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In this paper, we study the recovery of the Hurst parameter from a given discrete sample of fractional Brownian motion with statistical inverse theory. In particular, we show that in the limit the posteriori distribution of the parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Lassi Päivärinta , Petteri Piiroinen

Considering that both the entropy-based market information and the Hurst exponent are useful tools for determining whether the efficient market hypothesis holds for a given asset, we study the link between the two approaches. We thus…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-26 Xavier Brouty , Matthieu Garcin

We introduce the stochastic process of incremental multifractional Brownian motion (IMFBM), which locally behaves like fractional Brownian motion with a given local Hurst exponent and diffusivity. When these parameters change as function of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-27 Jakub Slezak , Ralf Metzler

Fractional Brownian motion, a Gaussian non-Markovian self-similar process with stationary long-correlated increments, has been identified to give rise to the anomalous diffusion behavior in a great variety of physical systems. The…

Herein we develop a dynamical foundation for fractional Brownian Motion. A clear relation is established between the asymptotic behaviour of the correlation function and diffusion in a dynamical system. Then, assuming that scaling is…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 R Mannella , P Grigolini , BJ West

Here, we provide a unified framework for numerical analysis of stochastic nonlinear fractional diffusion equation driven by fractional Gaussian noise with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$. A novel estimate of the second moment of the stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-29 Daxin Nie , Weihua Deng

For the stochastic heat equation with multiplicative noise we consider the problem of estimating the diffusivity parameter in front of the Laplace operator. Based on local observations in space, we first study an estimator that was derived…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-22 Josef Janák , Markus Reiß

We derive the strong consistency of the least squares estimator for the drift coefficient of a fractional stochastic differential system. The drift coeffcient is one-sided dissipative Lipschitz and the driving noise is additive and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Yaozhong Hu , David Nualart , Hongjuan Zhou

We consider the problem of frequency estimation of the periodic signal multiplied by a stationary Gaussian process (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) and observed in the presence of the white Gaussian noise. We show the consistency and asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-10 O. V. Chernoyarov , Yu. A. Kutoyants

The main objective of this study is fractionally integrated fractional Brownian noise, I(t/a,H) where a>0 is the 'multiplicity' of integration, and H is the Hurst parameter . The subject of the analysis is the persistence exponent e(a,H)…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-21 G. Molchan

We discuss some extensions of results from the recent paper by Chernoyarov et al. (Ann. Inst. Stat. Math., October 2016) concerning limit distributions of Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimators in the model "signal plus white noise"…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-23 Nino Kordzakhia , Yury Kutoyants , Alex Novikov , Lin-Yee Hin

We consider a problem of statistical estimation of an unknown drift parameter for a stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion. Two estimators based on discrete observations of solution to the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-26 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ral'chenko , Oleg Seleznev , Georgiy Shevchenko

The characteristic feature of semi-selfsimilar process is the invariance of its finite dimensional distributions by certain dilation for specific scaling factor. Estimating the scale parameter $\lambda$ and the Hurst index of such processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-11 Saeid Rezakhah , Anne Philippe , Navideh Modarresi

This article is concerned with stochastic differential equations driven by a $d$ dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/4$, understood in the rough paths sense. Whenever the coefficients of the equation satisfy a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-03 Xi Geng , Cheng Ouyang , Samy Tindel

We investigate the statistical evidence for the use of `rough' fractional processes with Hurst exponent $H< 0.5$ for the modeling of volatility of financial assets, using a model-free approach. We introduce a non-parametric method for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-11 Rama Cont , Purba Das

We provide a device, called the local predictor, which extends the idea of the predictable compensator. It is shown that a fBm with the Hurst index greater than 1/2 coincides with its local predictor while fBm with the Hurst index smaller…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-10 Adam Jakubowski

A well-known result with respect to the one dimensional nearest-neighbor symmetric simple exclusion process is the convergence to fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter 1/4, in the sense of finite-dimensional distributions, of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-02 Magda Peligrad , Sunder Sethuraman

Strongly consistent and asymptotically normal estimators of the Hurst index and volatility parameters of solutions of stochastic differential equations with polynomial drift are proposed. The estimators are based on discrete observations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Kestutis Kubilius , Viktor Skorniakov , Dmitrij Melichov

The analysis of high-frequency financial data is often impeded by the presence of noise. This article is motivated by intraday return data in which market microstructure noise appears to be rough, that is, best captured by a continuous-time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Carsten H. Chong , Thomas Delerue , Guoying Li

In this study, it is theoretically proven that the expected value of maximum loss of fractional Brownian motion (fBm) up to time 1 with Hurst parameter $[1/2,1)$ is bounded above by $2/\sqrt{\pi}$ and below by $1/\sqrt{\pi}$. This result is…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-11 Ceren Vardar , Hatice Cakar
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