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Ergodic optimization aims to single out dynamically invariant Borel probability measures which maximize the integral of a given "performance" function. For a continuous self-map of a compact metric space and a dense set of continuous…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-20 Mao Shinoda

The setting is a stationary, ergodic time series. The challenge is to construct a sequence of functions, each based on only finite segments of the past, which together provide a strongly consistent estimator for the conditional probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 G. Morvai , S. Yakowitz , L. Gyorfi

The problem of parameter estimation by the observations of the two-state telegraph process in the presence of white Gaussian noise is considered. The properties of estimator of the method of moments are described in the asymptotics of large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-10 Rafail Khasminskii , Yury Kutoyants

Many processes in biology, chemistry, physics, medicine, and engineering are modeled by a system of differential equations. Such a system is usually characterized via unknown parameters and estimating their 'true' value is thus required. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-14 Itai Dattner , Chris A. J. Klaassen

In this paper, we consider numerical approximation to periodic measure of a time periodic stochastic differential equations (SDEs) under weakly dissipative condition. For this we first study the existence of the periodic measure $\rho_t$…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-08 Chunrong Feng , Yu Liu , Huaizhong Zhao

In this paper, we consider the problem of statistical inference for generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes of the type \[ X_{t} = e^{-\xi_{t}} \left( X_{0} + \int_{0}^{t} e^{\xi_{u-}} d u \right), \] where \(\xi_s\) is a L{\'e}vy process.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-12 Denis Belomestny , Vladimir Panov

We consider parametric inference for an ergodic and stationary diffusion process, when the data are high-frequency observations of the integral of the diffusion process. Such data are obtained via certain measurement devices, or if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen

We explore the dynamics of active elements performing persistent random motion with fluctuating active speed and in the presence of translational noise in a $d$-dimensional harmonic trap, modeling active speed generation through an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-02-18 Manish Patel , Amir Shee , Debasish Chaudhuri

We define a time-changed fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process by composing a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with the inverse of a subordinator. Properties of the moments of such process are investigated and the existence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Giacomo Ascione , Yuliya Mishura , Enrica Pirozzi

We study the joint asymptotic distribution of the least squares estimator of the parameter $(\theta,\,\mu)$ for the non-ergodic Vasicek models driven by seven specific Gaussian processes. %The similar result concerning to the non-ergodic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Yong Chen , Wu-Jun Gao , Ying Li

Measurement on sets with a specific geometric shape can be of interest for many important applications (e.g. measurement along the isotherms in structural engineering). In the present paper the properties of optimal designs for estimating…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-21 Sándor Baran , Milan Stehlík

We derive an explicit representation for the transition law of a $p$-tempered $\alpha$-stable process of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck-type and use it to develop a methodology for simulation. Our results apply in both the univariate and multivariate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-20 Michael Grabchak

The consistency of the Bayesian estimation of a parameter is shown for a class of ergodic discrete Markov chains. J.L. Doob's method was used, offered earlier for the i.i.d. situation. The result may be useful in the reliability theory for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 A. I. Nurieva , A. Yu. Veretennikov

We consider the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, a stochastic process widely used in finance, physics, and biology. Parameter estimation of the OU process is a challenging problem. Thus, we review traditional tracking methods and compare…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-24 Jacob Fein-Ashley

The purpose of the present work is to construct estimators for the random effects in a fractional diffusion model using a hybrid estimation method where we combine parametric and nonparametric thechniques. We precisely consider $n$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-13 Nesrine Chebli , Hamdi Fathallah , Yousri Slaoui

In the paper, we introduce the maximum entropy estimator based on 2-dimensional empirical distribution of the observation sequence of hidden Markov model , when the sample size is big: in that case computing the maximum likelihood estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Shulan Hu , Xinyu Wang , Liming Wu

We consider the problems of parameter estimation for several models of threshold ergodic diffusion processes in the asymptotics of large samples. These models are the direct continuous time analogues of the well-known in time series…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process can be seen as a paradigm of a finite-variance and statistically stationary rough random walk. Furthermore, it is defined as the unique solution of a Markovian stochastic dynamics and shares the same local…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Laurent Chevillard , Marc Lagoin , Stephane G. Roux

An estimation method is presented for polynomial phase signals, i.e., those adopting the form of a complex exponential whose phase is polynomial in its indices. Transcending the scope of existing techniques, the proposed estimator can…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-12 Heedong Do , Namyoon Lee , Angel Lozano

In this article, existence of the $k$-th order derivatives of local time $ \widehat{\alpha}^{(k)}(x,t)$ is considered for two d-dimensional fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes $X^{H_1}_t$ and $\widetilde{X}^{H_2}_s$ with Hurst…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Jingjun Guo , Yanping Xiao