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Mesoscale convective systems MCSs play a central role in tropical rainfall and are closely linked to extreme precipitation and large scale variability. However, a quantitative understanding of their environmental controls remains…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-04-24 Huaiping Wang , Qiu Yang

This report summarizes the major progresses to develop the dynamic core for next-generation atmospherical model for both numerical weather prediction and climate simulation. The numerical framework is based on a general formulation,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-04-14 Xingliang Li , Chungang Chen , Xueshun Shen , Feng Xiao

This work investigates climate--projections over a transitional region between dry and wet climates, the Iberian Peninsula (IP). With this purpose, the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, driven CCSM4 and MPI-ESM-LR GCMs…

Hydro-meteorological variables, like precipitation, streamflow are significantly influenced by various climatic factors and large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns. Efficient water resources management requires an understanding of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-03-14 Maheswaran Rathinasamy , Ankit Agarwal , Vilakshna Parmar , Rakesh Khosa , Arvind Bairwa

In this study, we investigate how PCMDI/CMIP3 general circulation models (GCMs) represent the seasonal properties of the hydrological cycle in four major South and Southeast Asian river basins (Indus, Ganges, Brahmaputra and Mekong). First,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-02-04 Shabeh ul Hasson , Valerio Lucarini , Salvatore Pascale , Jürgen Böhner

Prediction of dynamic environmental variables in unmonitored sites remains a long-standing challenge for water resources science. The majority of the world's freshwater resources have inadequate monitoring of critical environmental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Jared D. Willard , Charuleka Varadharajan , Xiaowei Jia , Vipin Kumar

Climate change is likely to pose enormous challenges for agriculture, water resources, infrastructure, and livelihood of millions of people living in South Asia. Here, we develop daily bias-corrected data of precipitation, maximum and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Vimal Mishra , Udit Bhatia , Amar Deep Tiwari

The balancing provided by hydropower reservoirs is essential in the transition towards a decarbonised European energy system, but the resource might be impacted by future climate change. In this work, we first analyse the hydropower…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-09-07 Ebbe Kyhl Gøtske , Marta Victoria

In recent years, probabilistic forecasts techniques were proposed in research as well as in applications to integrate volatile renewable energy resources into the electrical grid. These techniques allow decision makers to take the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Jens Schreiber , Bernhard Sick

This study introduces the second version of the Integrated Climate Model (ICM). ICM is developed by the Center for Monsoon System Research, Institute of Atmospheric Physics to improve the short-term climate prediction of the East…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-11 Ping Huang , Lei Wang , Pengfei Wang , Zhihua Zhang , Gang Huang

Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-30 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

Implementing economy-wide decarbonization strategies based on decarbonizing the power grid via variable renewable energy (VRE) expansion and electrification of end-uses requires new approaches for energy infrastructure planning that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-11 Rahman Khorramfar , Dharik Mallapragada , Saurabh Amin

Current approaches to design flood-sensitive infrastructure typically assume a stationary rainfall distribution and neglect many uncertainties. These assumptions are inconsistent with observations that suggest intensifying extreme…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-11 Sanjib Sharma , Ben Seiyon Lee , Robert E. Nicholas , Klaus Keller

Variational Monte Carlo (VMC) can be used to train accurate machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs), enabling molecular dynamics (MD) simulations of complex materials on time scales and for system sizes previously unattainable. VMC…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2025-11-11 Giacomo Tenti , Kousuke Nakano , Michele Casula

Slender marine structures such as deep-water riser systems are continuously exposed to currents leading to vortex-induced vibrations (VIV) of the structure. This may result in amplified drag loads and fast accumulation of fatigue damage.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-03-13 Jie Wu , Decao Yin , Halvor Lie , Signe Riemer-Sørensen , Svein Sævik , Michael Triantafyllou

Generating a data set that is representative of the accessible configuration space of a molecular system is crucial for the robustness of machine learned interatomic potentials (MLIP). However, the complexity of molecular systems,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Aik Rui Tan , Johannes C. B. Dietschreit , Rafael Gomez-Bombarelli

Hourly rainfall extremes cause some of the most destructive weather disasters, yet numerical weather prediction models still struggle to forecast them, and a physical basis for their predictability remains unclear. Here, we identify a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-26 Bijit Kumar Banerjee , Devabrat Sharma , Mahen Konwar , Simanta Das , Utpal Sarma , B. N. Goswami

Despite the increasing importance of forecasts of renewable energy, current planning studies only address a general estimate of the forecast quality to be expected and selected forecast horizons. However, these estimates allow only a…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-03 Jens Schreiber , Artjom Buschin , Bernhard Sick

We review the skill of thirty coupled climate models participating in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 in terms of reproducing properties of the seasonal cycle of precipitation over the major river basins of South and Southeast Asia…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-06-22 Shabeh ul Hasson , Salvatore Pascale , Valerio Lucarini , Jürgen Böhner

The astounding success of these methods has made it imperative to obtain more explainable and trustworthy estimates from these models. In hydrology, basin characteristics can be noisy or missing, impacting streamflow prediction. For solving…