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When learning is used to inform decisions about humans, such as for loans, hiring, or admissions, this can incentivize users to strategically modify their features, at a cost, to obtain positive predictions. The common assumption is that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Yonatan Sommer , Ivri Hikri , Lotan Amit , Nir Rosenfeld

We consider a financial market in which two securities are traded: a stock and an index. Their prices are assumed to satisfy the Black-Scholes model. Besides assuming that the index is a tradable security, we also assume that it is…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-26 Vladimir Vovk

We address the problem of reinforcement learning in which observations may exhibit an arbitrary form of stochastic dependence on past observations and actions, i.e. environments more general than (PO)MDPs. The task for an agent is to attain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-12-30 Daniil Ryabko , Marcus Hutter

The quantification of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in terms of conditional entropy and mutual information, respectively, has recently become quite common in machine learning. While the properties of these measures, which are rooted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Lisa Wimmer , Yusuf Sale , Paul Hofman , Bern Bischl , Eyke Hüllermeier

We maximize the expected utility from terminal wealth for an HARA investor when the market price of risk is an unobservable random variable. We compute the optimal portfolio explicitly and explore the effects of learning by comparing it…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-11 Michele Longo , Alessandra Mainini

We explore a model of duopolistic competition in which consumers learn about the fit of each competitor's product. In equilibrium, consumers comparison shop: they learn only about the relative values of the products. When information is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-04-18 Brian C. Albrecht , Mark Whitmeyer

We consider a periodical equilibrium pricing problem for multiple firms over a planning horizon of T periods. At each period, firms set their selling prices and receive stochastic demand from consumers. Firms do not know their underlying…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Yongge Yang , Yu-Ching Lee , Po-An Chen

Learning an ordering of items based on pairwise comparisons is useful when items are difficult to rate consistently on an absolute scale, for example, when annotators have to make subjective assessments. When exhaustive comparison is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Herman Bergström , Emil Carlsson , Devdatt Dubhashi , Fredrik D. Johansson

Recent studies have revealed a number of striking dependence patterns in high frequency stock price dynamics characterizing probabilistic interrelation between two consequent price increments x (push) and y (response) as described by the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Andrei Leonidov , Vladimir Trainin , Alexander Zatsev , Sergey Zaitsev

We show that under mild assumptions, the total value of information to informed traders in the market can be measured by the covariance between price changes and order flow. This covariance captures noise trader losses, which equal informed…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-13 Ohad Kadan , Asaf Manela

In many matching markets, one side "applies" to the other, and these applications are often expensive and time-consuming (e.g. students applying to college). It is tempting to think that making the application process easier should benefit…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-12-30 S. Matthew Weinberg , James Zou

We consider social learning in a changing world. Society can remain responsive to state changes only if agents regularly act upon fresh information, which limits the value of social learning. When the state is close to persistent, a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-01-07 Raphaël Lévy , Marcin Pęski , Nicolas Vieille

With the development of artificial intelligence technology, quantitative trading systems represented by reinforcement learning have emerged in the stock trading market. The authors combined the deep Q network in reinforcement learning with…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-01 Yizhuo Li , Peng Zhou , Fangyi Li , Xiao Yang

Prior work has investigated variations of prediction markets that preserve participants' (differential) privacy, which formed the basis of useful mechanisms for purchasing data for machine learning objectives. Such markets required…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Rafael Frongillo , Bo Waggoner

In this paper, spectrum access in cognitive radio networks is modeled as a repeated auction game subject to monitoring and entry costs. For secondary users, sensing costs are incurred as the result of primary users' activity. Furthermore,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-10-14 Zhu Han , Rong Zheng , Vincent H. Poor

We formulate a private learning model to study an intrinsic tradeoff between privacy and query complexity in sequential learning. Our model involves a learner who aims to determine a scalar value, $v^*$, by sequentially querying an external…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-27 John N. Tsitsiklis , Kuang Xu , Zhi Xu

Financial markets exhibit an apparent paradox: while directional price movements remain largely unpredictable--consistent with weak-form efficiency--the magnitude of price changes displays systematic structure. Here we demonstrate that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-19 Mainak Singha

We present an experimental and simulated model of a multi-agent stock market driven by a double auction order matching mechanism. Studying the effect of cumulative information on the performance of traders, we find a non monotonic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Bence Toth , Enrico Scalas , Juergen Huber , Michael Kirchler

Sensitive attributes such as race are rarely available to learners in real world settings as their collection is often restricted by laws and regulations. We give a scheme that allows individuals to release their sensitive information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Hussein Mozannar , Mesrob I. Ohannessian , Nathan Srebro

We introduce robust learning equilibrium. The idea of learning equilibrium is that learning algorithms in multi-agent systems should themselves be in equilibrium rather than only lead to equilibrium. That is, learning equilibrium is immune…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Itai Ashlagi , Dov Monderer , Moshe Tennenholtz
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