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Systems subject to uncertain inputs produce uncertain responses. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) deals with the estimation of statistics of the system response, given a computational model of the system and a probabilistic model of its…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-13 E. Torre , S. Marelli , P. Embrechts , B. Sudret

This study presents a comprehensive framework for uncertainty quantification (UQ) and design optimization of plasma etching in semiconductor manufacturing. The framework is demonstrated using experimental measurements of etched depth…

Popular Physics · Physics 2025-11-10 Yongsu Jung , Minji Kang , Muyoung Kim , Min Sup Choi , Hyeong-U Kim , Jaekwang Kim

In practical structural design and solid mechanics simulations, material properties inherently exhibit random variations within bounded intervals. However, evaluating mechanical responses under continuous material uncertainty remains a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Zhangyong Liang , Huanhuan Gao

Uncertainty quantification is not yet widely adapted in the design process of engineering components despite its importance for achieving sustainable and resource-efficient structures. This is mainly due to two reasons: 1) Tracing the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Hendrik Geisler , Emmanuel Baranger , Philipp Junker

Wind gusts, being inherently stochastic, can significantly influence the safety and performance of aircraft. This study investigates a three-dimensional uncertainty quantification (UQ) problem to explore how uncertainties in gust and flight…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Bingran Wang , Michael Warner , Aoran Tian , Luca Scotzniovsky , John T. Hwang

The efforts associated with parametrization of continuum-based models for crystal plasticity are a significant obstacle for the routine use of these models in materials science and engineering. While phenomenological constitutive…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-02-18 Nikhil Prabhu , Martin Diehl

In this study, we present a novel approach along with the needed computational strategies for efficient and scalable feature engineering of the crystal structure in compounds of different chemical compositions. This approach utilizes a…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-05-25 Prathik R. Kaundinya , Kamal Choudhary , Surya R. Kalidindi

Graphical models have demonstrated their exceptional capabilities across numerous applications. However, their performance, confidence, and trustworthiness are often limited by the inherent randomness in data generation and the lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Chao Chen , Chenghua Guo , Rui Xu , Jiujiu Chen , Xiangwen Liao , Xi Zhang , Sihong Xie , Hui Xiong , Philip Yu

Central to the clinical adoption of patient-specific modeling strategies is demonstrating that simulation results are reliable and safe. Simulation frameworks must be robust to uncertainty in model input(s), and levels of confidence should…

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential for creating trustworthy machine learning models. Recent years have seen a steep rise in UQ methods that can flag suspicious examples, however, it is often unclear what exactly these methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Hao Sun , Boris van Breugel , Jonathan Crabbe , Nabeel Seedat , Mihaela van der Schaar

Airfoil icing is a severe safety hazard in aviation and causes power losses on wind turbines. The precise shape of the ice formation is subject to large uncertainties, so uncertainty quantification (UQ) is needed for a reliable prediction…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-21 Jakob Dürrwächter , Andrea Beck , Claus-Dieter Munz

Convection of liquid metals drives large natural processes and is important in technical processes. Model experiments are conducted for research purposes where simulations are expensive and the clarification of open questions requires novel…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-04-18 David Weik , Zehua Dou , Dirk Räbiger , Tobias Vogt , Sven Eckert , Jürgen Czarske , Lars Büttner

Parameter inference and uncertainty quantification are important steps when relating mathematical models to real-world observations, and when estimating uncertainty in model predictions. However, methods for doing this can be…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-27 Michael J. Plank , Matthew J. Simpson

Ductile metals undergo a considerable amount of plastic deformation before failure. Void nucleation, growth and coalescence is the mechanism of failure in such metals. {\alpha}/{\beta} titanium alloys are ductile in nature and are widely…

Materials Science · Physics 2020-02-12 Umair Bin Asim , M Amir Siddiq , Robert M McMeeking , Mehmet E Kartal

Robustness studies of black-box models is recognized as a necessary task for numerical models based on structural equations and predictive models learned from data. These studies must assess the model's robustness to possible…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-26 Marouane Il Idrissi , Nicolas Bousquet , Fabrice Gamboa , Bertrand Iooss , Jean-Michel Loubes

Deep learning models are extensively used in various safety critical applications. Hence these models along with being accurate need to be highly reliable. One way of achieving this is by quantifying uncertainty. Bayesian methods for UQ…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-06 Swaroop Bhandary K , Nico Hochgeschwender , Paul Plöger , Frank Kirchner , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

This paper presents a nonparametric statistical modeling method for quantifying uncertainty in stochastic gradient systems with isotropic diffusion. The central idea is to apply the diffusion maps algorithm to a training data set to produce…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

Stochastic simulation is widely used to study complex systems composed of various interconnected subprocesses, such as input processes, routing and control logic, optimization routines, and data-driven decision modules. In practice, these…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-19 Mohammadmahdi Ghasemloo , David J. Eckman , Yaxian Li

This paper presents a new methodology for structural reliability analysis via stochastic finite element method (SFEM). A novel sample-based SFEM is firstly used to compute structural stochastic responses of all spatial points at the same…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-19 Zhibao Zheng

Crystal structure prediction (CSP) is now increasingly used in the discovery of novel materials with applications in diverse industries. However, despite decades of developments, the problem is far from being solved. With the progress of…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-07-13 Lai Wei , Qin Li , Sadman Sadeed Omee , Jianjun Hu
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