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A stochastic epidemic model accounting for the effect of contact-tracing on the spread of an infectious disease is studied. Precisely, individuals identified as infected may contribute to detecting other infectious individuals by providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-28 Stéphan Clémençon , Viet Chi Tran , Hector De Arazoza

An adequate near-optimal control problem for a stochastic SICA (Susceptible-Infected-Chronic-AIDS) compartmental epidemic model for HIV transmission with imprecise parameters is formulated and investigated. We prove some estimates for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-06 Houssine Zine , Delfim F. M. Torres

This article is concerned with a mutualism ecological model with Levy noise. The local existence and uniqueness of a positive solution are obtained with positive initial value, and the asymptotic behavior to the problem is studied.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-07-27 Mei Li , Hongjun Gao , Binjun Wang

The aim of this paper is to study the stochastic SIR equation with general incidence functional responses and in which both natural death rates and the incidence rate are perturbed by white noises. We derive a sufficient and almost…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-26 N. H. Du , N. N. Nhu

Objective: The reservoir of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) latently infected cells is the major obstacle for eradication of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). Due to the noisy environment and multiple influencing factors in the…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-11-06 Ruiqi Xiong , Yang Su , Ping Ao

This paper considers stochastic population dynamics driven by Levy noise. The contributions of this paper lie in that (a) Using Khasminskii-Mao theorem, we show that the stochastic differential equation associated with the model has a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-09 Jianhai Bao , Chenggui Yuan

We consider the case of performing Bayesian inference for stochastic epidemic compartment models, using incomplete time course data consisting of incidence counts that are either the number of new infections or removals in time intervals of…

We analyze a specific class of random systems that are driven by a symmetric L\'{e}vy stable noise. In view of the L\'{e}vy noise sensitivity to the confining "potential landscape" where jumps take place (in other words, to environmental…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 M. Zaba , P. Garbaczewski , V. Stephanovich

We analyze confining mechanisms for L\'{e}vy flights. When they evolve in suitable external potentials their variance may exist and show signatures of a superdiffusive transport. Two classes of stochastic jump - type processes are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Piotr Garbaczewski , Vladimir Stephanovich

In this paper, we focus on the hitting times of a stochastic epidemic model presented by \cite{Gray}. Under the help of the auxiliary stopping times, we investigate the asymptotic limits of the hitting times by the variations of calculus…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-29 Qingshan Yang , Xuerong Mao

Multiple mechanisms in the HIV lifecycle play a role in its ability to evade therapy and become a chronic, difficult-to-treat infection. Within its major cellular target, the activated T cell, many steps occur between viral entry and viral…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-04 Jayodita C. Sanghvi , Don Mai , Adam P. Arkin , David V. Schaffer

Trust is the invisible glue that holds together the fabric of societies, economic systems, and political institutions. Yet, its dynamics-especially in real-world settings remain unpredictable and difficult to control. While classical trust…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-05 Mohamadali Berahman , Madjid Eshaghi Gordji

L\'evy noise influences diverse non-equilibrium systems across scales, including quantum devices, active biological matter, and financial markets. While such noise is pervasive, its overall impact on activated transitions between metastable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-25 Shenglan Yuan

Some recent works reveal that there are models of differential equations for the mean and variance of infected individuals that reproduce the SIS epidemic model at some point. This stochastic SIS epidemic model can be interpreted as a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-07 Oğul Esen , Eduardo Fernández-Saiz , Cristina Sardón , Marcin Zając

We consider a SICA model for HIV transmission on time scales. We prove permanence of solutions and we derive sufficient conditions for the existence and uniform asymptotic stability of a unique positive almost periodic solution of the…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Zahra Belarbi , Benaoumeur Bayour , Delfim F. M. Torres

In this paper we generalise a simple discrete time stochastic SIR type model defined by Tuckwell and Williams. The SIR model by Tuckwell and Williams assumes a homogeneous population, a fixed infectious period, and a strict transition from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-21 Carles Rovira

In this paper we consider a stochastic SEIQR (susceptible-exposed-infected-quarantined-recovered) epidemic model with a generalized incidence function. Using the Lyapunov method, we establish the existence and uniqueness of a global…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-31 Brahim Boukanjime , Mohamed Maama

The study of epidemic models plays an important role in mathematical epidemiology. There are many researches on epidemic models using ordinary differential equations, partial differential equations or stochastic differential equations. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-10 Yuqi Li , Lihua Zhang

An adaptive network model using SIS epidemic propagation with link-type dependent link activation and deletion is considered. Bifurcation analysis of the pairwise ODE approximation and the network-based stochastic simulation is carried out,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-21 András Szabó-Solticzky , Luc Berthouze , Istvan Z. Kiss , Péter L. Simon

The effect of stochasticity, in the form of Gaussian white noise, in a predator-prey model with two distinct time-scales is presented. A supercritical singular Hopf bifurcation yields a Type II excitability in the deterministic model. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-20 Susmita Sadhu