reinforced by social interactions. One prime bias in judgment and decision-making is the human tendency to underestimate large quantities. Previous research…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-12 Bertrand Jayles , Clément Sire , Ralf H. J. M Kurvers

Given the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence, understanding the foundations of intelligent behaviour is increasingly important. Active inference, regarded as a general theory of behaviour, offers a principled approach to probing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Aswin Paul , Takuya Isomura , Adeel Razi

Active learning is usually applied to acquire labels of informative data points in supervised learning, to maximize accuracy in a sample-efficient way. However, maximizing the accuracy is not the end goal when the results are used for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-22 Louis Filstroff , Iiris Sundin , Petrus Mikkola , Aleksei Tiulpin , Juuso Kylmäoja , Samuel Kaski

In some multivariate problems with missing data, pairs of variables exist that are never observed together. For example, some modern biological tools can produce data of this form. As a result of this structure, the covariance matrix is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-13 Max Grazier G'Sell , Shai S. Shen-Orr , Robert Tibshirani

Sensitivity Analysis is a framework to assess how conclusions drawn from missing outcome data may be vulnerable to departures from untestable underlying assumptions. We extend the E-value, a popular metric for quantifying robustness of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-31 Wu Xue , Abbas Zaidi

Recommender systems trained on implicit feedback data rely on negative sampling to distinguish positive items from negative items for each user. Since the majority of positive interactions come from a small group of active users, negative…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Yueqing Xuan , Kacper Sokol , Mark Sanderson , Jeffrey Chan

In an observational study, it is common to leverage known null effect to detect bias. One such strategy is to set aside a placebo sample -- a subset of data immune from the hypothesized cause-and-effect relationship. Existence of an effect…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-05 Ting Ye , Shuxiao Chen , Bo Zhang

An increased awareness concerning risks of algorithmic bias has driven a surge of efforts around bias mitigation strategies. A vast majority of the proposed approaches fall under one of two categories: (1) imposing algorithmic fairness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Yunyi Li , Maria De-Arteaga , Maytal Saar-Tsechansky

The past decade has seen tremendous progress in the development of biomedical agents that are effective as pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) for HIV prevention. To expand the choice of products and delivery methods, new medications and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-03 Fei Gao , David V. Glidden , James P. Hughes , Deborah Donnell

This paper introduces a novel paradigm to impute missing data that combines a decision tree with an auto-associative neural network (AANN) based model and a principal component analysis-neural network (PCA-NN) based model. For each model,…

Applications · Statistics 2007-09-12 George Ssali , Tshilidzi Marwala
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