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We propose an empirical Bayes estimator for two-way effects in linked data sets based on a novel prior that leverages patterns of assortative matching observed in the data. To capture limited mobility we model the bipartite graph associated…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-30 Xu Cheng , Sheng Chao Ho , Frank Schorfheide

A novel approach to improve prediction and inference in M-estimation by integrating external information from heterogeneous populations is proposed. Our method leverages joint asymptotics to combine estimates from external and internal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-08 Walter Dempsey , Jeremy M. G. Taylor

Shrinkage prior has gained great successes in many data analysis, however, its applications mostly focus on the Bayesian modeling of sparse parameters. In this work, we will apply Bayesian shrinkage to model high dimensional parameter that…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-31 Qifan Song , Guang Cheng

This paper is devoted to the multivariate estimation of a vector of Poisson means. A novel loss function that penalises bad estimates of each of the parameters and the sum (or equivalently the mean) of the parameters is introduced. Under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Emil Aas Stoltenberg , Nils Lid Hjort

Signal processing makes extensive use of point estimators and accompanying error bounds. These work well up until the likelihood function has two or more high peaks. When it is important for an estimator to remain reliable, it becomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Ning Xu , Christopher M. Foster , Jonathan H. Manton

We introduce a new class of distributions named log-adjusted shrinkage priors for the analysis of sparse signals, which extends the three parameter beta priors by multiplying an additional log-term to their densities. The proposed prior has…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-28 Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We consider the estimation of the $p$-variate normal mean of $X\sim N_p(\theta,I)$ under the quadratic loss function. We investigate the decision theoretic properties of debiased shrinkage estimator, the estimator which shrinks towards the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-08 Yuzo Maruyama , Akimichi Takemura

The multivariate extended skew-normal distribution allows for accommodating raw data which are skewed and heavy tailed, and has at least three appealing statistical properties, namely closure under conditioning, affine transformations, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-19 Mathieu Gerber , Florian Pelgrin

Constrained learning is prevalent in many statistical tasks. Recent work proposes distance-to-set penalties to derive estimators under general constraints that can be specified as sets, but focuses on obtaining point estimates that do not…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Rick Presman , Jason Xu

The widely recommended procedure of Bayesian model averaging is flawed in the M-open setting in which the true data-generating process is not one of the candidate models being fit. We take the idea of stacking from the point estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-15 Yuling Yao , Aki Vehtari , Daniel Simpson , Andrew Gelman

We consider stochastic optimization under distributional uncertainty, where the unknown distributional parameter is estimated from streaming data that arrive sequentially over time. Moreover, data may depend on the decision of the time when…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Tianyi Liu , Yifan Lin , Enlu Zhou

The Shannon entropy, and related quantities such as mutual information, can be used to quantify uncertainty and relevance. However, in practice, it can be difficult to compute these quantities for arbitrary probability distributions,…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-11 Brendon J. Brewer

There has been increased research interest in the subfield of sparse Bayesian factor analysis with shrinkage priors, which achieve additional sparsity beyond the natural parsimonity of factor models. In this spirit, we estimate the number…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-18 Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Darjus Hosszejni , Hedibert Freitas Lopes

This expository paper discusses Bayesian decision analysis perspectives on problems of constrained forecasting. Foundational and pedagogic discussion contrasts decision analytic approaches with the traditional, but typically inappropriate,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-01 Mike West

In this paper, we present a generalized estimating equations based estimation approach and a variable selection procedure for single-index models when the observed data are clustered. Unlike the case of independent observations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-08 Peng Lai , Qihua Wang , Heng Lian

We propose an empirical Bayes framework for aggregating estimators obtained from several identification functionals associated to the same causal parameter. The central object is a posterior mean that pools a collection of asymptotically…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Carlos García Meixide , David Ríos Insua

We propose Stein-type estimators for zero-inflated Bell regression models by incorporating information on model parameters. These estimators combine the advantages of unrestricted and restricted estimators. We derive the asymptotic…

Computation · Statistics 2024-03-04 Solmaz Seifollahi , Hossein Bevrani , Zakariya Yahya Algamal

Synthetic control (SC) methods are widely used to estimate the effects of policy interventions, especially those targeting specific geographic regions, referred to as units. These methods construct a weighted combination of untreated units,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-04 Esteban Fernández-Morales , Arman Oganisian , Youjin Lee

We consider Bayesian shrinkage predictions for the Normal regression problem under the frequentist Kullback-Leibler risk function. Firstly, we consider the multivariate Normal model with an unknown mean and a known covariance. While the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kei Kobayashi , Fumiyasu Komaki

Astronomers are often confronted with funky populations and distributions of objects: brighter objects are more likely to be detected; targets are selected based on colour cuts; imperfect classification yields impure samples. Failing to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-21 Samuel R. Hinton , Alex Kim , Tamara M. Davis