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We describe collective-move Monte Carlo algorithms designed to approximate the overdamped dynamics of self-assembling nanoscale components equipped with strong, short-ranged and anisotropic interactions. Conventional Monte Carlo simulations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-04-16 Stephen Whitelam

We propose an adaptive importance sampling scheme for Gaussian approximations of intractable posteriors. Optimization-based approximations like variational inference can be too inaccurate while existing Monte Carlo methods can be too slow.…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-04 Willem van den Boom , Andrea Cremaschi , Alexandre H. Thiery

Quasi-Monte Carlo methods are used for numerically integrating multivariate functions. However, the error bounds for these methods typically rely on a priori knowledge of some semi-norm of the integrand, not on the sampled function values.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-10-27 Lluís Antoni Jiménez Rugama , Fred J. Hickernell

While statisticians are well-accustomed to performing exploratory analysis in the modeling stage of an analysis, the notion of conducting preliminary general-purpose exploratory analysis in the Monte Carlo stage (or more generally, the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-06-15 Luke Bornn , Pierre Jacob , Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet

Given a real symmetric positive semi-definite matrix E, and an approximation S that is a sum of n independent matrix-valued random variables, we present bounds on the relative error in S due to randomization. The bounds do not depend on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-01-03 John T. Holodnak , Ilse C. F. Ipsen , Ralph C. Smith

Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) are a popular generative model, but one in which conditional inference can be challenging. If the decomposition into query and evidence variables is fixed, conditional VAEs provide an attractive solution. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-05 Ga Wu , Justin Domke , Scott Sanner

The Markov chain Monte Carlo method is a versatile tool in statistical physics to evaluate multi-dimensional integrals numerically. For the method to work effectively, we must consider the following key issues: the choice of ensemble, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-07 Synge Todo , Hidemaro Suwa

Gaussian process regression is a popular method for non-parametric probabilistic modeling of functions. The Gaussian process prior is characterized by so-called hyperparameters, which often have a large influence on the posterior model and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-18 Andreas Svensson , Johan Dahlin , Thomas B. Schön

In this paper, we examine the Sample Average Approximation (SAA) procedure within a framework where the Monte Carlo estimator of the expectation is biased. We also introduce Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) in the SAA setup to enhance the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-29 Devang Sinha , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

In this paper, we study the approximation of $d$-dimensional $\rho$-weighted integrals over unbounded domains $\mathbb{R}_+^d$ or $\mathbb{R}^d$ using a special change of variables, so that quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) or sparse grid rules can…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-12 Peter Kritzer , Friedrich Pillichshammer , Leszek Plaskota , G. W. Wasilkowski

We propose a variant of the Simulated Annealing method for optimization in the multivariate analysis of differentiable functions. The method uses global actualizations via the Hybrid Monte Carlo algorithm in their generalized version for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 R. Salazar , R. Toral

Varying coefficient models (VCMs) are widely used for estimating nonlinear regression functions for functional data. Their Bayesian variants using Gaussian process priors on the functional coefficients, however, have received limited…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-01 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Cheng Li , Terrance D. Savitsky , Sanvesh Srivastava

This paper proposes a method for the automatic creation of variables (in the case of regression) that complement the information contained in the initial input vector. The method works as a pre-processing step in which the continuous values…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-05 Colin Troisemaine , Vincent Lemaire

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) using a sequential Monte Carlo method provides a comprehensive platform for parameter estimation, model selection and sensitivity analysis in differential equations. However, this method, like other…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-21 Sanmitra Ghosh , Srinandan Dasmahapatra , Koushik Maharatna

This work presents stochastic optimization methods targeted at least-squares problems involving Monte Carlo integration. While the most common approach to solving these problems is to apply stochastic gradient descent (SGD) or similar…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-27 Gustavo T. Pfeiffer , Yoichi Sato

Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo methods present a convenient approach for approximating the expected value of a random variable. Algorithms exist to adaptively sample the random variable until a user defined absolute error tolerance is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Jagadeeswaran Rathinavel

For many geophysical measurements, such as direct current or electromagnetic induction methods, information fades away with depth. This has to be taken into account when interpreting models estimated from such measurements. For that reason,…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-12-18 Christin Bobe , Johannes Keller , Ellen Van De Vijver

We consider a common-components model for multivariate fractional cointegration, in which the $s\geq1$ components have different memory parameters. The cointegrating rank may exceed 1. We decompose the true cointegrating vectors into…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Willa W. Chen , Clifford M. Hurvich

A novel linear integration rule called $\textit{control neighbors}$ is proposed in which nearest neighbor estimates act as control variates to speed up the convergence rate of the Monte Carlo procedure on metric spaces. The main result is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Rémi Leluc , François Portier , Johan Segers , Aigerim Zhuman

Estimating high-quality images while also quantifying their uncertainty are two desired features in an image reconstruction algorithm for solving ill-posed inverse problems. In this paper, we propose plug-and-play Monte Carlo (PMC) as a…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-29 Yu Sun , Zihui Wu , Yifan Chen , Berthy T. Feng , Katherine L. Bouman
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