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We present a numerical method for learning unknown nonautonomous stochastic dynamical system, i.e., stochastic system subject to time dependent excitation or control signals. Our basic assumption is that the governing equations for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Yuan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

A problem of online estimation of unknown parameters is considered for a linear regression equation, which is affected by an additive perturbation that can be caused by measurement noise (that corrupts regressor and regressand), as well as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-27 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

This article aims at discovering the unknown variables in the system through data analysis. The main idea is to use the time of data collection as a surrogate variable and try to identify the unknown variables by modeling gradual and sudden…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-12 V. Roshan Joseph , William E. Lewis , Henry S. Yuchi , Kathryn A. Maupin

This paper considers (partial) identification of a variety of counterfactual parameters in binary response models with possibly endogenous regressors. Our framework allows for nonseparable index functions with multi-dimensional latent…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-26 Jiaying Gu , Thomas M. Russell

Heterogeneity is a dominant factor in the behaviour of many biological processes. Despite this, it is common for mathematical and statistical analyses to ignore biological heterogeneity as a source of variability in experimental data.…

The paper deals with regression problems, in which the nonsmooth target is assumed to switch between different operating modes. Specifically, piecewise smooth (PWS) regression considers target functions switching deterministically via a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-14 Fabien Lauer

Modeling the temporal behavior of data is of primordial importance in many scientific and engineering fields. Baseline methods assume that both the dynamic and observation equations follow linear-Gaussian models. However, there are many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Xavier Alameda-Pineda , Vincent Drouard , Radu Horaud

We consider identification, inference and validation of linear panel data models when both factors and factor loadings are accounted for by a nonparametric function. This general specification encompasses rather popular models such as the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-13 Juan M. Rodriguez-Poo , Alexandra Soberon , Stefan Sperlich

This paper addresses the problem of online inverse reinforcement learning for nonlinear systems with modeling uncertainties while in the presence of unknown disturbances. The developed approach observes state and input trajectories for an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-07 Ryan Self , Moad Abudia , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

The problem of sequential change diagnosis is considered, where observations are obtained on-line, an abrupt change occurs in their distribution, and the goal is to quickly detect the change and accurately identify the post-change…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Austin Warner , Georgios Fellouris

We propose a learning-based robust predictive control algorithm that compensates for significant uncertainty in the dynamics for a class of discrete-time systems that are nominally linear with an additive nonlinear component. Such systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-15 Rohan Sinha , James Harrison , Spencer M. Richards , Marco Pavone

The parameter convergence relies on a stringent persistent excitation (PE) condition in adaptive control. Several works have proposed a memory term in the last decade to translate the PE condition to a feasible finite excitation (FE)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-26 Manish Patel , Arnab Maity

Modern multiscale type segmentation methods are known to detect multiple change-points with high statistical accuracy, while allowing for fast computation. Underpinning theory has been developed mainly for models that assume the signal as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Housen Li , Qinghai Guo , Axel Munk

We consider the problem of tracking an unknown time varying parameter that characterizes the probabilistic evolution of a sequence of independent observations. To this aim, we propose a stochastic gradient descent-based recursive scheme in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-01 Alberto Lanconelli , Christopher S. A. Lauria

This paper presents extensions of finite-time stability results to some prototypical adaptive control and estimation frameworks. First, we present a novel scheme of online parameter estimation that guarantees convergence of the estimation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Kunal Garg , Parag Bobade , Dimitra Panagou

In this paper we are interested in the problem of adaptive state observation of linear time-varying (LTV) systems where the system and the input matrices depend on unknown time-varying parameters. It is assumed that these parameters satisfy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-13 Anton Pyrkin , Alexey Bobtsov , Romeo Ortega , Alberto Isidori

Nonlinear dynamical systems with regime transitions are typically described by ordinary differential equations with jumping parameters parameters. Traditional methods often treat change-point detection and parameter estimation as separate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-29 Yuhe Bai , Chengli Tan , Jiaqi Li , Xiangjun Wang , Zhikun Zhang

We propose a technique for the design and analysis of adaptation algorithms in dynamical systems. The technique applies both to systems with conventional Lyapunov-stable target dynamics and to ones of which the desired dynamics around the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Tyukin Ivan , Danil Prokhorov , Cees van Leeuwen

We introduce a new predictive mechanism that operates in the presence of hidden confounding across distributionally diverse data sources while ensuring consistent estimation of causal parameters-despite their recognized suboptimality for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Carlos García Meixide , David Ríos Insua

This work introduces an efficient novel approach for epistemic uncertainty estimation for ensemble models for regression tasks using pairwise-distance estimators (PaiDEs). Utilizing the pairwise-distance between model components, these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Lucas Berry , David Meger
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