English
Related papers

Related papers: Minimax-Regret Climate Policy with Deep Uncertaint…

200 papers

Multi-criteria decision-making often requires finding a small representative set from the database. A recently proposed method is the regret minimization set (RMS) query. RMS returns a size $r$ subset $S$ of dataset $D$ that minimizes the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-10 Xingxing Xiao , Jianzhong Li

We derive a novel asymptotic problem-dependent lower-bound for regret minimization in finite-horizon tabular Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). While, similar to prior work (e.g., for ergodic MDPs), the lower-bound is the solution to an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Andrea Tirinzoni , Matteo Pirotta , Alessandro Lazaric

We study the problem of online learning with dynamics, where a learner interacts with a stateful environment over multiple rounds. In each round of the interaction, the learner selects a policy to deploy and incurs a cost that depends on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-04 Kush Bhatia , Karthik Sridharan

Regret minimization has proved to be a versatile tool for tree-form sequential decision making and extensive-form games. In large two-player zero-sum imperfect-information games, modern extensions of counterfactual regret minimization (CFR)…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Gabriele Farina , Tuomas Sandholm

I consider a class of statistical decision problems in which the policymaker must decide between two policies to maximize social welfare (e.g., the population mean of an outcome) based on a finite sample. The framework introduced in this…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-04 Kohei Yata

In many settings, a decision-maker wishes to learn a rule, or policy, that maps from observable characteristics of an individual to an action. Examples include selecting offers, prices, advertisements, or emails to send to consumers, as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-20 Zhengyuan Zhou , Susan Athey , Stefan Wager

We study algorithms for average-cost reinforcement learning problems with value function approximation. Our starting point is the recently proposed POLITEX algorithm, a version of policy iteration where the policy produced in each iteration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-29 Yasin Abbasi-Yadkori , Nevena Lazic , Csaba Szepesvari , Gellert Weisz

The socioeconomic impact of pollution naturally comes with uncertainty due to, e.g., current new technological developments in emissions' abatement or demographic changes. On top of that, the trend of the future costs of the environmental…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Matteo Basei , Giorgio Ferrari , Neofytos Rodosthenous

We study the problem of making predictions so that downstream agents who best respond to them will be guaranteed diminishing swap regret, no matter what their utility functions are. It has been known since Foster and Vohra (1997) that…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Aaron Roth , Mirah Shi

In this paper, we consider learning scenarios where the learned model is evaluated under an unknown test distribution which potentially differs from the training distribution (i.e. distribution shift). The learner has access to a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-14 Alekh Agarwal , Tong Zhang

We study how a decision-maker (DM) learns from data of unknown quality to form robust, ''general-purpose'' posterior beliefs. We develop a framework for robust learning and belief formation under a minimax-regret criterion, cast as a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-18 Yeon-Koo Che , Longjian Li , Tianling Luo

We study the single machine scheduling problem with the objective to minimize the total weight of late jobs. It is assumed that the processing times of jobs are not exactly known at the time when a complete schedule must be dispatched.…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2017-06-13 Maciej Drwal

We present a variational free-energy formulation for distributionally robust decision-making with ambiguity in the generative model. The formulation, related to a broad range of learning and control frameworks, yields a minimax optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Arash Shafiei , Caio César Graciani Rodrigues , Giovanni Russo

In the optimization of dynamical systems, the variables typically have constraints. Such problems can be modeled as a constrained Markov Decision Process (CMDP). This paper considers a model-free approach to the problem, where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Qinbo Bai , Vaneet Aggarwal , Ather Gattami

Policy learning in modern operations environments faces a fundamental tension between limited operational data and the large, often continuous, state and action spaces over which good decisions must be identified and deployed. We study…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Shengbo Wang , Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn

A recent goal in the Reinforcement Learning (RL) framework is to choose a sequence of actions or a policy to maximize the reward collected or minimize the regret incurred in a finite time horizon. For several RL problems in operation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-18 K J Prabuchandran , Tejas Bodas , Theja Tulabandhula

Do large datasets provide value to psychologists? Without a systematic methodology for working with such datasets, there is a valid concern that analyses will produce noise artifacts rather than true effects. In this paper, we offer a way…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-01-10 Mayank Agrawal , Joshua C. Peterson , Thomas L. Griffiths

This guide provides a reference for high-probability regret bounds in empirical risk minimization (ERM). The presentation is modular: we begin with intuition and general proof strategies, then state broadly applicable guarantees under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-04 Lars van der Laan

We study the control of finite-state systems driven by exogenous disturbances, and design causal policies that track the performance of a lookahead benchmark controller. This objective is formalized through dynamic regret, so that favorable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Yishay Polatov , Oron Sabag

The Adversarial Markov Decision Process (AMDP) is a learning framework that deals with unknown and varying tasks in decision-making applications like robotics and recommendation systems. A major limitation of the AMDP formalism, however, is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-06 Sang Bin Moon , Abolfazl Hashemi