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We develop a GMM approach for estimation of log-normal stochastic volatility models driven by a fractional Brownian motion with unrestricted Hurst exponent. We show that a parameter estimator based on the integrated variance is consistent…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-16 Anine E. Bolko , Kim Christensen , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Bezirgen Veliyev

We study the parameter estimation problem of Vasicek Model driven by sub-fractional Brownian processes from discrete observations, and let {S_t^H,t>=0} denote a sub-fractional Brownian motion whose Hurst parameter 1/2<H<1 . The studies are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-06 Cuiyun Zhang , Jingjun Guo , Aiqin Ma , Bo Peng

We study the approximation of stochastic differential equations driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$. For the mean-square error at a single point we derive the optimal rate of convergence that can be achieved…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-19 Andreas Neuenkirch

Brownian motion is the only random process which is Gaussian, stationary and Markovian. Dropping the Markovian property, i.e. allowing for memory, one obtains a class of processes called fractional Brownian motion, indexed by the Hurst…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-07-27 Mathieu Delorme , Kay Jörg Wiese

A new nonparametric estimator of the local Hurst function of a multifractional Gaussian process based on the increment ratio (IR) statistic is defined. In a general frame, the point-wise and uniform weak and strong consistency and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-29 Jean-Marc Bardet , Donatas Surgailis

In some non-regular statistical estimation problems, the limiting likelihood processes are functionals of fractional Brownian motion (fBm) with Hurst's parameter H; 0 < H <=? 1. In this paper we present several analytical and numerical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-06 Alexander Novikov , Nino Kordzakhia , Timothy Ling

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the lead-lag parameter between two stochastic processes driven by fractional Brownian motions (fBMs) of the Hurst parameter greater than 1/2. First we propose a lead-lag model between two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Kohei Chiba

This paper presents a new estimator of the global regularity index of a multifractional Brownian motion. Our estimation method is based upon a ratio statistic, which compares the realized global quadratic variation of a multifractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-11 Joachim Lebovits , Mark Podolskij

Asymptotic expansion is presented for an estimator of the Hurst coefficient of a fractional Brownian motion. For this, a recently developed theory of asymptotic expansion of the distribution of Wiener functionals is applied. The effects of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-08 Yuliya Mishura , Hayate Yamagishi , Nakahiro Yoshida

We obtain bounds for probabilities of deviations of the truncated variation functional of fractional Brownian motions (fBm) of any Hurst index $H \in (0,1)$ from their expected values. Obtained bounds are optimal for large values of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Witold M. Bednorz , Rafał M. Łochowski

We study the persistence properties of a fractional Brownian motion whose Hurst exponent is a random variable instead of a fixed constant. For each fixed $H \in (0,1)$, it is well known that the persistence probability of an FBM below a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Frank Aurzada , Sabine Müller

We study stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with potentially very rough fractional noise with Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. Close to a change of stability measured with a small parameter $\varepsilon$, we rely on the natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Dirk Blömker , Alexandra Neamtu

In [Han \& Schied, 2023, \textit{arXiv 2307.02582}], an easily computable scale-invariant estimator $\widehat{\mathscr{R}}^s_n$ was constructed to estimate the Hurst parameter of the drifted fractional Brownian motion $X$ from its…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-09 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied

Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) has been used as a theoretical framework to study real time series appearing in diverse scientific fields. Because its intrinsic non-stationarity and long range dependence, its characterization via the Hurst…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 Lucas Lacasa , Bartolo Luque , Jordi Luque , Juan Carlos Nuno

We consider the problem of estimating the roughness of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model that arises as a nonlinear function of fractional Brownian motion with drift. To this end, we introduce a new estimator that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-17 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied

In this article, we study the hyperbolic Anderson model in dimension 1, driven by a time-independent rough noise, i.e. the noise associated with the fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index $H \in (1/4,1/2)$. We prove that, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Raluca M. Balan , Wangjun Yuan

We propose and test a method to interpolate sparsely sampled signals by a stochastic process with a broad range of spatial and/or temporal scales. To this end, we extend the notion of a fractional Brownian bridge, defined as fractional…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-01-05 J. Friedrich , S. Gallon , A. Pumir , R. Grauer

We study the properties of a stochastic heat equation with a generalized mixed fractional Brownian noise. We obtain the covariance structure, stationarity and obtain bounds for the asymptotic behaviour of the solution. We suggest estimators…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-18 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

This note is devoted to show how to push forward the algebraic integration setting in order to treat differential systems driven by a noisy input with H\"older regularity greater than 1/4. After recalling how to treat the case of ordinary…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-15 Samy Tindel , Iván Torrecilla

The problem of nonlinear filtering of a random field observed in the presence of a noise, modeled by a persistent fractional Brownian sheet of Hurst index $(H_1,H_2)$ with $0.5<H_1,H_2<1$, is studied and a suitable version of the Bayes'…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-27 Anna Amirdjanova , Matthew Linn