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We study single-item single-unit Bayesian posted price auctions, where buyers arrive sequentially and their valuations for the item being sold depend on a random, unknown state of nature. The seller has complete knowledge of the actual…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Matteo Castiglioni , Giulia Romano , Alberto Marchesi , Nicola Gatti

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) are a general framework for sequential decision-making under latent state uncertainty, yet learning in POMDPs is intractable in the worst case. Motivated by sensing and probing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Ming Shi , Yingbin Liang , Ness B. Shroff

We consider a social system of interacting heterogeneous agents with learning abilities, a model close to Random Field Ising Models, where the random field corresponds to the idiosyncratic willingness to pay. Given a fixed price, agents…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Viktoriya Semeshenko , Mirta B. Gordon , Jean-Pierre Nadal

We consider a non-stochastic online learning approach to price financial options by modeling the market dynamic as a repeated game between the nature (adversary) and the investor. We demonstrate that such framework yields analogous…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-06-25 Henry Lam , Zhenming Liu

The problem of market clearing is to set a price for an item such that quantity demanded equals quantity supplied. In this work, we cast the problem of predicting clearing prices into a learning framework and use the resulting models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Weiran Shen , Sébastien Lahaie , Renato Paes Leme

Understanding information exchange and aggregation on networks is a central problem in theoretical economics, probability and statistics. We study a standard model of economic agents on the nodes of a social network graph who learn a binary…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-01 Elchanan Mossel , Allan Sly , Omer Tamuz

In a stable matching setting, we consider a query model that allows for an interactive learning algorithm to make precisely one type of query: proposing a matching, the response to which is either that the proposed matching is stable, or a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Ehsan Emamjomeh-Zadeh , Yannai A. Gonczarowski , David Kempe

Gallice and Monz\'on (2019) present a natural environment that sustains full co-operation in one-shot social dilemmas among a finite number of self-interested agents. They demonstrate that in a sequential public goods game, where agents…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-13 Chowdhury Mohammad Sakib Anwar , Konstantinos Georgalos

Signaling is an important topic in the study of asymmetric information in economic settings. In particular, the transparency of information available to a seller in an auction setting is a question of major interest. We introduce the study…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-04-26 Yuval Emek , Michal Feldman , Iftah Gamzu , Renato Paes Leme , Moshe Tennenholtz

In the classical herding literature, agents receive a private signal regarding a binary state of nature, and sequentially choose an action, after observing the actions of their predecessors. When the informativeness of private signals is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-27 Wade Hann-Caruthers , Vadim V. Martynov , Omer Tamuz

Pairwise learning focuses on learning tasks with pairwise loss functions, depends on pairs of training instances, and naturally fits for modeling relationships between pairs of samples. In this paper, we focus on the privacy of pairwise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Yilin Kang , Yong Liu , Jian Li , Weiping Wang

We consider the problem of how strategic users with asymmetric information can learn an underlying time varying state in a user-recommendation system. Users who observe private signals about the state, sequentially make a decision about…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-17 Deepanshu Vasal , Vijay Subramanian , Achilleas Anastasopoulos

Applications of Reinforcement Learning (RL), in which agents learn to make a sequence of decisions despite lacking complete information about the latent states of the controlled system, that is, they act under partial observability of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Qinghua Liu , Alan Chung , Csaba Szepesvári , Chi Jin

The price of a stock will rarely follow the assumed model and a curious investor or a Regulatory Authority may wish to obtain a probability model the prices support. A risk neutral probability ${\cal P}^*$ for the stock's price at time $T$…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-23 Yannis G. Yatracos

Prediction markets are used in real life to predict outcomes of interest such as presidential elections. This paper presents a mathematical theory of artificial prediction markets for supervised learning of conditional probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-18 Adrian Barbu , Nathan Lay

As the sociological theory of homophily suggests, people tend to interact with those of similar preferences. Motivated by this well-established phenomenon, today's online sellers, such as Amazon,~seek~to learn a new buyer's private…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Qinqi Lin , Lingjie Duan , Jianwei Huang

Imitation Learning from observation describes policy learning in a similar way to human learning. An agent's policy is trained by observing an expert performing a task. While many state-only imitation learning approaches are based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Damian Boborzi , Christoph-Nikolas Straehle , Jens S. Buchner , Lars Mikelsons

We study the problem of online learning in competitive settings in the context of two-sided matching markets. In particular, one side of the market, the agents, must learn about their preferences over the other side, the firms, through…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Chinmay Maheshwari , Eric Mazumdar , Shankar Sastry

We consider long-lived agents who interact repeatedly in a social network. In each period, each agent learns about an unknown state by observing a private signal and her neighbors' actions from the previous period before choosing her own…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-19 Florian Brandl

Learning from indirect supervision signals is important in real-world AI applications when, often, gold labels are missing or too costly. In this paper, we develop a unified theoretical framework for multi-class classification when the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-12 Kaifu Wang , Qiang Ning , Dan Roth