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Predicting fuel assembly bow in pressurized water reactors requires solving tightly coupled fluid-structure interaction problems, whose direct simulations can be computationally prohibitive, making large-scale uncertainty quantification…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-27 Ali Abboud , Josselin Garnier , Bertrand Leturcq , Stanislas de Lambert

In this paper, we investigate and design multiscale simulations for stochastic multiscale PDEs. As for the space, we consider a coarse grid and a known multiscale method, the Generalized Multiscale Finite Element Method (GMsFEM). In order…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Zecheng Zhang , Eric Chung , Yalchin Efendiev , Wing Tat Leung

Deploying deep learning models in safety-critical applications remains a very challenging task, mandating the provision of assurances for the dependable operation of these models. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods estimate the model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Daniel Bethell , Simos Gerasimou , Radu Calinescu

Reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) in machine learning (ML) regression tasks is becoming the focus of many studies in materials and chemical science. It is now well understood that average calibration is insufficient, and most studies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-25 Pascal Pernot

The Statistical Finite Element Method (statFEM) offers a Bayesian framework for integrating computational models with observational data, thus providing improved predictions for structural health monitoring and digital twinning. This paper…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Vahab Narouie , Henning Wessels , Fehmi Cirak , Ulrich Römer

When metallic glasses (MGs) are subjected to mechanical loads, the plastic response of atoms is non-uniform. However, the extent and manner in which atomic environment signatures present in the undeformed structure determine this plastic…

Materials Science · Physics 2020-01-22 Qi Wang , Anubhav Jain

Machine learning methods are increasingly widely used in high-risk settings such as healthcare, transportation, and finance. In these settings, it is important that a model produces calibrated uncertainty to reflect its own confidence and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Sophia Sun

Neural networks (NNs) are currently changing the computational paradigm on how to combine data with mathematical laws in physics and engineering in a profound way, tackling challenging inverse and ill-posed problems not solvable with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Apostolos F Psaros , Xuhui Meng , Zongren Zou , Ling Guo , George Em Karniadakis

This paper focuses on the problem of quantifying the effects of model-structure uncertainty in the context of time-evolving dynamical systems. This is motivated by multi-model uncertainty in computer physics simulations: developers often…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-01 Anthony M. DeGennaro , Nathan M. Urban , Balasubramanya T. Nadiga , Terry Haut

In this study, a stochastic constitutive modeling approach for elastomeric materials is developed to consider uncertainty in material behavior and its prediction. This effort leads to a demonstration of the deterministic approaches error…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-10-27 Aref Ghaderi , Vahid Morovati , Roozbeh Dargazany

Accurate prediction of urban wind flow is essential for urban planning, pedestrian safety, and environmental management. Yet, it remains challenging due to uncertain boundary conditions and the high cost of conventional CFD simulations.…

This paper presents a new stochastic finite element method for computing structural stochastic responses. The method provides a new expansion of stochastic response and decouples the stochastic response into a combination of a series of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Zhibao Zheng

Recently, unsupervised constitutive model discovery has gained attention through frameworks based on the Virtual Fields Method (VFM), most prominently the EUCLID approach. However, the performance of VFM-based approaches, including EUCLID,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Vahab Knauf Narouie , Jorge-Humberto Urrea-Quintero , Fehmi Cirak , Henning Wessels

TodevelopanovelUncertaintyQuantification (UQ) framework to estimate the uncertainty of patient survival models in the absence of ground truth, we developed and evaluated our approach based on a dataset of 1383 patients treated with…

Image-based computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling enables derivation of hemodynamic information, which has become a paradigm in cardiovascular research and healthcare. Nonetheless, the predictive accuracy largely depends on precisely…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-07-20 Han Gao , Xueyu Zhu , Jian-Xun Wang

Recent investigations have emphasized the importance of uncertainty quantification (UQ) to describe errors in nuclear theory. We carry out UQ for configuration-interaction shell model calculations in the $1s$-$0d$ valence space,…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-05-20 Jordan M. R. Fox , Calvin W. Johnson , Rodrigo Navarro Perez

Constitutive evaluations often dominate the computational cost of finite element (FE) simulations whenever material models are complex. Neural constitutive models (NCMs) offer a highly expressive and flexible framework for modeling complex…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Benjamin Alheit , Mathias Peirlinck , Siddhant Kumar

Techniques from artificial intelligence and machine learning are increasingly employed in nuclear theory, however, the uncertainties that arise from the complex parameter manifold encoded by the neural networks are often overlooked.…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-10-29 Mengyao Huang , Kyle A. Wendt , Nicolas F. Schunck , Erika M. Holmbeck

We propose a rigorous framework for Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) in which the UQ objectives and the assumptions/information set are brought to the forefront. This framework, which we call \emph{Optimal Uncertainty Quantification} (OUQ),…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-20 Houman Owhadi , Clint Scovel , Timothy John Sullivan , Mike McKerns , Michael Ortiz

The intrusive (sample-free) spectral stochastic finite element method (SSFEM) is a powerful numerical tool for solving stochastic partial differential equations (PDEs). However, it is not widely adopted in academic and industrial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Ajit Desai