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The use of valid surrogate endpoints is an important stake in clinical research to help reduce both the duration and cost of a clinical trial and speed up the evaluation of interesting treatments. Several methods have been proposed in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-13 Quentin Le Coent , Virginie Rondeau , Catherine Legrand

In many decision-making problems, the primary outcome is expensive, time-consuming, or difficult to observe, so individualized treatment rules (ITRs) may be instead learned from surrogate endpoints. However, a surrogate that is highly…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Zeyu Xu , Xiaojie Mao , Hao Mei , Yue Liu

There is now significant historical data available on decision making in organizations, consisting of the decision problem, what decisions were made, and how desirable the outcomes were. Using this data, it is possible to learn a surrogate…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Olivier Francon , Santiago Gonzalez , Babak Hodjat , Elliot Meyerson , Risto Miikkulainen , Xin Qiu , Hormoz Shahrzad

There is a fast-growing literature on estimating optimal treatment rules directly by maximizing the expected outcome. In biomedical studies and operations applications, censored survival outcome is frequently observed, in which case the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Yifan Cui , Junyi Liu , Tao Shen , Zhengling Qi , Xi Chen

Restricted mean survival time (RMST) is an intuitive summary statistic for time-to-event random variables, and can be used for measuring treatment effects. Compared to hazard ratio, its estimation procedure is robust against the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-25 Ruizhe Chen , Sanjib Basu , Qian Shi

A key challenge in genomics is to identify genetic variants that distinguish patients with different survival time following diagnosis or treatment. While the log-rank test is widely used for this purpose, nearly all implementations of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-18 Fabio Vandin , Alexandra Papoutsaki , Benjamin J. Raphael , Eli Upfal

Composite endpoints are widely used in cardiovascular clinical trials to improve statistical efficiency while preserving clinical relevance. The Win Ratio (WR) measure and more general frameworks of Win Statistics have emerged as…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-24 Yunhan Mou , Fan Li , Denise Esserman , Yuan Huang

Measurement error is a pervasive challenge across many disciplines, yet its impact on sample size determination and the accuracy and precision of estimators regarding the association between an exposure and an outcome remains understudied…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Honghyok Kim

We propose a general index model for survival data, which generalizes many commonly used semiparametric survival models and belongs to the framework of dimension reduction. Using a combination of geometric approach in semiparametrics and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-17 Ge Zhao , Yanyuan Ma , Wenbin Lu

Sparse reduced-rank regression is an important tool to uncover meaningful dependence structure between large numbers of predictors and responses in many big data applications such as genome-wide association studies and social media…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-15 Mohammad Taha Bahadori , Zemin Zheng , Yan Liu , Jinchi Lv

Survival models are used in various fields, such as the development of cancer treatment protocols. Although many statistical and machine learning models have been proposed to achieve accurate survival predictions, little attention has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-26 Hrushikesh Loya , Pranav Poduval , Deepak Anand , Neeraj Kumar , Amit Sethi

Mediation analysis is a useful tool to evaluate surrogate endpoints in clinical trials. We propose a novel method, the M-survival learner, for estimating heterogeneous indirect treatment effects in the presence of censored outcomes. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Xingyu Li , Qing Liu , Xun Jiang , Hong Amy Xia , Brian P. Hobbs , Peng Wei

Several techniques exist to assess and reduce nonresponse bias, including propensity models, calibration methods, or post-stratification. These approaches can only be applied after the data collection, and assume reliable information…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-26 Blanka Szeitl , Tamás Rudas

With an increasing focus on precision medicine in medical research, numerous studies have been conducted in recent years to clarify the relationship between treatment effects and patient characteristics. The treatment effects for patients…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-22 Ke Wan , Kensuke Tanioka , Toshio Shimokawa

Balanced representation learning methods have been applied successfully to counterfactual inference from observational data. However, approaches that account for survival outcomes are relatively limited. Survival data are frequently…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-04 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Serge Assaad , Shuxi Zeng , Michael J. Pencina , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

Health policy decisions are often informed by estimates of long-term survival based primarily on short-term data. A range of methods are available to include longer-term information, but there has previously been no comprehensive and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Christopher Jackson

Restricted mean survival time (RMST) offers a compelling nonparametric alternative to hazard ratios for right-censored time-to-event data, particularly when the proportional hazards assumption is violated. By capturing the total event-free…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-28 Jinghao Sun , Douglas E. Schaubel , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

A very classical problem in statistics is to test the stochastic superiority of one distribution to another. However, many existing approaches are developed for independent samples and, moreover, do not take censored data into account. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-19 Dennis Dobler , Kathrin Möllenhoff

In healthcare, risk assessment of patient outcomes has been based on survival analysis for a long time, i.e. modeling time-to-event associations. However, conventional approaches rely on data from a single time-point, making them suboptimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Mine Öğretir , Miika Koskinen , Juha Sinisalo , Risto Renkonen , Harri Lähdesmäki

Win statistics have gained increasing popularity as primary analysis methods for clinical trials with hierarchical endpoints (HEs) as primary endpoints. However, existing sample size and power calculation approaches in trial design still…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Baoshan Zhang , Huiman X. Barnhart , Yuan Wu , Roland A. Matsouaka