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This paper develops an approach for multi-step forecasting of dynamical systems by integrating probabilistic input forecasting with physics-informed output prediction. Accurate multi-step forecasting of time series systems is important for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Mahdi Nasiri , Johanna Kortelainen , Simo Särkkä

Accurately forecasting long-term atmospheric variables remains a defining challenge in meteorological science due to the chaotic nature of atmospheric systems. Temperature data represents a complex superposition of deterministic cyclical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Shreyas Rajeev , Karthik Mudenahalli Ashoka , Amit Mallappa Tiparaddi

In sparse Bayesian learning (SBL), Gaussian scale mixtures (GSMs) have been used to model sparsity-inducing priors that realize a class of concave penalty functions for the regression task in real-valued signal models. Motivated by the…

A crucial task in predictive maintenance is estimating the remaining useful life of physical systems. In the last decade, deep learning has improved considerably upon traditional model-based and statistical approaches in terms of predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-05 Luca Della Libera , Jacopo Andreoli , Davide Dalle Pezze , Mirco Ravanelli , Gian Antonio Susto

In this paper, we consider a score-based Integer Programming (IP) approach for solving the Bayesian Network Structure Learning (BNSL) problem. State-of-the-art BNSL IP formulations suffer from the exponentially large number of variables and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-10 Yiran Yang , Rui Chen

Technological advances in genotyping have given rise to hypothesis-based association studies of increasing scope. As a result, the scientific hypotheses addressed by these studies have become more complex and more difficult to address using…

We introduce a novel combination of Bayesian Models (BMs) and Neural Networks (NNs) for making predictions with a minimum expected risk. Our approach combines the best of both worlds, the data efficiency and interpretability of a BM with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Mathias Löwe , Per Lunnemann Hansen , Sebastian Risi

Boltzmann machines (BMs) are powerful energy-based generative models, but their heavy training cost has largely confined practical use to Restricted BMs (RBMs) trained with an efficient learning method called contrastive divergence. More…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Kentaro Kubo , Hayato Goto

A novel multitask learning approach based on stacked bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) networks and convolutional neural networks (CNN) for detecting, locating, characterizing, and identifying fiber faults is proposed. It…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-17 Khouloud Abdelli , Helmut Griesser , Carsten Tropschug , Stephan Pachnicke

Estimation of Distribution Algorithms have been proposed as a new paradigm for evolutionary optimization. This paper focuses on the parallelization of Estimation of Distribution Algorithms. More specifically, the paper discusses how to…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jiri Ocenasek , Martin Pelikan

Numerical modeling of different structural materials that have highly nonlinear behaviors has always been a challenging problem in engineering disciplines. Experimental data is commonly used to characterize this behavior. This study aims to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Elif Ecem Bas , Denis Aslangil , Mohamed A. Moustafa

Time series prediction with deep learning methods, especially long short-term memory neural networks (LSTMs), have scored significant achievements in recent years. Despite the fact that the LSTMs can help to capture long-term dependencies,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-12 Youru Li , Zhenfeng Zhu , Deqiang Kong , Hua Han , Yao Zhao

We propose a novel deep learning framework, named SYMHnet, which employs a graph neural network and a bidirectional long short-term memory network to cooperatively learn patterns from solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field parameters…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-28 Yasser Abduallah , Khalid A. Alobaid , Jason T. L. Wang , Haimin Wang , Vania K. Jordanova , Vasyl Yurchyshyn , Huseyin Cavus , Ju Jing

Time series data is prevalent across numerous fields, necessitating the development of robust and accurate forecasting models. Capturing patterns both within and between temporal and multivariate components is crucial for reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Maurice Kraus , Felix Divo , Devendra Singh Dhami , Kristian Kersting

Short-term forecasting of residential electricity demand is an important task for utilities. Yet, many small and medium-sized utilities still use simple forecasting approaches such as Synthesized Load Profiles, which treat residential…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Daniel R. Bayer , Felix Haag , Marco Pruckner , Konstantin Hopf

There has been an increasing trend in the electric power system from a centralized generation-driven grid to a more reliable, environmental friendly, and customer-driven grid. One of the most important issues which the designers of smart…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-02-03 Kianoosh G. Boroojeni , Shekoufeh Mokhtari , M. H. Amini , S. S. Iyengar

We propose a multistage method for making inference at all levels of a Bayesian hierarchical model (BHM) using natural data partitions to increase efficiency by allowing computations to take place in parallel form using software that is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-23 Devin S. Johnson , Brian M. Brost , Mevin B. Hooten

With the routine collection of massive-dimensional predictors in many application areas, screening methods that rapidly identify a small subset of promising predictors have become commonplace. We propose a new MOdular Bayes Screening (MOBS)…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-30 Yuhan Chen , David B. Dunson

Automatic industrial scheduling, aiming at optimizing the sequence of jobs over limited resources, is widely needed in manufacturing industries. However, existing scheduling systems heavily rely on heuristic algorithms, which either…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Longkang Li , Hui-Ling Zhen , Mingxuan Yuan , Jiawen Lu , XialiangTong , Jia Zeng , Jun Wang , Dirk Schnieders

The translation of comparative genomics into clinical decision support tools often depends on the quality of sequence alignments. However, currently used methods of multiple sequence alignments suffer from significant biases and problems…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-30 Manal Helal , Vitali Sintchenko