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Effective water resource management depends on accurate projections of flows in water channels. For projected climate data, use of different General Circulation Models (GCM) simulates contrasting results. This study shows selection of GCM…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-16 Saad Ahmed Jamal , Ammara Nusrat , Muhammad Azmat , Muhammad Osama Nusrat

Two theoretical frameworks have been widely used to understand the response of monsoons to local and remote forcings: the vertically integrated atmospheric energy budget and convective quasi-equilibrium (CQE). Existing forms of these…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-06-29 Ravi Shekhar , William R. Boos

Model predictive control (MPC) strategies allow residential water heaters to shift load in response to dynamic price signals. Crucially, the performance of such strategies is sensitive to various algorithm design choices. In this work, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-07 Elizabeth Buechler , Aaron Goldin , Ram Rajagopal

What is the role of soil moisture in maintaining the land ITCZ during the active phase of the monsoon? This question has been addressed in this study by using ERA5 reanalysis datasets, and then we evaluate the question in the CFS model-free…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-08 Pratibha Gautam , Rajib Chattopadhyay , Gill Martin , Susmitha Joseph , A. K. Sahai

This research introduces a new ML framework designed to enhance the robustness of out-of-sample hydrocarbon production forecasting, specifically addressing multivariate time series analysis. The proposed methodology integrates Productivity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Mohamed Hassan Abdalla Idris , Jakub Marek Cebula , Jebraeel Gholinezhad , Shamsul Masum , Hongjie Ma

The CMIP3 multi-model ensemble spread most likely underestimates the real model uncertainty in future climate predictions because of the similarity, and shared defects, of the models in the ensemble. To generate an appropriate level of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-09-11 Stephen Jewson , Ed Hawkins

Wake steering, the intentional yaw misalignment of certain turbines in an array, has demonstrated potential as a wind farm control approach to increase collective power. Existing algorithms optimize the yaw misalignment angle set-points…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-06-19 Michael F. Howland

Critical decisions frequently rely on high-dimensional output from complex computer simulation models that show intricate cross-variable, spatial and temporal dependence structures, with weather and climate predictions being key examples.…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Roman Schefzik , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir , Tilmann Gneiting

Modern climate change presents unprecedented challenges, posing critical crises that threaten sustainable development, human well-being, and planetary health. A significant concern is the potential for global warming to cause irreversible…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-16 Maheshwari Neelam , Christopher Hain

Machine learning models have emerged as a very effective strategy to sidestep time-consuming electronic-structure calculations, enabling accurate simulations of greater size, time scale and complexity. Given the interpolative nature of…

To calculate the wind-waves in the Indian Ocean (IO), the wind field for the period from 1998 to 2009 was used, obtained from the NCEP/NOAA archive, and numerical model WAM (Cycle-4) was applied, modified by the new source function proposed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-09-30 V. G. Polnikov , F. A. Pogarskii , S. A. Sannasiraj , V. Sundar

Large ensembles of climate projections are essential for characterizing uncertainty in future climate and extreme weather events, yet computational constraints of numerical climate models limit ensemble sizes to a small number of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-01 Francesco Immorlano , Elijah Tavares , Felix Draxler , Padhraic Smyth , Pierre Gentine , Stephan Mandt

Column-integrated moist static energy (MSE) budgets underpin theories of tropical convection and circulation, yet in reanalyses and climate models the budget rarely closes; residuals routinely match the leading terms and mask physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-27 Kuniaki Inoue , Maxwell Kelley , Ann M. Fridlind , Michela Biasutti , Gregory S. Elsaesser

Conservation Voltage Reduction (CVR) relies on the effective coordination of slow-acting devices, such as OLTCs and CBs, and fast-acting devices, such as SVGs and PV inverters, typically implemented through a hierarchical multi-stage…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Qintao Du , Ran Li , Weiyi Lv , Huan Zhou , Moduo Yu , Jianzhe Liu

Variable density flows occur in a variety of different systems with a wide range of scales, from astrophysics to atmospheric flows to inertial confinement fusion or reacting flows. Given the inherent limitations of RANS simulations, it is…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-01-01 Jan Felix Heyse , Zhu Huang , Gianluca Iaccarino

The response of the Antarctic ice sheet (AIS) to changing climate forcings is an important driver of sea-level changes. Anthropogenic climate change may drive a sizeable AIS tipping point response with subsequent increases in coastal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-02-08 Kelsey L. Ruckert , Gary Shaffer , David Pollard , Yawen Guan , Tony E. Wong , Chris E. Forest , Klaus Keller

We assess evidence for changes in tail characteristics of wind, solar irradiance and temperature variables output from CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs) due to climate forcing. We estimate global and climate zone annual maximum and annual…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-06 Callum Leach , Kevin Ewans , Philip Jonathan

The flexural strength variability of {\alpha}-SiC based ceramics at elevated temperatures creates the need for an Integrated Computational Materials Engineering (ICME) framework that relates the strength of a specimen directly to its…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-03-05 Joseph J. Marziale , Jason Sun , Eric A. Walker , Yu Chen , David Salac , James Chen

Reliable dynamic sea level forecasts are hindered by numerous sources of uncertainty on daily-to-seasonal timescales (1-180 days) due to atmospheric boundary conditions and internal ocean variability. Studies have demonstrated that certain…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-22 Andrew Brettin , Laure Zanna , Elizabeth A. Barnes

Predictive hydrological uncertainty can be quantified by using ensemble methods. If properly formulated, these methods can offer improved predictive performance by combining multiple predictions. In this work, we use 50-year-long monthly…

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