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We consider the problem of obtaining effective representations for the solutions of linear, vector-valued stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by non-Gaussian pure-jump L\'evy processes, and we show how such representations lead…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-09 Marcos Tapia Costa , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Simon Godsill

The well-known stochastic SIS model characterized by highly nonlinear in epidemiology has a unique positive solution taking values in a bounded domain with a series of dynamical behaviors. However, the approximation methods to maintain the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Hongfu Yang

Self-adaptive dynamics occurs in many physical systems such as socio-economics, neuroscience, or biophysics. We formalize a self-adaptive modeling approach, where adaptation takes place within a set of strategies based on the history of the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-04-01 Konstantin Clauß , Christian Kuehn

With the rapid increase of valuable observational, experimental and simulated data for complex systems, much efforts have been devoted to identifying governing laws underlying the evolution of these systems. Despite the wide applications of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-01 Yang Li , Yubin Lu , Shengyuan Xu , Jinqiao Duan

In this paper, we develop a robust economic model predictive controller for the containment of stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Vigilant (SEIV) epidemic processes which drives the process to extinction quickly, while minimizing the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Nicholas J. Watkins , Cameron Nowzari , George J. Pappas

This paper is devoted to the study of a stochastic epidemiological model which is a variant of the SIR model to which we add an extra factor in the transition rate from susceptible to infected accounting for the inflow of infection due to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-06-29 Gadi Fibich , Samuel Nordmann

We are exploring two archetypal noise induced escape scenarios: escape from a finite interval and from the positive half-line under the action of the mixture of L\'evy and Gaussian white noises in the overdamped regime, for the random…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-10 Przemysław Pogorzelec , Bartłomiej Dybiec

In this work, we consider the stochastic Cauchy problem driven by the canonical $\alpha$-stable cylindrical L\'evy process. This noise naturally generalises the cylindrical Brownian motion or space-time Gaussian white noise. We derive a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-02 Markus Riedle

Stochastic differential equations characterized by uncertainty are effective in modelling virus dynamics and provide an alternative to traditional deterministic models. Epidemic models are inevitably subjected to the randomness within the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-12 Bishal Chhetri , B. V. Ratish Kumar

We will study a mathematical model of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection in the presence of combination therapy that includes within-host infectious dynamics. The deterministic model requires us to analyze asymptotic stability…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-09-04 Majid Jaberi Douraki

In this paper we analyze and classify the dynamics of SIQRS epidemiological models with susceptible, infected, quarantined, and recovered classes, where the recovered individuals can become reinfected. We are able to treat general incidence…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-05 Alexandru Hening , Dang H. Nguyen , Tran Ta , Sergiu C. Ungureanu

We study the class of SIS epidemics on temporal networks and propose a new activity-driven and adaptive epidemic model that captures the impact of asymptomatic and infectious individuals in the network. In the proposed model, referred to as…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-04 Ashish R. Hota , Kavish Gupta

Our study is based on an epidemiological compartmental model, the SIRS model. In the SIRS model, each individual is in one of the states susceptible (S), infected(I) or recovered (R), depending on its state of health. In compartment R, an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-10 Michael Bestehorn , Thomas M. Michelitsch

We introduce a stochastic SIR-type partial differential equation model incorporating random diffusion, reinfection, vital dynamics, and a randomly varying transmission rate. For the associated random dynamical system, we prove the existence…

We approach the development of models and control strategies of susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic processes from the perspective of marked temporal point processes and stochastic optimal control of stochastic differential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Lars Lorch , Abir De , Samir Bhatt , William Trouleau , Utkarsh Upadhyay , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

Population dynamics are often affected by sudden environmental perturbations. Parameters of stochastic models are often imprecise due to various uncertainties. In this paper, we formulate a stochastic multimolecular biochemical reaction…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Fei Sun

Epidemics are often modelled using non-linear dynamical systems observed through partial and noisy data. In this paper, we consider stochastic extensions in order to capture unknown influences (changing behaviors, public interventions,…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-06 Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Marc Baguelin

We develop a new perturbation method for studying quasi-neutral competition in a broad class of stochastic competition models, and apply it to the analysis of fixation of competing strains in two epidemic models. The first model is a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-10-06 Oleg Kogan , Michael Khasin , Baruch Meerson , David Schneider , Christopher R. Myers

This study develops and analyzes a stochastic differential equation (SDE) model for the dynamics of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. While deterministic frameworks have yielded important insights into viral behavior, they cannot…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-03 Abdallah Alsammani

We study a stochastic SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) epidemic dynamics on network, under the effect of a Markovian regime-switching. We first prove the existence of a unique global positive solution, and find a positive invariant…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-03 Stefania Ottaviano , Stefano Bonaccorsi