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The validity of estimation and smoothing parameter selection for the wide class of generalized additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS) relies on the correct specification of a likelihood function. Deviations from such…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-14 William H. Aeberhard , Eva Cantoni , Giampiero Marra , Rosalba Radice

For the class of Gauss-Markov processes we study the problem of asymptotic equivalence of the nonparametric regression model with errors given by the increments of the process and the continuous time model, where a whole path of a sum of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Holger Dette , Martin Kroll

The problem of establishing out-of-sample bounds for the values of an unkonwn ground-truth function is considered. Kernels and their associated Hilbert spaces are the main formalism employed herein along with an observational model where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Paul Scharnhorst , Emilio T. Maddalena , Yuning Jiang , Colin N. Jones

The performance of kernel density estimators is usually studied via Taylor expansions and asymptotic approximation arguments, in which the bandwidth parameter tends to zero with increasing sample size. In contrast, this paper focusses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Nils Lid Hjort , Nikolai G. Ushakov

We develop a computational procedure to estimate the covariance hyperparameters for semiparametric Gaussian process regression models with additive noise. Namely, the presented method can be used to efficiently estimate the variance of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Siavash Ameli , Shawn C. Shadden

We obtain minimax-optimal convergence rates in the supremum norm, including information-theoretic lower bounds, for estimating the covariance kernel of a stochastic process which is repeatedly observed at discrete, synchronous design…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Max Berger , Hajo Holzmann

In a general class of Bayesian nonparametric models, we prove that the posterior distribution can be asymptotically approximated by a Gaussian process. Our results apply to nonparametric exponential family that contains both Gaussian and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

This paper introduces new empirical process tools for analyzing a broad class of statistical learning models under heavy-tailed noise and complex function classes. Our primary contribution is the derivation of two Dudley-type maximal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Yizhe Ding , Runze Li , Lingzhou Xue

Linear thresholding models postulate that the conditional distribution of a response variable in terms of covariates differs on the two sides of a (typically unknown) hyperplane in the covariate space. A key goal in such models is to learn…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Debarghya Mukherjee , Moulinath Banerjee , Debasri Mukherjee , Ya'acov Ritov

Stein's method for Gaussian process approximation can be used to bound the differences between the expectations of smooth functionals $h$ of a c\`adl\`ag random process $X$ of interest and the expectations of the same functionals of a well…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-15 A. D. Barbour , Nathan Ross , Guangqu Zheng

The growing prevalence of nonsmooth optimization problems in machine learning has spurred significant interest in generalized smoothness assumptions. Among these, the (L0, L1)-smoothness assumption has emerged as one of the most prominent.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Zhirayr Tovmasyan , Grigory Malinovsky , Laurent Condat , Peter Richtárik

We investigate the discrepancy principle for choosing smoothing parameters for kernel density estimation. The method is based on the distance between the empirical and estimated distribution functions. We prove some new positive and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Thoralf Mildenberger

Consider estimation of the regression function based on a model with equidistant design and measurement errors generated from a fractional Gaussian noise process. In previous literature, this model has been heuristically linked to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-02 Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Smooth activation functions are ubiquitous in modern deep learning, yet their theoretical advantages over non-smooth counterparts remain poorly understood. In this work, we study both approximation and statistical properties of neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Yuhao Liu , Zilin Wang , Lei Wu , Shaobo Zhang

This paper deals with nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian locally stationary processes. Our nonparametric MLE is constructed by minimizing a frequency domain likelihood over a class of functions. The asymptotic behavior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

It is now known that an extended Gaussian process model equipped with rescaling can adapt to different smoothness levels of a function valued parameter in many nonparametric Bayesian analyses, offering a posterior convergence rate that is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-06 Surya T. Tokdar

We consider the problem of parameter estimation by the observations of deterministic signal in white gaussian noise. It is supposed that the signal has a singularity of cusp-type. The properties of the maximum likelihood and bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-10 Oleg Chernoyarov , Serguei Dachian , Yury Kutoyants

Gaussian process regression is widely used because of its ability to provide well-calibrated uncertainty estimates and handle small or sparse datasets. However, it struggles with high-dimensional data. One possible way to scale this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-02 Bernardo Fichera , Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Andreas Krause , Aude Billard

We consider data-adaptive wavelet estimation of a trend function in a time series model with strongly dependent Gaussian residuals. Asymptotic expressions for the optimal mean integrated squared error and corresponding optimal smoothing and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-05 Jan Beran , Yevgen Shumeyko

This paper considers the estimation of quantiles via a smoothed version of the stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithm. By smoothing the score function in the conventional SGD quantile algorithm, we achieve monotonicity in the quantile…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-20 Likai Chen , Georg Keilbar , Wei Biao Wu
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