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Process monitoring and control requires detection of structural changes in a data stream in real time. This article introduces an efficient sequential Monte Carlo algorithm designed for learning unknown changepoints in continuous time. The…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-29 Melissa J. M. Turcotte , Nicholas A. Heard

Mixed linear regression (MLR) has attracted increasing attention because of its great theoretical and practical importance in capturing nonlinear relationships by utilizing a mixture of linear regression sub-models. Although considerable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-25 Yujing Liu , Zhixin Liu , Lei Guo

Time series are difficult to monitor, summarize and predict. Segmentation organizes time series into few intervals having uniform characteristics (flatness, linearity, modality, monotonicity and so on). For scalability, we require fast…

Databases · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Daniel Lemire

The problem of state reconstruction is considered for uncertain linear time-invariant systems with overparameterization, arbitrary state-space matrices and unknown additive perturbation described by an exosystem. A novel adaptive observer…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-14 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

In the sequential change-point detection literature, most research specifies a required frequency of false alarms at a given pre-change distribution $f_{\theta}$ and tries to minimize the detection delay for every possible post-change…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yajun Mei

Given a response $Y$ and a vector $X = (X^1, \dots, X^d)$ of $d$ predictors, we investigate the problem of inferring direct causes of $Y$ among the vector $X$. Models for $Y$ that use all of its causal covariates as predictors enjoy the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Rune Christiansen , Jonas Peters

A novel adaptive identifier is developed for nonlinear time-delay systems composed of linear, Lipschitz and non-Lipschitz components. To begin with, an identifier is designed for uncertain systems with a priori known delay values, and then…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-06 Igor Furtat , Yury Orlov

We extend the recently introduced regularization/Bayesian System Identification procedures to the estimation of time-varying systems. Specifically, we consider an online setting, in which new data become available at given time steps. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-26 Giulia Prando , Diego Romeres , Alessandro Chiuso

Principal component regression (PCR) is a popular technique for fixed-design error-in-variables regression, a generalization of the linear regression setting in which the observed covariates are corrupted with random noise. We provide the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Anish Agarwal , Keegan Harris , Justin Whitehouse , Zhiwei Steven Wu

In this paper, we investigate the model reference adaptive control approach for uncertain piecewise affine systems with performance guarantees. The proposed approach ensures the error metric, defined as the weighted Euclidean norm of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-21 Tong Liu , Martin Buss

We provide new results showing identification of a large class of fixed-T panel models, where the response variable is an unknown, weakly monotone, time-varying transformation of a latent linear index of fixed effects, regressors, and an…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-07 Irene Botosaru , Chris Muris , Krishna Pendakur

This paper discusses a nonparametric regression model that naturally generalizes neural network models. The model is based on a finite number of one-dimensional transformations and can be estimated with a one-dimensional rate of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Joel L. Horowitz , Enno Mammen

Tree-based ensemble methods, as Random Forests and Gradient Boosted Trees, have been successfully used for regression in many applications and research studies. Furthermore, these methods have been extended in order to deal with uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Myriam Tami , Marianne Clausel , Emilie Devijver , Adrien Dulac , Eric Gaussier , Stefan Janaqi , Meriam Chebre

This work addresses inverse linear optimization where the goal is to infer the unknown cost vector of a linear program. Specifically, we consider the data-driven setting in which the available data are noisy observations of optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Rishabh Gupta , Qi Zhang

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

In this work, a new two-stage identification method based on dynamic programming and sparsity inducing is proposed for switched linear systems. Our method achieves sparsity inducing in the identification of switched linear systems by the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-15 Zheng Wenju , Ye Hao

Point process modeling is gaining increasing attention, as point process type data are emerging in numerous scientific applications. In this article, motivated by a neuronal spike trains study, we propose a novel point process regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-10 Xiwei Tang , Lexin Li

This paper considers M-estimation of a nonlinear regression model with multiple change-points occuring at unknown times. The multi-phase random design regression model, discontinuous in each change-point, have an arbitrary error $\epsilon$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-09-22 Gabriela Ciuperca

We focus on the control of unknown Partial Differential Equations (PDEs). The system dynamics is unknown, but we assume we are able to observe its evolution for a given control input, as typical in a Reinforcement Learning framework. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-09 Alessandro Alla , Agnese Pacifico , Michele Palladino , Andrea Pesare

The review presents a parameter switching algorithm and his applications which allows numerical approximation of any attractor of a class of continuous-time dynamical systems depending linearly on a real parameter. The considered classes of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-02-16 M. -F. Danca , M. Romera , G. Pastor , F. Montoya