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We present two sharp, closed-form empirical Bernstein inequalities for symmetric random matrices with bounded eigenvalues. By sharp, we mean that both inequalities adapt to the unknown variance in a tight manner: the deviation captured by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Hongjian Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

Consider additive functionals of a Markov chain $W_k$, with stationary (marginal) distribution and transition function denoted by $\pi$ and $Q$, say $S_n=g(W_1)+...+g(W_n)$, where $g$ is square integrable and has mean 0 with respect to…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-14 Ou Zhao , Michael Woodroofe

We consider a branching random walk in the non-boundary case where the additive martingale $W_n$ converges a.s. and in mean to some non-degenerate limit $W_\infty$. We first establish the joint tail distribution of $W_\infty$ and the global…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Xinxin Chen , Loïc de Raphélis , Heng Ma

We establish the scaling limit of a class of boundary random walks to the full spectrum of Brownian-type processes on the half-line. By solving the associated martingale problem and employing weak convergence techniques, we prove that under…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-03 Juan Carlos Arroyave , Eldon Barros , Eduardo Pimenta

Dzhaparidze and Spreij [5] showed that the quadratic variation of a semimartingale can be approximated using a randomized periodogram. We show that the same approximation is valid for a special class of continuous stochastic processes. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-07 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Esko Valkeila

In [11] it has been proved some variational formula on the Legendre-Fenchel transform of the cumulant generating function (the Cram\'er function) of Rademacher series with coefficients in the space $\ell^1$. In this paper we show a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-27 Krzysztof Zajkowski

Let $\{X, X_{n}; n \geq 1\}$ be a sequence of i.i.d. non-degenerate real-valued random variables with $\mathbb{E}X^{2} < \infty$. Let $S_{n} = \sum_{i=1}^{n} X_{i}$, $n \geq 1$. Let $g(\cdot): ~[0, \infty) \rightarrow [0, \infty)$ be a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-02 Deli Li , Yu Miao , Yongcheng Qi

Consider a branching random walk in which the offspring distribution and the moving law both depend on an independent and identically distributed random environment indexed by the time.For the normalised counting measure of the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-01 Zhi-Qiang Gao , Quansheng Liu

This paper deals with Cram\'er-Rao inequalities in the context of nonextensive statistics and in estimation theory. It gives characterizations of generalized q-Gaussian distributions, and introduces generalized versions of Fisher…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-06-05 J. -F. Bercher

We consider a discrete-time branching random walk in the boundary case, where the associated random walk is in the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable law with $1<\alpha<2$. We prove that the derivative martingale $D_n$ converges to…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-13 Hui He , Jingning Liu , Mei Zhang

In the present work, we show how the generalized Cram\'er-Rao inequality for the estimation of a parameter, presented in a recent paper, can be extended to the mutidimensional case with general norms on $\mathbb{R}^{n}$, and to a wider…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-02-26 J. -F. Bercher

Let $(\xi_i)_{i=1,...,n}$ be a sequence of independent and symmetric random variables. We consider the upper bounds on tail probabilities of self-normalized deviations $$ \mathbf{P} \Big( \max_{1\leq k \leq n} \sum_{i=1}^{k} |\xi_i|\big/…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Xiequan Fan

In statistics, assuming samples are independent is reasonable. However, this property can fail to hold for the features, a distinction that has led to several lines of work aiming to remove the latter assumption of independence present in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Simona Diaconu

In this article, we introduce a conditional marginal model for longitudinal data, in which the residuals form a martingale difference sequence. This model allows us to consider a rich class of estimating equations, which contains several…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-07-15 R. M. Balan , L. Dumitrescu , I. Schiopu-Kratina

We prove a central limit theorem for stationary multiple (random) fields of martingale differences $f\circ T_{\underline{i}}$, $\underline{i}\in \Bbb Z^d$, where $T_{\underline{i}}$ is a $\Bbb Z^d$ action. In most cases the multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Dalibor Volny

We compute a variance lower bound for unbiased estimators in specified statistical models. The construction of the bound is related to the original Cram\'er-Rao bound, although it does not require the differentiability of the model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-13 Thibault Espinasse , Paul Rochet

In this article, we develop a semigroup-theoretic framework for the analytic characterisation of martingales with path-dependent terminal conditions. Our main result establishes that a measurable adapted process of the form \[ V(t) -…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-03 Robert Denk , Markus Kunze , Michael Kupper

We derive fluctuation-response inequalities for Markov jump processes that link the fluctuations of general observables to the response to perturbations in the transition rates within a unified framework. These inequalities are derived…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-14 Euijoon Kwon , Hyun-Myung Chun , Hyunggyu Park , Jae Sung Lee

We establish existence and uniqueness for the martingale problem associated with a system of degenerate SDE's representing a catalytic branching network. For example, in the hypercyclic case:…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-22 Richard F. Bass , Edwin A. Perkins

This paper explores a conditional Gibbs theorem for a random walkinduced by i.i.d. (X_{1},..,X_{n}) conditioned on an extreme deviation of its sum (S_{1}^{n}=na_{n}) or (S_{1}^{n}>na_{n}) where a_{n}\rightarrow\infty. It is proved that when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-04 Michel Broniatowski , Zhansheng Cao