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We introduce a class of Monte Carlo estimators that aim to overcome the rapid growth of variance with dimension often observed for standard estimators by exploiting the target's independence structure. We identify the most basic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Juan Kuntz , Francesca R. Crucinio , Adam M. Johansen

Much recent research has been conducted in the area of Bayesian learning, particularly with regard to the optimization of hyper-parameters via Gaussian process regression. The methodologies rely chiefly on the method of maximizing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-13 James Brofos

To conduct Bayesian inference with large data sets, it is often convenient or necessary to distribute the data across multiple machines. We consider a likelihood function expressed as a product of terms, each associated with a subset of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-09 Lewis J. Rendell , Adam M. Johansen , Anthony Lee , Nick Whiteley

Metropolis Monte Carlo simulation is a powerful tool for studying the equilibrium properties of matter. In complex condensed-phase systems, however, it is difficult to design Monte Carlo moves with high acceptance probabilities that also…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-05-27 Jerome P. Nilmeier , Gavin E. Crooks , David D. L. Minh , John D. Chodera

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a powerful tool for Bayesian statistical inference due to its potential to rapidly explore high dimensional state space, avoiding the random walk behavior typical of many Markov Chain Monte Carlo samplers.…

Discrete data are abundant and often arise as counts or rounded data. These data commonly exhibit complex distributional features such as zero-inflation, over-/under-dispersion, boundedness, and heaping, which render many parametric models…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-27 Daniel R. Kowal , Bohan Wu

Gaussian latent variable models are a key class of Bayesian hierarchical models with applications in many fields. Performing Bayesian inference on such models can be challenging as Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms struggle with the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-11-09 Charles C. Margossian , Aki Vehtari , Daniel Simpson , Raj Agrawal

Three sampling methods are compared for efficiency on a number of test problems of various complexity for which analytic quadratures are available. The methods compared are Monte Carlo with pseudo-random numbers, Latin Hypercube Sampling,…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-12 Sergei Kucherenko , Daniel Albrecht , Andrea Saltelli

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and underdamped Langevin Monte Carlo are state-of-the-art methods for taking samples from high-dimensional distributions with a differentiable density function. To generate samples, they numerically integrate…

Computation · Statistics 2025-05-20 Jakob Robnik , Reuben Cohn-Gordon , Uroš Seljak

In this note, we study a concatenation of quasi-Monte Carlo and plain Monte Carlo rules for high-dimensional numerical integration in weighted function spaces. In particular, we consider approximating the integral of periodic functions…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-06-27 Takashi Goda

The purely numerical evaluation of multi-loop integrals and amplitudes can be a viable alternative to analytic approaches, in particular in the presence of several mass scales, provided sufficient accuracy can be achieved in an acceptable…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2019-06-26 S. Borowka , G. Heinrich , S. Jahn , S. P. Jones , M. Kerner , J. Schlenk

The paper proposes a Riemannian Manifold Hamiltonian Monte Carlo sampler to resolve the shortcomings of existing Monte Carlo algorithms when sampling from target densities that may be high dimensional and exhibit strong correlations. The…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-18 Mark Girolami , Ben Calderhead , Siu A. Chin

This paper investigates a class of algorithms for numerical integration of a function in d dimensions over a compact domain by Monte Carlo methods. We construct a histogram approximation to the function using a partition of the integration…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-06-11 Rudy Arthur , A. D. Kennedy

We investigate the feasibility of integrating quantum algorithms as subroutines of simulation-based optimisation problems with relevance to and potential applications in mathematical finance. To this end, we conduct a thorough analysis of…

We propose a new method, called MonteCarlo Posterior Fit, to boost the MonteCarlo sampling of likelihood (posterior) functions. The idea is to approximate the posterior function by an analytical multidimensional non-Gaussian fit. The many…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-08-19 Luca Amendola , Adrià Gómez-Valent

We present a general sample reweighting scheme and its underlying theory for the integration of an unknown function with low dimensionality. Our method produces better results than standard weighting schemes for common sampling strategies,…

Graphics · Computer Science 2019-08-07 Jerry Jinfeng Guo , Elmar Eisemann

We present a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from multivariate Gaussian distributions in which the target space is constrained by linear and quadratic inequalities or products thereof. The Hamiltonian equations of motion can be…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-06 Ari Pakman , Liam Paninski

We describe a new algorithm, VEGAS+, for adaptive multidimensional Monte Carlo integration. The new algorithm adds a second adaptive strategy, adaptive stratified sampling, to the adaptive importance sampling that is the basis for its…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-05-13 G. Peter Lepage

Monte Carlo Search gives excellent results in multiple difficult combinatorial problems. Using a prior to perform non uniform playouts during the search improves a lot the results compared to uniform playouts. Handmade heuristics tailored…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-01-22 Tristan Cazenave

Bayesian model comparison relies upon the model evidence, yet for many models of interest the model evidence is unavailable in closed form and must be approximated. Many of the estimators for evidence that have been proposed in the Monte…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-02 Chris J. Oates , Theodore Papamarkou , Mark Girolami