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Climate change impact studies inform policymakers on the estimated damages of future climate change on economic, health and other outcomes. In most studies, an annual outcome variable is observed, e.g. agricultural yield, along with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-24 Xiaomeng Cui , Bulat Gafarov , Dalia Ghanem , Todd Kuffner

This paper explores the critical domain of Revenue Management (RM) within Operations Research (OR), focusing on intricate pricing dynamics. Utilizing Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) models, the study enhances revenue optimization by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Amirreza Talebi , Sayed Pedram Haeri Boroujeni , Abolfazl Razi

Learning optimal policies from historical data enables personalization in a wide variety of applications including healthcare, digital recommendations, and online education. The growing policy learning literature focuses on settings where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-17 Ruohan Zhan , Zhimei Ren , Susan Athey , Zhengyuan Zhou

Climate mitigation decisions today affect future generations, raising questions of intergenerational equity. Integrated assessment models (IAMs) rely on discounting to evaluate long-term policy costs and benefits. Using the DICE model, we…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-14 Christian P. Fries , Lennart Quante

Towards bridging classical optimal control and online learning, regret minimization has recently been proposed as a control design criterion. This competitive paradigm penalizes the loss relative to the optimal control actions chosen by a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-27 Andrea Martin , Luca Furieri , Florian Dörfler , John Lygeros , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

We address online linear optimization problems when the possible actions of the decision maker are represented by binary vectors. The regret of the decision maker is the difference between her realized loss and the best loss she would have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-04-02 Jean-Yves Audibert , Sébastien Bubeck , Gábor Lugosi

In cooperative multiagent planning, it can often be beneficial for an agent to make commitments about aspects of its behavior to others, allowing them in turn to plan their own behaviors without taking the agent's detailed behavior into…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-03-16 Qi Zhang , Satinder Singh , Edmund Durfee

Inspired by online learning, data-dependent regret has recently been proposed as a criterion for controller design. In the regret-optimal control paradigm, causal controllers are designed to minimize regret against a hypothetical optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-15 Gautam Goel , Babak Hassibi

We consider the dynamic assortment optimization problem under the multinomial logit model (MNL) with unknown utility parameters. The main question investigated in this paper is model mis-specification under the $\varepsilon$-contamination…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-12 Xi Chen , Akshay Krishnamurthy , Yining Wang

We study the problem of multi-agent control of a dynamical system with known dynamics and adversarial disturbances. Our study focuses on optimal control without centralized precomputed policies, but rather with adaptive control policies for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Udaya Ghai , Udari Madhushani , Naomi Leonard , Elad Hazan

A long line of works characterizes the sample complexity of regret minimization in sequential decision-making by min-max programs. In the corresponding saddle-point game, the min-player optimizes the sampling distribution against an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-18 Johannes Kirschner , Seyed Alireza Bakhtiari , Kushagra Chandak , Volodymyr Tkachuk , Csaba Szepesvári

To achieve ambitious greenhouse gas emission reduction targets in time, the planning of future energy systems needs to accommodate societal preferences, e.g. low levels of acceptance for transmission expansion or onshore wind turbines, and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-30 Fabian Neumann , Tom Brown

Climate change poses an existential threat, necessitating effective climate policies to enact impactful change. Decisions in this domain are incredibly complex, involving conflicting entities and evidence. In the last decades, policymakers…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-29 James Rudd-Jones , Fiona Thendean , María Pérez-Ortiz

We consider Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) with deterministic transitions and study the problem of regret minimization, which is central to the analysis and design of optimal learning algorithms. We present logarithmic problem-specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Damianos Tranos , Alexandre Proutiere

When climate forecasts are highly uncertain, the optimal mean squared error strategy is to ignore them. When climate forecasts are highly certain, the optimal mean squared error strategy is to use them as is. In between these two extremes…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-12-23 Stephen Jewson , Ed Hawkins

Reward Models (RMs) are crucial for aligning language models with human preferences. Currently, the evaluation of RMs depends on measuring accuracy against a validation set of manually annotated preference data. Although this method is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Xueru Wen , Jie Lou , Yaojie Lu , Hongyu Lin , Xing Yu , Xinyu Lu , Ben He , Xianpei Han , Debing Zhang , Le Sun

We consider dynamic pricing strategies in a streamed longitudinal data set-up where the objective is to maximize, over time, the cumulative profit across a large number of customer segments. We consider a dynamic model with the consumers'…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Rashmi Ranjan Bhuyan , Adel Javanmard , Sungchul Kim , Gourab Mukherjee , Ryan A. Rossi , Tong Yu , Handong Zhao

We study the prediction with expert advice setting, where the aim is to produce a decision by combining the decisions generated by a set of experts, e.g., independently running algorithms. We achieve the min-max optimal dynamic regret under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Hakan Gokcesu , Suleyman S. Kozat

Climate change demands effective legislative action to mitigate its impacts. This study explores the application of machine learning (ML) to understand the progression of climate policy from announcement to adoption, focusing on policies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Patricia West , Michelle WL Wan , Alexander Hepburn , Edwin Simpson , Raul Santos-Rodriguez , Jeffrey N Clark

Using optimal detection techniques with climate model simulations, most of the observed increase of near surface temperatures over the second half of the twentieth century is attributed to anthropogenic influences. However, the partitioning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-08-03 Gareth S. Jones , Peter A. Stott , John F. B. Mitchell
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