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Data point selection (DPS) is becoming a critical topic in deep learning due to the ease of acquiring uncurated training data compared to the difficulty of obtaining curated or processed data. Existing approaches to DPS are predominantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Xinnuo Xu , Minyoung Kim , Royson Lee , Brais Martinez , Timothy Hospedales

In this work we study the potentialities of machine learning models in reconstructing the solar wind speed observations gathered in the first Lagrangian point by the ACE satellite in 2016--2017 using as input data galactic cosmic-ray flux…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2023-02-15 Federico Sabbatini , Catia Grimani

We develop the methodology and a detailed case study in use of a class of Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS) models for multivariate time series forecasting. This extends the recently introduced foundational framework of BPS to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Kenichiro McAlinn , Knut Are Aastveit , Jouchi Nakajima , Mike West

We present a systematic trading framework that forecasts short-horizon market risk, identifies its underlying drivers, and generates alpha using a hybrid machine learning ensemble built to trade on the resulting signal. The framework…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-28 Aryan Ranjan

Bayesian synthetic likelihood (BSL) is now an established method for conducting approximate Bayesian inference in models where, due to the intractability of the likelihood function, exact Bayesian approaches are either infeasible or…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-12 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi

With the emergence of cost effective battery storage and the decline in the solar photovoltaic (PV) levelized cost of energy (LCOE), the number of behind-the-meter solar PV systems is expected to increase steadily. The ability to estimate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-19 Xinlei Chen , Moosa Moghimi Haji , Omid Ardakanian

With the growing prevalence of smart grid technology, short-term load forecasting (STLF) becomes particularly important in power system operations. There is a large collection of methods developed for STLF, but selecting a suitable method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Cong Feng , Jie Zhang

Western countries rely heavily on wheat, and yield prediction is crucial. Time-series deep learning models, such as Long Short Term Memory (LSTM), have already been explored and applied to yield prediction. Existing literature reported that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-05 Yogesh Bansal , David Lillis , Mohand Tahar Kechadi

This work proposes a novel and efficient quadstream BiLSTM-Attention network, abbreviated as QSLA network, for robust automatic modulation classification (AMC) of wireless signals. The proposed model exploits multiple representations of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-15 Rohit Udaiwal , Nayan Baishya , Yash Gupta , B. R. Manoj

Despite exceptional predictive performance of Deep sequence models (DSMs), the main concern of their deployment centers around the lack of uncertainty awareness. In contrast, probabilistic models quantify the uncertainty associated with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Wenlong Chen

Beam prediction is an effective approach to reduce training overhead in massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems. However, existing beam prediction models still exhibit limited generalization ability in diverse scenarios, which…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-09 Yizhu Zhao , Li Yu , Lianzheng Shi , Jianhua Zhang , Guangyi Liu

To address the high levels of uncertainty associated with photovoltaic energy, an increasing number of studies focusing on short-term solar forecasting (i.e. nowcasting) have been published. Most of these studies use deep-learning-based…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Lorenzo F. C. Varaschin , Danilo Silva

Probability estimation of tree topologies is one of the fundamental tasks in phylogenetic inference. The recently proposed subsplit Bayesian networks (SBNs) provide a powerful probabilistic graphical model for tree topology probability…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-10 Tianyu Xie , Musu Yuan , Minghua Deng , Cheng Zhang

The problem of constructing a dataset for MLIP development which gives the maximum quality in the minimum amount of compute time is complex, and can be approached in a number of ways. We introduce a ``Bayesian selection" approach for…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-06-23 Thomas Rocke , James Kermode

The accumulated remote sensing data of altimeters and scatterometers have provided a new opportunity to forecast the ocean states and improve the knowledge in ocean/atmosphere exchanges. Few previous studies have focused on sea level…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-16 Guosong Wang , Xidong Wang , Xinrong Wu , Kexiu Liu , Yiquan Qi , Chunjian Sun , Hongli Fu

Short-term probabilistic wind power forecasting can provide critical quantified uncertainty information of wind generation for power system operation and control. As the complicated characteristics of wind power prediction error, it would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-14 You Lin , Ming Yang , Can Wan , Jianhui Wang , Yonghua Song

The project aims to research on combining deep learning specifically Long-Short Memory (LSTM) and basic statistics in multiple multistep time series prediction. LSTM can dive into all the pages and learn the general trends of variation in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-13 Chuanyun Zang

Unpredictability of renewable energy sources coupled with the complexity of those methods used for various purposes in this area calls for the development of robust methods such as DL models within the renewable energy domain. Given the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Lutfu Sua , Haibo Wang , Jun Huang

Accurate short-term residential energy consumption forecasting at sub-hourly resolution is critical for smart grid management, demand response programmes, and renewable energy integration. While weather variables are widely acknowledged as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Prasad Nimantha Madusanka Ukwatta Hewage , Hao Wu

In order to improve the vessel's capacity and ensure maritime traffic safety, vessel intelligent trajectory prediction plays an essential role in the vessel's smart navigation and intelligent collision avoidance system. However, current…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Jin Chen , Xingchen Li , Ye Xiao , Hao Chen , Yong Zhao