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This paper introduces an information theoretic co-training objective for unsupervised learning. We consider the problem of predicting the future. Rather than predict future sensations (image pixels or sound waves) we predict "hypotheses" to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-15 David McAllester

An informed seller designs a dynamic mechanism to sell an experience good. The seller has partial information about the product match, which affects the buyer's private consumption experience. We characterize equilibrium mechanisms of this…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-06-24 Tan Gan , Nicholas Wu

Maximizing long-term rewards is the primary goal in sequential decision-making problems. The majority of existing methods assume that side information is freely available, enabling the learning agent to observe all features' states before…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Saeed Ghoorchian , Evgenii Kortukov , Setareh Maghsudi

Bernstein's condition is a key assumption that guarantees fast rates in machine learning. For example, the Gibbs algorithm with prior $\pi$ has an excess risk in $O(d_{\pi}/n)$, as opposed to the standard $O(\sqrt{d_{\pi}/n})$, where $n$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-03 Charles Riou , Pierre Alquier , Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif

In non-truthful auctions, agents' utility for a strategy depends on the strategies of the opponents and also the prior distribution over their private types; the set of Bayes Nash equilibria generally has an intricate dependence on the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-02 Hu Fu , Tao Lin

We study the problem of learning the optimal item pricing for a unit-demand buyer with independent item values, and the learner has query access to the buyer's value distributions. We consider two common query models in the literature: the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Yifeng Teng , Yifan Wang

We consider a dynamic pricing problem for repeated contextual second-price auctions with multiple strategic buyers who aim to maximize their long-term time discounted utility. The seller has limited information on buyers' overall demand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Negin Golrezaei , Patrick Jaillet , Jason Cheuk Nam Liang

Large-scale, two-sided matching platforms must find market outcomes that align with user preferences while simultaneously learning these preferences from data. Classical notions of stability (Gale and Shapley, 1962; Shapley and Shubik,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Meena Jagadeesan , Alexander Wei , Yixin Wang , Michael I. Jordan , Jacob Steinhardt

We examine two types of binary betting markets, whose primary goal is for profit (such as sports gambling) or to gain information (such as prediction markets). We articulate the interplay between belief and price-setting to analyse both…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Haiqing Zhu , Alexander Soen , Yun Kuen Cheung , Lexing Xie

We study information aggregation in a dynamic trading model with partially informed traders. Ostrovsky [2012] showed that `separable' securities aggregate information in all equilibria, however, determining whether a security is separable…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-23 Spyros Galanis , Sergei Mikhalishchev

We propose the conditional predictive impact (CPI), a consistent and unbiased estimator of the association between one or several features and a given outcome, conditional on a reduced feature set. Building on the knockoff framework of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-14 David S. Watson , Marvin N. Wright

It is necessary to improve the performance of some special classes or to particularly protect them from attacks in adversarial learning. This paper proposes a framework combining cost-sensitive classification and adversarial learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Haojing Shen , Sihong Chen , Ran Wang , Xizhao Wang

We embed observational learning (BHW) in a symmetric duopoly with random arrivals and search frictions. With fixed posted prices, a mixed-strategy pricing equilibrium exists and yields price dispersion even with ex-ante identical firms. We…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-08 Georgy Lukyanov , Ariza Azova

This paper presents an equilibrium model of dynamic trading, learning, and pricing by strategic investors with trading targets and price impact. Since trading targets are private, rebalancers and liquidity providers filter the child order…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-09 Xiao Chen , Jin Hyuk Choi , Kasper Larsen , Duane J. Seppi

We study signaling in Bayesian ad auctions, in which bidders' valuations depend on a random, unknown state of nature. The auction mechanism has complete knowledge of the actual state of nature, and it can send signals to bidders so as to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Francesco Bacchiocchi , Matteo Castiglioni , Alberto Marchesi , Giulia Romano , Nicola Gatti

In reinforcement learning episodes, the rewards and punishments are often non-deterministic, and there are invariably stochastic elements governing the underlying situation. Such stochastic elements are often numerous and cannot be known in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-13 Nikki Lijing Kuang , Clement H. C. Leung , Vienne W. K. Sung

To identify a stationary action profile for a population of competitive agents, each executing private strategies, we introduce a novel active-learning scheme where a centralized external observer (or entity) can probe the agents' reactions…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-10 Filippo Fabiani , Alberto Bemporad

Providing a measure of market risk is an important issue for investors and financial institutions. However, the existing models for this purpose are per definition symmetric. The current paper introduces an asymmetric capital asset pricing…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-07 Abdulnasser Hatemi-J

Two-sided matching markets have long existed to pair agents in the absence of regulated exchanges. A common example is school choice, where a matching mechanism uses student and school preferences to assign students to schools. In such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Stefania Ionescu , Yuhao Du , Kenneth Joseph , Anikó Hannák

In evaluating prediction markets (and other crowd-prediction mechanisms), investigators have repeatedly observed a so-called "wisdom of crowds" effect, which roughly says that the average of participants performs much better than the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-02-01 Alina Beygelzimer , John Langford , David Pennock
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