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Motivated by the increasing number of COVID-19 cases that have been observed in many countries after the vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, we propose a mathematical model on time-varying networks for the spread…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

We present a simple technique to compare the development of the Covid-19 epidemic in different regions, based only on the time series of confirmed cases. Weekly new infections, taken for every day, are interpreted as infection potential of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-04 Christoph Bandt

It has been one year since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. The good news is that vaccines developed by several manufacturers are being actively distributed worldwide. However, as more and more vaccines become available to the public,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-07-07 Wei Wu , Hanjia Lyu , Jiebo Luo

At the time of writing, the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), had already resulted in more than thirty-two million cases infected and more than one million deaths worldwide.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Chung-Han Hsieh

Absent a drug or vaccine, containing epidemic outbreaks is achieved by means of social distancing, specifically mobility restrictions and lock-downs. Such measures impose a hurtful toll on the economy, and are difficult to sustain for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-24 Dror Meidan , Nava Schulmann , Reuven Cohen , Simcha Haber , Eyal Yaniv , Ronit Sarid , Baruch Barzel

Limitations in the design of the experiment of Boulware et al[1] are considered in Cohen[2]. They are not subject to correction but they are reported for readers' consideration. However, they made an analysis for the incidence based on…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-23 Marcio Watanabe

A mathematical model of COVID-19 with minimal compartments is developed. The model is simple enough to fit data on confirmed cases, estimate the hidden infection figure and incorporate the effect of vaccination. With the effect of the new…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-05 Randy L. Caga-anan , Michelle N. Raza , Grace Shelda G. Labrador , Ephrime B. Metillo

We describe several shortcomings of a study by Patone et al, whose findings were recently published in the American Heart Association Journal Circulation, including the following: * The study's principal conclusion, as initially stated,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-27 Paul S. Bourdon , Spiro Pantazatos

Since the Covid-19 pandemic is a global threat to health that few can fully escape, it has given a unique opportunity to study international reactions to a common problem. Such reactions can be partly obtained from public posts to Twitter,…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Mike Thelwall

As humanity struggles to contain the global Covid-19 infection, prophylactic actions are grandly slowed down by the shortage of testing kits. Governments have taken several measures to work around this shortage: the FDA has become more…

Despite the progress in medical care, combined population-wide interventions (such as physical distancing, testing and contact tracing) are still crucial to manage the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, aggravated by the emergence of new highly…

This work evaluates the severity of COVID-19 Omicron variant in terms of the case-fatality-rates (CFR) with respective uncertainty intervals via a simultaneous fitting of confirmed cases and deaths in the USA, India, Brazil, France, Germany…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-27 Tulio Eduardo Rodrigues , Otaviano Helene

We used Bayesian model inversion to estimate epidemic parameters from the reported case and death rates from seven countries using data from late January 2020 to April 5th 2020. Two distinct generative model types were employed: first a…

In light of the continuing emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants and vaccines, we create a simulation framework for exploring possible infection trajectories under various scenarios. The situations of primary interest involve the interaction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-10 Kory D. Johnson , Annemarie Grass , Daniel Toneian , Mathias Beiglböck , Jitka Polechová

The resilience of the food supply chain is a matter of critical importance, both for national security and broader societal well bring. COVID19 has presented a test to the current system, as well as means by which to explore whether the…

General Economics · Economics 2020-06-02 Rebecca Mitchell , Roger Maull , Simon Pearson , Steve Brewer , Martin Collison

A clear linear correlation of covid-19 surge date with country latitude was observed last autumn 2020, but not with temperature, nor with humidity, pointing the seasonal vitamin D status decline as a contributor factor. Well vaccinated…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-08 Stephan Walrand

By the end of July 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic had infected more than seventeen million people and had spread to almost all countries worldwide. In response, many countries all over the world have used different methods to reduce the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-21 Hilla De-Leon , Francesco Pederiva

The COVID-19 pandemic has placed unprecedented demands on local public health units in Ontario, Canada, one of which was the need for in-house epidemiological-modelling capabilities. To address this need, Ontario Tech University and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-10 Eleodor Nichita , Mary-Anne Pietrusiak , Fangli Xie , Peter Schwanke , Anjali Pandya

Multiple studies have suggested the spread of COVID-19 is affected by factors such as climate, BCG vaccinations, pollution and blood type. We perform a joint study of these factors using the death growth rates of 40 regions worldwide with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-14 Chris Finlay , Bruce A. Bassett

There are many hard-to-reconcile numbers circulating concerning Covid-19. Using reports from random testing, the fatality ratio per infection is evaluated and used to extract further information on the actual fraction of infections and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-25 Allen Caldwell , Vasyl Hafych , Oliver SChulz , Lolian Shtembari
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