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Let $X$ be the constrained random walk on $\mathbb{Z}_+^d$ $d >2$, having increments $e_1$, $-e_i+e_{i+1}$ $i=1,2,3,...,d-1$ and $-e_d$ with probabilities $\lambda$, $\mu_1$, $\mu_2$,...,$\mu_d$, where $\{e_1,e_2,..,e_d\}$ are the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Ali Devin Sezer

We consider an asymmetric zero range process in infinite volume with zero mean and random jump rates starting from equilibrium. We investigate the large deviations from the hydrodynamical limit of the empirical distribution of particles and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. Koukkous , H. Guiol

In this paper we discuss a closed-form approximation of the likelihood functions of an arbitrary diffusion process. The approximation is based on an exponential ansatz of the transition probability for a finite time step $\Delta t$, and a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-10 Luca Capriotti

A discrete-time totally asymmetric simple exclusion process on a lattice with open boundaries is considered. There are particles of different types. The type of a particle is characterized by the probability that a particle moves to a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-04 Marina V. Yashina , Alexander G. Tatashev

The transition probability for a one-dimensional discrete symmetric random walk under a reflecting barrier was once given by the method of images. [S. Chandrasekhar, Rev. Mod. Phys. 15, 1 (1943).] However, several inconsistencies have been…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-10 Kazuhiko Seki

We establish the sharpness of the percolation phase transition for a class of infinite-range weighted random connection models. The vertex set is given by a marked Poisson point process on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with intensity $\lambda>0$, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-29 Alejandro Caicedo , Leonid Kolesnikov

We consider a branching random walk initiated by a single particle at location 0 in which particles alternately reproduce according to the law of a Galton-Watson process and disperse according to the law of a driftless random walk on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-31 Steven P. Lalley , Yuan Shao

Reaction-diffusion process with exclusion in the presence of traps has been studied. The asymptotic survival probability for the case of uniformly distributed random traps shows a stretched e\ xponential behavior. We show that additional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-17 Trilochan Bagarti , Kalyan Kundu

Jump diffusion processes are widely used to model asset prices over time, mainly for their ability to capture complex discontinuous behavior, but inference on the model parameters remains a challenge. Here our goal is posterior inference on…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-23 Ryan Martin , Cheng Ouyang , Francois Domagni

In this paper we consider an ergodic diffusion process with jumps whose drift coefficient depends on $\mu$ and volatility coefficient depends on $\sigma$, two unknown parameters. We suppose that the process is discretely observed at the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-30 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

Let $(Z_n)$ be a supercritical branching process in an independent and identically distributed random environment $\xi$. We show the exact decay rate of the probability $\mathbb{P}(Z_n=j | Z_0 = k)$ as $n \to \infty$, for each $j \geq k,$…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-15 Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu , Eric Miqueu

This paper addresses heavy-tailed large deviation estimates for the distribution tail of functionals of a class of spectrally one-sided L\'evy process. Our contribution is to show that these estimates remain valid in a near-critical regime.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Bart Kamphorst , Bert Zwart

We investigate the statistics of records in a random sequence $\{x_B(0)=0,x_B(1),\cdots, x_B(n)=x_B(0)=0\}$ of $n$ time steps. The sequence $x_B(k)$'s represents the position at step $k$ of a random walk `bridge' of $n$ steps that starts…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-01-08 Claude Godreche , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We bring to bear an empirical model of the distribution of twin primes and produce two distinct results. The first is that we can make a quantitative probabilistic prediction of the occurrence of gaps in the sequence of twins within the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-07 P. F. Kelly , Terry Pilling

We present a probabilistic theory of random walks in turbid media with non-scattering regions. It is shown that important characteristics such as diffusion constants, average step lengths, crossing statistics and void spacings can be…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-02-18 Tomas Svensson , Kevin Vynck , Marco Grisi , Romolo Savo , Matteo Burresi , Diederik S. Wiersma

We establish an exact asymptotic formula for the square variation of certain partial sum processes. Let $\{X_{i}\}$ be a sequence of independent, identically distributed mean zero random variables with finite variance $\sigma$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-07 Allison Lewko , Mark Lewko

We define the probability structure of a continuous-time time-homogeneous Markov jump process, on a finite graph, that represents the continuous-time counterpart of the so-called Ruelle-Bowen discrete-time random walk. It constitutes the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon T. Georgiou , Michele Pavon

The propagation of light in a scattering medium is described as the motion of a special kind of a Brownian particle on which the fluctuating forces act only perpendicular to its velocity. This enforces strictly and dynamically the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 S. Anantha Ramakrishna , N. Kumar

We define a new variant of exclusion processes in discrete time that has jump probabilities that depend on the last jump performed. In a particular limit for the jump probabilities and in suitable scaling limits for space and time, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-01 Bryan Debin , Etienne Granet

We prove for an arbitrary one-dimensional random walk with independent increments that the probability of crossing a level at a given time n has the order of square root of n. Moment or symmetry assumptions are not necessary. In removing…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rainer Siegmund-Schultze , Heinrich von Weizsaecker