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Quantification of uncertainty in production/injection forecasting is an important aspect of reservoir simulation studies. Conventional approaches include intrusive Galerkin-based methods (e.g., generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Larry Jin , Hannah Lu , Gege Wen

When dealing with timber structures, the characteristic strength and stiffness of the material are made highly variable and uncertain by the unavoidable, yet hardly predictable, presence of knots and other defects. In this work we apply the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Balduzzi Giuseppe , Bonizzoni Francesca , Tamellini Lorenzo

A central challenge in scientific machine learning (ML) is the correct representation of physical systems governed by multi-regime behaviours. In these scenarios, standard data analysis techniques often fail to capture the nature of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Michele Cazzola , Alberto Ghione , Lucia Sargentini , Julien Nespoulous , Riccardo Finotello

To model and quantify the variability in plasticity and failure of additively manufactured metals due to imperfections in their microstructure, we have developed uncertainty quantification methodology based on pseudo marginal likelihood and…

Materials Science · Physics 2020-01-08 M. Khalil , G. H. Teichert , C. Alleman , N. M. Heckman , R. E. Jones , K. Garikipati , B. L. Boyce

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is a key discipline for computational modeling of complex systems, enhancing reliability of engineering simulations. In crashworthiness, having an accurate assessment of the behavior of the model uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Marc Rocas , Alberto García-González , Sergio Zlotnik , Xabier Larráyoz , Pedro Díez

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) plays a pivotal role in reduction of uncertainties during both optimization and decision making processes. It can be applied to solve a variety of real-world applications in science and engineering. Bayesian…

In recent years, large language models (LLMs) have become increasingly prevalent, offering remarkable text generation capabilities. However, a pressing challenge is their tendency to make confidently wrong predictions, highlighting the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Xiang Gao , Jiaxin Zhang , Lalla Mouatadid , Kamalika Das

The uncertainty quantification (UQ) for partial differential equations (PDEs) with random parameters is important for science and engineering. Forward UQ quantifies the impact of random parameters on the solution or the quantity-of-interest…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Zhao Zhang , Na Ou

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have emerged as a prominent class of data-driven methods for molecular property prediction. However, a key limitation of typical GNN models is their inability to quantify uncertainties in the predictions. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Shengli Jiang , Shiyi Qin , Reid C. Van Lehn , Prasanna Balaprakash , Victor M. Zavala

Quantifying uncertainty of machine learning model predictions is essential for reliable decision-making, especially in safety-critical applications. Recently, uncertainty quantification (UQ) theory has advanced significantly, building on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Alexander Fishkov , Kajetan Schweighofer , Mykyta Ielanskyi , Nikita Kotelevskii , Mohsen Guizani , Maxim Panov

The local geometrical randomness of metal foams brings complexities to the performance prediction of porous structures. Although the relative density is commonly deemed as the key factor, the stochasticity of internal cell sizes and shapes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Da Chen , Nima Emami , Shahed Rezaei , Philipp L. Rosendahl , Bai-Xiang Xu , Jens Schneider , Kang Gao , Jie Yang

In this work we propose an Uncertainty Quantification methodology for sedimentary basins evolution under mechanical and geochemical compaction processes, which we model as a coupled, time-dependent, non-linear, monodimensional (depth-only)…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Ivo Colombo , Fabio Nobile , Giovanni Porta , Anna Scotti , Lorenzo Tamellini

Most of the existing research in assembly pathway prediction/analysis of virus cap- sids makes the simplifying assumption that the configuration of the intermediate states can be extracted directly from the final configuration of the entire…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-04 Nathan L Clement , Muhibur Rasheed , Chandrajit L Bajaj

Dense prediction tasks are common for 3D point clouds, but the uncertainties inherent in massive points and their embeddings have long been ignored. In this work, we present CUE, a novel uncertainty estimation method for dense prediction…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Kaiwen Cai , Chris Xiaoxuan Lu , Xiaowei Huang

Despite the strong predictive performance of deep learning models for traffic prediction, their widespread deployment in real-world intelligent transportation systems has been restrained by a lack of interpretability. Uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Alexander Timans , Nina Wiedemann , Nishant Kumar , Ye Hong , Martin Raubal

The prediction of energetically stable crystal structures formed by a given chemical composition is a central problem in solid-state physics. In principle, the crystalline state of assembled atoms can be determined by optimizing the energy…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-06-01 Minoru Kusaba , Chang Liu , Ryo Yoshida

In this work, we present methodologies for the quantification of confidence in bottom-up coarse-grained models for molecular and macromolecular systems. Coarse-graining methods have been extensively used in the past decades in order to…

Efficient entanglement strategies are essential for advancing variational quantum circuits (VQCs) for quantum machine learning (QML). However, most current approaches use fixed entanglement topologies that are not adaptive to task…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-24 Mehri Mehrnia , Mohammed S. M. Elbaz

Quantifying uncertainties for machine learning models is a critical step to reduce human verification effort by detecting predictions with low confidence. This paper proposes a method for uncertainty quantification (UQ) of table structure…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Kehinde Ajayi , Leizhen Zhang , Yi He , Jian Wu

Fracture toughness $K_{IC}$ plays an important role in materials design. Along with numerous experimental methods to measure fracture toughness of materials, its understanding and theoretical prediction is very important. However,…

Materials Science · Physics 2019-03-27 Haiyang Niu , Shiwei Niu , Artem R. Oganov
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