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Classical linear regression is considered for a case when regression parameters depend on the external random environment. The last is described as a continuous time Markov chain with finite state space. Here the expected sojourn times in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-29 Alexander M. Andronov , Nadezda Spiridovska

Reversibility is a key issue in the interface between computation and physics, and of growing importance as miniaturization progresses towards its physical limits. Most foundational work on reversible computing to date has focussed on…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-12-01 Samson Abramsky

The paper develops the idea that the dynamics of both classical and quantum processes is time reversible. It is shown how this classical analogy allows one to define the measure for the path integral in quantum mechanics.

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 I. D. Mandzhavidze

We introduce an ambidextrous view of stochastic dynamical systems, comparing their forward-time and reverse-time representations and then integrating them into a single time-symmetric representation. The perspective is useful theoretically,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Christopher J. Ellison , John R. Mahoney , James P. Crutchfield

A temporal logic is presented for reasoning about the correctness of timed concurrent constraint programs. The logic is based on modalities which allow one to specify what a process produces as a reaction to what its environment inputs.…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 F. S. de Boer , M. Gabbrielli , M. C. Meo

This paper considers the optimal control of time varying continuous time Markov chains whose transition rates are themselves Markov processes. In one set of problems the solution of an ordinary differential equation is shown to determine…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-09-02 Manish Gupta

In this paper, we consider a type of time-changed Markov process, where the time-change is an inverse killed subordinator. This can be seen as an extension of Chen (Chen, Z., Time fractional equations and probabilistic representation, Chaos…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-09 Huiyan Zhao , Siyan xu

The potential system is a nonparametric time series model for assessing the causal impact of moving an assignment at time $t$ on an outcome at future time $t+h$, accounting for the presence of features. The potential system provides…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-24 Jacob Carlson , Neil Shephard

In this study, a new extension of the Markov Renewal theory is introduced by allowing time to evolve in multiple dimensions. The resulting chains are referred to as multi-time Markov Renewal chains and since this extension is new, the state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Leonidas Kordalis , Samis Trevezas

We explore the applicability of the causal analysis based on temporally shifted (lagged) Pearson correlation applied to diverse time series of different natures in context of the problem of financial market prediction. Theoretical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-28 Anton Kolonin , Ali Raheman , Mukul Vishwas , Ikram Ansari , Juan Pinzon , Alice Ho

Can the direction of time and the causal structure of space-time be inferred from operational principles? Causal models and tensor networks offer complementary perspectives: the former encodes cause-effect relations via directed graphs,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-16 Carla Ferradini , Giulia Mazzola , V. Vilasini

The spread of the time arrows from the environment to an observed subsystem is followed within a harmonic model. A similarity is pointed out between irreversibility and a phase with spontaneously broken symmetry. The causal structure of…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2012-06-26 Janos Polonyi

Predicting the evolution of a large system of units using its structure of interaction is a fundamental problem in complex system theory. And so is the problem of reconstructing the structure of interaction from temporal observations. Here,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-02-10 Charles Murphy , Vincent Thibeault , Antoine Allard , Patrick Desrosiers

A probabilistic model describes a system in its observational state. In many situations, however, we are interested in the system's response under interventions. The class of structural causal models provides a language that allows us to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-20 Jonas Peters , Stefan Bauer , Niklas Pfister

Although the laws of classical physics are deterministic, thermodynamics gives rise to an arrow of time through irreversible processes. In quantum mechanics the unitary nature of the time evolution makes it intrinsically reversible, however…

For controlled discrete-time stochastic processes we introduce a new class of dynamic risk measures, which we call process-based. Their main features are that they measure risk of processes that are functions of the history of a base…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-30 Jingnan Fan , Andrzej Ruszczynski

When users can benefit from certain predictive outcomes, they may be prone to act to achieve those outcome, e.g., by strategically modifying their features. The goal in strategic classification is therefore to train predictive models that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Guy Horowitz , Nir Rosenfeld

Causal inference methods (instrumental variables, difference-in-differences, regression discontinuity, etc.) are primary tools used across many social science milieus. One area where their application has lagged however, is in the study of…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Samuele Centorrino , Christopher F. Parmeter

Algorithmic fairness is typically studied from the perspective of predictions. Instead, here we investigate fairness from the perspective of recourse actions suggested to individuals to remedy an unfavourable classification. We propose two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Julius von Kügelgen , Amir-Hossein Karimi , Umang Bhatt , Isabel Valera , Adrian Weller , Bernhard Schölkopf

Time irreversibility is a common signature of nonlinear processes, and a fundamental property of non-equilibrium systems driven by non-conservative forces. A time series is said to be reversible if its statistical properties are invariant…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-12-08 Johann H. Martínez , José L. Herrera-Diestra , Mario Chavez
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