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We study the consistency of minimum-norm interpolation in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces corresponding to bounded kernels. Our main result give lower bounds for the generalization error of the kernel interpolation measured in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Yunfei Yang

Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation is intended to infer the unknown density distribution while making as few assumptions as possible. To alleviate the over parameterization in nonparametric data fitting, smoothing assumptions are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-21 YunPeng Li , ZhaoHui Ye

Voronoi intensity estimators, which are non-parametric estimators for intensity functions of point processes, are both parameter-free and adaptive; the intensity estimate at a given location is given by the reciprocal size of the…

In this paper, we study random subsampling of Gaussian process regression, one of the simplest approximation baselines, from a theoretical perspective. Although subsampling discards a large part of training data, we show provable guarantees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-29 Kohei Hayashi , Masaaki Imaizumi , Yuichi Yoshida

Nonparametric estimation of copula density functions using kernel estimators presents significant challenges. One issue is the potential unboundedness of certain copula density functions at the corners of the unit square. Another is the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-11 Mathias N. Muia , Olivia Atutey , Mahmud Hasan

We introduce and analyze a nonlocal generalization of Whittle--Mat\'ern Gaussian fields in which the smoothness parameter varies in space through the fractional order, $s=s(x)\in[\underline{s}\,,\bar{s}]\subset(0,1)$. The model is defined…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Hamza Ruzayqat , Wenyu Lei , David Bolin , George Turkiyyah , Omar Knio

This paper provides a precise error analysis for the maximum likelihood estimate $\hat{a}_{\text{ML}}(u_1^n)$ of the parameter $a$ given samples $u_1^n = (u_1, \ldots, u_n)'$ drawn from a nonstationary Gauss-Markov process $U_i = a U_{i-1}…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-29 Peida Tian , Victoria Kostina

We propose here a smooth estimator of the mean residual life function based on randomly censored data. This is derived by smoothing the product-limit estimator using the Chaubey-Sen technique (Chaubey and Sen (1998)). The resulting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Yogendra P. Chaubey , Arusharka Sen

Randomized smoothing is a recent technique that achieves state-of-art performance in training certifiably robust deep neural networks. While the smoothing family of distributions is often connected to the choice of the norm used for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-06 Motasem Alfarra , Adel Bibi , Philip H. S. Torr , Bernard Ghanem

With modern high-dimensional data, complex statistical models are necessary, requiring computationally feasible inference schemes. We introduce Max-and-Smooth, an approximate Bayesian inference scheme for a flexible class of latent Gaussian…

Let $(X_1,\ldots,X_n)$ be an i.i.d. sequence of random variables in $\mathbb{R}^d$, $d\geq 1$. We show that, for any function $\varphi :\mathbb{R}^d\rightarrow\mathbb{R}$, under regularity conditions, \[n^…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Bernard Delyon , François Portier

A key challenge in the practical application of Gaussian processes (GPs) is selecting a proper covariance function. The moving average, or process convolutions, construction of GPs allows some additional flexibility, but still requires…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-19 Thomas M. McDonald , Magnus Ross , Michael T. Smith , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We study estimation and prediction of Gaussian random fields with covariance models belonging to the generalized Wendland (GW) class, under fixed domain asymptotics. As the Mat\'ern case, this class allows a continuous parameterization of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-17 M. Bevilacqua , T. Faouzi , R. Furrer , E. Porcu

Classically, data interpolation with a parametrized model class is possible as long as the number of parameters is larger than the number of equations to be satisfied. A puzzling phenomenon in deep learning is that models are trained with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-27 Sébastien Bubeck , Mark Sellke

Linear structural equation models postulate noisy linear relationships between variables of interest. Each model corresponds to a path diagram, which is a mixed graph with directed edges that encode the domains of the linear functions and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-16 Mathias Drton , Christopher Fox , Andreas Käufl , Guillaume Pouliot

We consider the problems of confidence estimation and hypothesis testing on a parameter of signal observed in Gaussian white noise. For these problems we point out lower bounds of asymptotic efficiency in the zone of moderate deviation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-27 Mikhail Ermakov

In this paper we develop non-asymptotic Gaussian approximation results for the sampling distribution of suprema of empirical processes when the indexing function class $\mathcal{F}_n$ varies with the sample size $n$ and may not be Donsker.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Alexander Giessing

This note responds to "Promises and Pitfalls of Deep Kernel Learning" (Ober et al., 2021). The marginal likelihood of a Gaussian process can be compartmentalized into a data fit term and a complexity penalty. Ober et al. (2021) shows that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-26 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Zhiting Hu , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Eric P. Xing

The nonparametric regression model with normal errors has been extensively studied, both from the frequentist and Bayesian viewpoint. A central result in Bayesian nonparametrics is that under assumptions on the prior, the data-generating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-24 Paul Rosa

This paper proposes a novel exact maximum likelihood (ML) estimation method for general Gaussian processes, where all parameters are estimated jointly. The exact ML estimator (MLE) is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Tetsuya Takabatake , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang