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We prove a moderate deviations principles for the size of the largest connected component in a random $d$-uniform hypergraph. The key tool is a version of the exploration process, that is also used to investigate the giant component of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-19 Jingjia Liu , Matthias Löwe

We present precise moderate deviation probabilities, in both quenched and annealed settings, for a recurrent diffusion process with a Brownian potential. Our method relies on fine tools in stochastic calculus, including Kotani's lemma and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yueyun Hu , Zhan Shi

Let $X$ be a L\'evy process with regularly varying L\'evy measure $\nu$. We obtain sample-path large deviations for scaled processes $\bar X_n(t) \triangleq X(nt)/n$ and obtain a similar result for random walks. Our results yield detailed…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Chang-Han Rhee , Jose Blanchet , Bert Zwart

We introduce a class of Markov chains, that contains the model of stochastic approximation by averaging and non-averaging. Using martingale approximation method, we establish various deviation inequalities for separately Lipschitz functions…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-16 Xiequan Fan , Pierre Alquier , Paul Doukhan

We consider local martingales which are standard or stochastic exponentials M of one component X of a multivariate affine process in the sense of Duffie, Filipovic and Schachermayer (2003). By completing their characterization of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-06 Eberhard Mayerhofer , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Alexander G. Smirnov

We seek to characterize the estimation performance of a sensor network where the individual sensors exhibit the phenomenon of drift, i.e., a gradual change of the bias. Though estimation in the presence of random errors has been extensively…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-06-19 Swarnendu Kar , Pramod K. Varshney , Marimuthu Palaniswami

The term moderate deviations is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between a convergence in probability of some random variables to a constant and a weak convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Rita Giuliano , Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

We prove a Chernoff-type bound for sums of matrix-valued random variables sampled via a random walk on an expander, confirming a conjecture due to Wigderson and Xiao. Our proof is based on a new multi-matrix extension of the Golden-Thompson…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Ankit Garg , Yin Tat Lee , Zhao Song , Nikhil Srivastava

The Koml\'os$\unicode{x2013}$Major$\unicode{x2013}$Tusn\'ady (KMT) inequality for partial sums is one of the most celebrated results in probability theory. Yet its practical application has been hindered by a lack of practical constants.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Haoyu Ye , Morgane Austern

In this paper, we obtain stability results for martingale representations in a very general framework. More specifically, we consider a sequence of martingales each adapted to its own filtration, and a sequence of random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-06 Antonis Papapantoleon , Dylan Possamai , Alexandros Saplaouras

Let $\mm_n, n=0,1,...$ be the supercritical branching random walk, in which the number of direct descendants of one individual may be infinite with positive probability. Assume that the standard martingale $W_n$ related to $\mm_n$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Aleksander Iksanov

This work explores the use of a forward-backward martingale method together with a decoupling argument and entropic estimates between the conditional and averaged measures to prove a strong averaging principle for stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-18 Bob Pepin

In estimation of a normal mean matrix under the matrix quadratic loss, we develop a general formula for the matrix quadratic risk of orthogonally invariant estimators. The derivation is based on several formulas for matrix derivatives of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-07 Takeru Matsuda

Let $Z = (Z_t)_{t\in[0,\infty)}$ be an ergodic Markov process and, for every $n\in\mathbb{N}$, let $Z^n = (Z_{n^2 t})_{t\in[0,\infty)}$ drive a process $X^n$. Classical results show under suitable conditions that the sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Martin Hutzenthaler , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Clemens Printz

We establish a moderate deviation principle for processes with independent increments under certain growth conditions for the characteristics of the process. Using this moderate deviation principle, we give a new proof for Strassen's…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-20 Franziska Kühn , René L. Schilling

Let $M$ be a smooth manifold and $X\subset M$ a closed subset of $M$. In this paper, we introduce a natural condition of \emph{moderate growth} along $X$ for a distribution $t$ in $\mathcal{D}^\prime(M\setminus X)$ and prove that this…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-11-14 Nguyen Viet Dang

We consider a system of multiscale stochastic differential equations whose slow component is drivenby a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H greater than 1/2. Under ergodic assumptions ensuring the applicability of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-10 Xue-Mei Li , Colin Piernot , Szymon Sobczak , Kexing Ying

Assume that $X$ is a continuous square integrable process with zero mean, defined on some probability space $(\Omega,\mathrm {F},\mathrm {P})$. The classical characterization due to P. L\'{e}vy says that $X$ is a Brownian motion if and only…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-15 Yuliya Mishura , Esko Valkeila

A general class of Bayesian lower bounds when the underlying loss function is a Bregman divergence is demonstrated. This class can be considered as an extension of the Weinstein--Weiss family of bounds for the mean squared error and relies…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-06-17 Alex Dytso , Michael Fauß , H. Vincent Poor

Quadratic variations of Gaussian processes play important role in both stochastic analysis and in applications such as estimation of model parameters, and for this reason the topic has been extensively studied in the literature. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-06 Lauri Viitasaari