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The Fisher-matrix formalism is used routinely in the literature on gravitational-wave detection to characterize the parameter-estimation performance of gravitational-wave measurements, given parametrized models of the waveforms, and…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Michele Vallisneri

Gravitational-wave astronomers often wish to characterize the expected parameter-estimation accuracy of future observations. The Fisher matrix provides a lower bound on the spread of the maximum-likelihood estimator across noise…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2011-11-08 Michele Vallisneri

Third-generation gravitational-wave detectors will observe up to millions of merging binary black holes. With such a vast dataset, stacking events into population analyses will arguably be more important than analyzing single sources. We…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-03-14 Viola De Renzis , Francesco Iacovelli , Davide Gerosa , Michele Mancarella , Costantino Pacilio

We apply neural posterior estimation for fast-and-accurate hierarchical Bayesian inference of gravitational wave populations. We use a normalizing flow to estimate directly the population hyper-parameters from a collection of individual…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-04-09 Konstantin Leyde , Stephen R. Green , Alexandre Toubiana , Jonathan Gair

Gravitational waves from a binary with a single dynamically significant spin, notably including precessing black hole-neutron star (BH-NS) binaries, let us constrain that binary's properties: the two masses and the dominant black hole spin.…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-09-23 R. O'Shaughnessy , P. Nepal , A. Lundgren

Strong lensing of gravitational waves can produce several detectable images as repeated events in the upcoming observing runs, which can be detected with the posterior overlap analysis (Bayes factor). The choice of the binary black hole…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-09-26 Damon H. T. Cheung , Stefano Rinaldi , Martina Toscani , Otto A. Hannuksela

Population studies of stellar-mass black-hole binaries have become major players in gravitational-wave astronomy. The underlying assumptions are that the targeted source parameters refer to the same quantities for all events in the catalog…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2022-02-03 Matthew Mould , Davide Gerosa

We combine hierarchical Bayesian modeling with a flow-based deep generative network, in order to demonstrate that one can efficiently constraint numerical gravitational wave (GW) population models at a previously intractable complexity.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-07-07 Kaze W. K. Wong , Gabriella Contardo , Shirley Ho

Theoretical studies in gravitational wave astronomy often require the calculation of Fisher Information Matrices and Likelihood functions, which in a direct approach entail the costly step of computing gravitational waveforms. Here I…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2013-02-07 Neil J. Cornish

We describe a Bayesian formalism for analyzing individual gravitational-wave events in light of the rest of an observed population. This analysis reveals how the idea of a "population-informed prior" arises naturally from a suitable…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-11-11 Christopher J. Moore , Davide Gerosa

The article reviews the statistical theory of signal detection in application to analysis of deterministic gravitational-wave signals in the noise of a detector. Statistical foundations for the theory of signal detection and parameter…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-11-10 Piotr Jaranowski , Andrzej Królak

The observed distributions of the source properties from gravitational-wave detections are biased due to the selection effects and detection criteria in the detections, analogous to the Malmquist bias. In this work, this observation bias is…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-12-15 Doğa Veske , Imre Bartos , Zsuzsa Márka , Szabolcs Márka

Fisher-matrix methods are widely used to predict how accurately parameters can be estimated. Being computationally efficient, this approach is prompted by the large number of signals simulated in forecast studies for future…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-04-14 Ulyana Dupletsa , Jan Harms , Ken K. Y. Ng , Jacopo Tissino , Filippo Santoliquido , Andrea Cozzumbo

The Fisher matrix approach (Fisher 1935) allows one to calculate in advance how well a given experiment will be able to estimate model parameters, and has been an invaluable tool in experimental design. In the same spirit, we present here a…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-01-22 A. F. Heavens , T. D. Kitching , L. Verde

Gravitational-wave events are interpreted in terms of Bayesian posteriors for their source properties inferred under unphysical reference priors. Though these parameter estimates are important intermediate data products for downstream…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-04-20 Matthew Mould , Rodrigo Tenorio , Davide Gerosa

Folding uncertainty in theoretical models into Bayesian parameter estimation is necessary in order to make reliable inferences. A general means of achieving this is by marginalizing over model uncertainty using a prior distribution…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2016-03-04 Christopher J. Moore , Christopher P. L. Berry , Alvin J. K. Chua , Jonathan R. Gair

In future gravitational-wave (GW) detections, a large number of overlapping GW signals will appear in the data stream of detectors. When extracting information from one signal, the presence of other signals can cause large parameter…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-07 Ziming Wang , Dicong Liang , Junjie Zhao , Chang Liu , Lijing Shao

In searches for gravitational waves emitted by known isolated pulsars in data collected by a detector one can assume that the frequency of the wave, its spindown parameters, and the position of the source in the sky are known, so the almost…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-05-18 Piotr Jaranowski , Andrzej Królak

The properties of the population of merging binary black holes encode some of the uncertain physics of the evolution of massive stars in binaries. The binary black hole merger rate and chirp mass distribution are being measured by…

We present an automatic approach to discover analytic population models for gravitational-wave (GW) events from data. As more gravitational-wave (GW) events are detected, flexible models such as Gaussian Mixture Models have become more…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-27 Kaze W. K Wong , Miles Cranmer
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