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Providing non-conservative uncertainty quantification for function estimates derived from noisy observations remains a fundamental challenge in statistical machine learning, particularly for applications in safety-critical domains. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Johannes Teutsch , Oleksii Molodchyk , Marion Leibold , Timm Faulwasser , Armin Lederer

Empirical likelihood is an attractive inferential framework that respects natural parameter boundaries, but existing approaches typically require smoothness of the functional and miscalibrate substantially when these assumptions are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Hongseok Namkoong

We consider Bayesian inverse problems arising in data assimilation for dynamical systems governed by partial and stochastic partial differential equations. The space-time dependent field is inferred jointly with static parameters of the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-20 Baptiste Simandoux , Nikolas Kantas , Dan Crisan

This paper establishes error bounds for the convergence of a piecewise linear approximation of the constrained optimal smoothing problem posed in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). This problem can be reformulated as a Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Laurence Grammont , François Bachoc , Andrés F. López-Lopera

Gaussian processes are widely employed as versatile modelling and predictive tools in spatial statistics, functional data analysis, computer modelling and diverse applications of machine learning. They have been widely studied over…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-28 Didong Li , Wenpin Tang , Sudipto Banerjee

Asymptotics of maximum likelihood estimation for $\alpha$-stable law are analytically investigated with a continuous parameterization. The consistency and asymptotic normality are shown on the interior of the whole parameter space. Although…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-01 Muneya Matsui

Image acquisition and segmentation are likely to introduce noise. Further image processing such as image registration and parameterization can introduce additional noise. It is thus imperative to reduce noise measurements and boost signal.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Moo K. Chung

We propose a two-step pseudo-maximum likelihood procedure for semiparametric single-index regression models where the conditional variance is a known function of the regression and an additional parameter. The Poisson single-index…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-27 Marian Hristache , Weiyu Li , Valentin Patilea

We consider a problem of approximation of $d$-variate functions defined on $\mathbb{R}^d$ which belong to the Hilbert space with tensor product-type reproducing Gaussian kernel with constant shape parameter. Within worst case setting, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-27 A. A. Khartov , I. A. Limar

We are interested in estimating the location of what we call "smooth change-point" from $n$ independent observations of an inhomogeneous Poisson process. The smooth change-point is a transition of the intensity function of the process from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-17 A. Amiri , S Dachian

Discrepancy measures between probability distributions, often termed statistical distances, are ubiquitous in probability theory, statistics and machine learning. To combat the curse of dimensionality when estimating these distances from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-21 Sloan Nietert , Ziv Goldfeld , Kengo Kato

We consider the convolution model where i.i.d. random variables $X_i$ having unknown density $f$ are observed with additive i.i.d. noise, independent of the $X$'s. We assume that the density $f$ belongs to either a Sobolev class or a class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Cristina Butucea

Gaussian processes (GPs) enable principled computation of model uncertainty, making them attractive for safety-critical applications. Such scenarios demand that GP decisions are not only accurate, but also robust to perturbations. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-08 Andrea Patane , Arno Blaas , Luca Laurenti , Luca Cardelli , Stephen Roberts , Marta Kwiatkowska

Under the assumption that data lie on a compact (unknown) manifold without boundary, we derive finite sample bounds for kernel smoothing and its (first and second) derivatives, and we establish asymptotic normality through Berry-Esseen type…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Eunseong Bae , Wolfgang Polonik

This paper studies a Bayesian approach to non-asymptotic minimax adaptation in nonparametric estimation. Estimating an input function on the basis of output functions in a Gaussian white-noise model is discussed. The input function is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-30 Keisuke Yano , Fumiyasu Komaki

For the purpose of maximum likelihood estimation of static parameters, we apply a kernel smoother to the particles in the standard SIR filter for non-linear state space models with additive Gaussian observation noise. This reduces the Monte…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-07 Tore Selland Kleppe , Hans Julius Skaug

Flexible estimation of the mean outcome under a treatment regimen (i.e., value function) is the key step toward personalized medicine. We define our target parameter as a conditional value function given a set of baseline covariates which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-29 Ashkan Ertefaie , Luke Duttweiler , Brent A. Johnson , Mark J. van der Laan

Penalties that induce smoothness are common in nonparametric regression. In many settings, the amount of smoothness in the data generating function will not be known. Simon and Shojaie (2021) derived convergence rates for nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-04 Marlena S. Bannick , Noah Simon

Most studies for negatively associated (NA) random variables consider the complete-data situation, which is actually a relatively ideal condition in practice. The paper relaxes this condition to the incomplete-data setting and considers…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Jianhua Shi , Jiansen Xu , Jinfeng Xu

In this paper, we consider the estimation of a change-point for possibly high-dimensional data in a Gaussian model, using a k-means method. We prove that, up to a logarithmic term, this change-point estimator has a minimax rate of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-22 Aurélie Fischer , Dominique Picard