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Currently, the issue that concerns the world leaders most is climate change for its effect on agriculture, environment and economies of daily life. So, to combat this, temperature prediction with strong accuracy is vital. So far, the most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Wasiou Jaharabi , MD Ibrahim Al Hossain , Rownak Tahmid , Md. Zuhayer Islam , T. M. Saad Rayhan

With the heightened volatility in stock prices during the Covid-19 pandemic, the need for price forecasting has become more critical. We investigated the forecast performance of four models including Long-Short Term Memory, XGBoost,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-07 Navid Mottaghi , Sara Farhangdoost

In a context of constant increase in competition and heightened regulatory pressure, accuracy, actuarial precision, as well as transparency and understanding of the tariff, are key issues in non-life insurance. Traditionally used…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-28 Markéta Krùpovà , Nabil Rachdi , Quentin Guibert

This paper evaluates the performance of classical time series models in forecasting Bitcoin prices, focusing on ARIMA, SARIMA, GARCH, and EGARCH. Daily price data from 2010 to 2020 were analyzed, with models trained on the first 90 percent…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-11 Anmar Kareem , Alexander Aue

Accurate electricity forecasting is crucial for grid stability and energy planning, especially in Benghazi, Libya, where frequent load shedding, generation deficits, and infrastructure limitations persist. This study proposes a data-driven…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Asma Agaal , Mansour Essgaer , Hend M. Farkash , Zulaiha Ali Othman

Quantum Machine Learning (QML) presents as a revolutionary approach to weather forecasting by using quantum computing to improve predictive modeling capabilities. In this study, we apply QML models, including Quantum Gated Recurrent Units…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-15 Saiyam Sakhuja , Shivanshu Siyanwal , Abhishek Tiwari , Britant , Savita Kashyap

Sales forecasting is the prerequisite for a lot of managerial decisions such as production planning, material resource planning and budgeting in the supply chain. Promotions are one of the most important business strategies that are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-17 Muhammad Hamza , Mahdi Abolghasemi , Abraham Oshni Alvandi

Increased availability of epidemiological data, novel digital data streams, and the rise of powerful machine learning approaches have generated a surge of research activity on real-time epidemic forecast systems. In this paper, we propose…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Ioanna Miliou , Xinyue Xiong , Salvatore Rinzivillo , Qian Zhang , Giulio Rossetti , Fosca Giannotti , Dino Pedreschi , Alessandro Vespignani

A LightGBM model fed with target word lexical characteristics and features obtained from word frequency lists, psychometric data and bigram association measures has been optimized for the 2021 CMCL Shared Task on Eye-Tracking Data…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-04-28 Yves Bestgen

The reproduction of realistic dynamics in financial markets is of great significance, as it enhances our understanding of market evolution beyond other physical processes, and facilitates the development and backtesting of investment…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Tianlang He , Fengming Zhu , Keyan Lu , Chang Xu , Yang Liu , Weiqing Liu , Fangzhen Lin , S. -H. Gary Chan , Jiang Bian

Time series data in the retail world are particularly rich in terms of dimensionality, and these dimensions can be aggregated in groups or hierarchies. Valuable information is nested in these complex structures, which helps to predict the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-25 Luis Roque , Cristina A. C. Fernandes , Tony Silva

We propose a hybrid forecast based on extended discrete grey Markov and variable dimension Kalman model and show that our hybrid model can improve much more the performance of forecast than traditional grey Markov and Kalman models. Our…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2012-07-10 Gol Kim , Ri Suk Yun

Multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) models multiple agents that interact and learn within a shared environment. This paradigm is applicable to various industrial scenarios such as autonomous driving, quantitative trading, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Xianliang Yang , Zhihao Liu , Wei Jiang , Chuheng Zhang , Li Zhao , Lei Song , Jiang Bian

In forecasting problems it is important to know whether or not recent events represent a regime change (low long-term predictive potential), or rather a local manifestation of longer term effects (potentially higher predictive potential).…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-09 Timothy Graves , Robert B. Gramacy , Christian Franzke , Nicholas Watkins

To establish an updated understanding of the U.S. textile and apparel (TAP) industrys competitive position within the global textile environment, trade data from UN-COMTRADE (1996-2016) was used to calculate the Normalized Revealed…

General Economics · Economics 2019-08-15 Zahra Saki , Lori Rothenberg , Marguerite Moor , Ivan Kandilov , A. Blanton Godfrey

Many businesses and industries require accurate forecasts for weekly time series nowadays. However, the forecasting literature does not currently provide easy-to-use, automatic, reproducible and accurate approaches dedicated to this task.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Rakshitha Godahewa , Christoph Bergmeir , Geoffrey I. Webb , Pablo Montero-Manso

Thermostatically-controlled loads have a significant impact on electricity demand after service is restored following an outage, a phenomenon known as cold load pick-up (CLPU). Active management of CLPU is becoming an essential tool for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-16 Sanja Bajic , François Bouffard , Hannah Michalska , Géza Joós

Forecasts of future events are essential inputs into informed decision-making. Machine learning (ML) systems have the potential to deliver forecasts at scale, but there is no framework for evaluating the accuracy of ML systems on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Ezra Karger , Houtan Bastani , Chen Yueh-Han , Zachary Jacobs , Danny Halawi , Fred Zhang , Philip E. Tetlock

The increasing scale and complexity of global supply chains have led to new challenges spanning various fields, such as supply chain disruptions due to long waiting lines at the ports, material shortages, and inflation. Coupled with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Haibo Wang , Lutfu S. Sua , Bahram Alidaee

Time-series forecasting underpins critical decisions across aviation, energy, retail and health. Classical autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models offer interpretability via coefficients but struggle with nonlinearities,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Manish Shukla
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