Related papers: Ergodic Estimators of double exponential Ornstein-…
A new algorithm named EXPected Similarity Estimation (EXPoSE) was recently proposed to solve the problem of large-scale anomaly detection. It is a non-parametric and distribution free kernel method based on the Hilbert space embedding of…
Physics, chemistry, biology or finance are just some examples out of the many fields where complex Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes have various applications in statistical modelling. They play role e.g. in the description of the motion of…
In this paper we study some convergence results concerning the one-dimensional distribution of a time-changed fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. In particular, we establish that, despite the time change, the process admits a Gaussian…
The object of study in this paper is the expected $2$-Wasserstein distance between the empirical measures of several point processes and their respective limit. For this, the main tool developed is a smoothing procedure in Euclidean spaces…
A general theory of efficient estimation for ergodic diffusion processes sampled at high frequency with an infinite time horizon is presented. High frequency sampling is common in many applications, with finance as a prominent example. The…
Inference for statistics of a stationary time series often involve nuisance parameters and sampling distributions that are difficult to estimate. In this paper, we propose the method of orthogonal samples, which can be used to address some…
Two-time-scale stochastic approximation, a generalized version of the popular stochastic approximation, has found broad applications in many areas including stochastic control, optimization, and machine learning. Despite its popularity,…
We study the evolution of distributions under the action of an ergodic dynamical system, which may be stochastic in nature. By employing tools from Koopman and transfer operator theory one can evolve any initial distribution of the state…
We present stochastic variants of the exponential time differencing schemes for stiff stochastic differential equations. We derive three explicit schemes that offer better stability compared to Euler-Maruyama and Milstein's method, and…
Extreme value functionals of stochastic processes are inverse functionals of the first passage time -- a connection that renders their probability distribution functions equivalent. Here, we deepen this link and establish a framework for…
A novel probabilistic numerical method for quantifying the uncertainty induced by the time integration of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) is introduced. Departing from the classical strategy to randomize ODE solvers by adding a…
Stochastic partial differential equations of second order with two unknown parameters are studied. Based on ergodicity, two suitable families of minimum constrast estimators are introduced. Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of…
I introduce a general, Bayesian method for modelling univariate time series data assumed to be drawn from a continuous, stochastic process. The method accommodates arbitrary temporal sampling, and takes into account measurement…
This paper studies the existence and global stability of generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process for affine stochastic functional differential equations. Various very basic and important properties are established. In the applications, we…
We propose strongly consistent estimators of the $\ell_1$ norm of the sequence of $\alpha$-mixing (respectively $\beta$-mixing) coefficients of a stationary ergodic process. We further provide strongly consistent estimators of individual…
In the context of non-equilibrium statistical physics, the entropy production rate is an important concept to describe how far a specific state of a system is from its equilibrium state. In this paper, we establish a central limit theorem…
Parameter estimation in a class of heteroscedastic time series models is investigated. The existence of conditional least-squares and conditional likelihood estimators is proved. Their consistency and their asymptotic normality are…
We construct estimators for the parameters of a parabolic SPDE with one spatial dimension based on discrete observations of a solution in time and space on a bounded domain. We establish central limit theorems for a high-frequency…
We present a simple randomized procedure for the prediction of a binary sequence. The algorithm uses ideas from recent developments of the theory of the prediction of individual sequences. We show that if the sequence is a realization of a…
In this article we study the asymptotic behaviour of the realized quadratic variation of a process $\int_{0}^{t}u_{s}dY_{s}^{(1)}$% , where $u$ is a $\beta$-H\"older continuous process with $\beta > 1-H$ and…