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In this paper, we establish a relationship between the asymptotic form of conditional boundary crossing probabilities and first passage time densities for diffusion processes. Namely, we show that, under broad assumptions, the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-18 Konstantin A. Borovkov , Andrew N. Downes

In this paper we present the distribution of the maximum of the telegraph process in the cases where the initial velocity is positive or negative with an even and an odd number of velocity reversals. For the telegraph process with positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Fabrizio Cinque , Enzo Orsingher

In this paper,we consider a macro approximation of the flow of a risk reserve, The process is observed at discrete time points. Because we cannot directly observe each jump time and size then we will make use of a technique for identifying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-22 Chunhao Cai , Junyi Guo , Honglong You

We consider a stochastic process driven by a diffusion and jumps. We devise a technique, which is based on a discrete record of observations, for identifying the times when jumps larger than a suitably defined threshold occurred. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cecilia Mancini

Generalization of the one-dimensional totally asymmetric exclusion process (TASEP) with open boundary conditions in which particles are allowed to jump $l$ sites ahead with the probability $p_l\sim 1/l^{\sigma+1}$ is studied by Monte Carlo…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. Szavits-Nossan , K. Uzelac

New results on conditional joint probability distributions of first exit times are presented for a continuous-time stochastic process defined as the mixture of Markov jump processes moving at different speeds on the same finite state space,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-19 B. A. Surya

Pure-jump processes have been increasingly popular in modeling high-frequency financial data, partially due to their versatility and flexibility. In the meantime, several statistical tests have been proposed in the literature to check the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-03 Xin-Bing Kong , Zhi Liu , Bing-Yi Jing

Polynomial jump-diffusions constitute a class of tractable stochastic models with wide applicability in areas such as mathematical finance and population genetics. We provide a full parameterization of polynomial jump-diffusions on the unit…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-29 Christa Cuchiero , Martin Larsson , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

We propose a novel, tractable latent state inference scheme for Markov jump processes, for which exact inference is often intractable. Our approach is based on an entropic matching framework that can be embedded into the well-known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Yannick Eich , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

A method to approximate transmission probabilities for a nonseparable multidimensional barrier is applied to a waveguide model. The method uses complex barrier-crossing orbits to represent reaction probabilities in phase space and is…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 Christopher S. Drew , Stephen C. Creagh , Richard H. Tew

Particle splitting methods are considered for the estimation of rare events. The probability of interest is that a Markov process first enters a set $B$ before another set $A$, and it is assumed that this probability satisfies a large…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-14 Thomas Dean , Paul Dupuis

Consider a discrete-time one-dimensional supercritical branching random walk. We study the probability that there exists an infinite ray in the branching random walk that always lies above the line of slope $\gamma-\epsilon$, where $\gamma$…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-16 Nina Gantert , Yueyun Hu , Zhan Shi

The probability that a particle, crossing the shock along a given direction, be reflected backwards along another direction, was shown to be the key element in determining the spectrum of non--thermal particles accelerated via the Fermi…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 Pasquale Blasi , Mario Vietri

The special limit of the totally asymmetric zero range process of the low-dimensional non-equilibrium statistical mechanics described by the non-Hermitian Hamiltonian is considered. The calculation of the conditional probabilities of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-25 Nicolay M. Bogoliubov , Cyril Malyshev

We consider the one-dimensional partially asymmetric exclusion process with random hopping rates, in which a fraction of particles (or sites) have a preferential jumping direction against the global drift. In this case the accumulated…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 R. Juhasz , L. Santen , F. Igloi

The 6-vertex model is a seminal model for many domains in Mathematics and Physics. The sets of configurations of the 6-vertex model can be described as the sets of paths in multigraphs. In this article the transition probability of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-06 Serge Cohen , Xavier Bressaud

Sufficient conditions for a symmetric jump-diffusion process to be conservative and recurrent are given in terms of the volume of the state space and the jump kernel of the process. A number of examples are presented to illustrate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-01 Jun Masamune , Toshihiro Uemura , Jian Wang

We analyze a class of continuous time random walks in $\mathbb R^d,d\geq 2,$ with uniformly distributed directions. The steps performed by these processes are distributed according to a generalized Dirichlet law. Given the number of changes…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Alessandro De Gregorio

We describe a novel approach to statistical learning from particles tracked while moving in a random environment. The problem consists in inferring properties of the environment from recorded snapshots. We consider here the case of a fluid…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2008-06-09 Michael Chertkov , Lukas Kroc , Massimo Vergassola

In this article, we consider a jump diffusion process (X_t)observed at discrete times t=0,Delta,...,nDelta. The sampling interval Delta tends to 0 and nDelta tends to infinity. We assume that (X_t) is ergodic, strictly stationary and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-27 Emeline Schmisser