English
Related papers

Related papers: Stochastic SICA Epidemic Model with Jump L\'{e}vy …

200 papers

In this study, a new and natural way of constructing a stochastic Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model is proposed. This approach is natural in the sense that the disease transmission rate, $\beta$, is substituted with a generic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Berk Tan Perçin

We propose a mathematical spatiotemporal epidemic SICA model with a control strategy. The spatial behavior is modeled by adding a diffusion term with the Laplace operator, which is justified and interpreted both mathematically and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-12 Houssine Zine , Abderrahim El Adraoui , Delfim F. M. Torres

We study a stochastic spatial epidemic model where the $N$ individuals carry two features: a position and an infection state, interact and move in $\R^d$. In this Markovian model, the evolution of the infection states are described with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Yen V. Vuong , Maxime Hauray , Etienne Pardoux

In this work, we investigate positive recurrent L\'evy diffusions driven by appropriately scaled Brownian motion and $\alpha$-stable process (with $1<\alpha<2$) in the small noise regime. Supposing that in the vanishing noise limit, our…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Sumith Reddy Anugu , Siva R. Athreya , Vivek S. Borkar

Modelling the transmission dynamics of an infectious disease is a complex task. Not only it is difficult to accurately model the inherent non-stationarity and heterogeneity of transmission, but it is nearly impossible to describe,…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-19 Sanmitra Ghosh , Paul J. Birrell , Daniela De Angelis

This paper focuses on and analyzes realistic SIR models that take stochasticity into account. The proposed systems are applicable to most incidence rates that are used in the literature including the bilinear incidence rate, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Nguyen Du , Alexandru Hening , Nhu Nguyen , George Yin

We propose a new mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Global stability of the unique endemic equilibrium is proved. Then, based on data provided by the "Progress Report on the AIDS…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-30 Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

We investigate the celebrated mathematical SICA model but using fractional differential equations in order to better describe the dynamics of HIV-AIDS infection. The infection process is modelled by a general functional response and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Adnane Boukhouima , El Mehdi Lotfi , Marouane Mahrouf , Silverio Rosa , Delfim F. M. Torres , Noura Yousfi

We study a stochastic process describing the onset of spreading dynamics of an epidemic in a population composed by individuals of three classes: susceptible (S), infected (I), and recovered (R). The stochastic process is defined by local…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 David R. de Souza , Tânia Tomé

Two stochastic models of susceptible/infected/removed (SIR) type are introduced for the spread of infection through a spatially-distributed population. Individuals are initially distributed at random in space, and they move continuously…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Geoffrey R. Grimmett , Zhongyang Li

In this study, we investigate a stochastic SIR model with media effects. The uniqueness and the existence of a global positive solution are studied. The sufficient conditions of extinction and persistence of the disease are established. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-18 Jiaxun Li , Yanni Xiao

In this study we investigate a novel approach to stochastically perturb the disease transmission coefficient, which is a key parameter in susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) models. Motivated by the papers [2] and [5], we perturb the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Alberto Lanconelli , Berk Tan Perçin

This paper considers the state transition of the stochastic Morris-Lecar neuronal model driven by symmetric $\alpha$-stable L\'evy noise. The considered system is bistable: a stable fixed point (resting state) and a stable limit cycle…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-06-19 Rui Cai , Yancai Liu , Jinqiao Duan , Almaz Tesfay Abebe

This paper focuses on the analysis of a stochastic SAIRS-type epidemic model that explicitly incorporates the roles of asymptomatic and symptomatic infectious individuals in disease transmission dynamics. Asymptomatic carriers, often…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Brahim Boukanjime , Mohamed El Fatini , Mohamed Maama

This paper deals with a new epidemiological model of SIRS with stochastic perturbations. The primary objective is to establish the existence of a unique non-negative nonlocal solution. Using the basic reproduction number $\mathscr{R}_0$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-10 Achraf Zinihi , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi , Matthias Ehrhardt

In this paper, we study a stochastic susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model that includes an additional immigration process. In the presence of multiplicative noise, generated by environmental perturbations, the model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-03 Sourav Chowdhury , Indrani Bose , Suparna Roychowdhury , Indranath Chaudhuri

This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an SEIR (susceptible -> exposed (=latent) -> infective -> removed) epidemic with a contact tracing scheme, in which removed individuals may name some of their infectious…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Frank G Ball , Edward S Knock , Philip D O'Neill

We study the stochastic transport equation with globally $\beta$-H\"older continuous and bounded vector field driven by a non-degenerate pure-jump L\'evy noise of $\alpha$-stable type. Whereas the deterministic transport equation may lack…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-22 Zdzisław Brzeźniak , Enrico Priola , Jianliang Zhai , Jiahui Zhu

In this paper we study the diffusion of an SIS-type epidemics on a network under the presence of a random environment, that enters in the definition of the infection rates of the nodes. Accordingly, we model the infection rates in the form…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Stefania Ottaviano

The rampant phenomenon of overpopulation and the remarkable increase of human movements over the last decade have caused an aggressive re-emergence of dengue fever, which made it the subject of several research fields. In this regard,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Driss Kiouach , Salim El Azami El-idrissi , Yassine Sabbar